Y H Lee1, G H Choi2, K W Jung1, B H Choi3, J Y Bang1, E K Lee4, B M Choi1, G J Noh1,5. 1. Department of Anaesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Asan Medical Centre, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea. 2. University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea. 3. Department of Surgery, Pusan National University Yangsan Hospital, Yangsan, Korea. 4. Department of Statistics, Ewha Womans University, Seoul, Korea. 5. Department of Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics, Asan Medical Centre, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: : In our preliminary study, the modified Marsh (M-Marsh) model caused an inadvertent underdosing of propofol in underweight patients. However, the predictive performance of the M-Marsh and Schnider models incorporated in commercially available target-controlled infusion (TCI) pumps was not evaluated in underweight patients. METHODS: : Thirty underweight patients undergoing elective surgery were randomly allocated to receive propofol via TCI using the M-Marsh or Schnider models. The target effect-site concentrations (Ces) of propofol were, in order, 2.5, 3, 4, 5, 6 and 2 μg ml -1 . Arterial blood samples were obtained at least 7 min after achieving each pseudo-steady-state. RESULTS: A total of 172 plasma samples were used to determine the predictive performance of both models. The pooled median (95% confidence interval) biases and inaccuracies at a target Ce ≤ 3 μg ml -1 were -22.6 (-28.8 to -12.6) and 31.9 (24.8-36.8) for the M-Marsh model and 9.0 (1.7-16.4) and 28.5 (21.7-32.8) for the Schnider model, respectively. These values at Ce ≥ 4 μg ml -1 were -9.6 (-16.0 to -6.0) and 24.7 (21.1-27.9) for the M-Marsh model and 19.8 (12.9-25.7) and 36.2 (31.4-39.7) for the Schnider model, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The pooled biases and inaccuracies of both models were clinically acceptable. However, the M-Marsh and Schnider models consistently produced negatively and positively biased predictions, respectively, in underweight patients. In particular, the M-Marsh model showed greater inaccuracy at target Ce ≤ 3 μg ml -1 and the Schnider model showed greater inaccuracy at target Ce ≥ 4 μg ml -1 . Therefore, it is necessary to develop a new pharmacokinetic model for propofol in underweight patients. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: KCT0001502.
BACKGROUND: : In our preliminary study, the modified Marsh (M-Marsh) model caused an inadvertent underdosing of propofol in underweight patients. However, the predictive performance of the M-Marsh and Schnider models incorporated in commercially available target-controlled infusion (TCI) pumps was not evaluated in underweight patients. METHODS: : Thirty underweight patients undergoing elective surgery were randomly allocated to receive propofol via TCI using the M-Marsh or Schnider models. The target effect-site concentrations (Ces) of propofol were, in order, 2.5, 3, 4, 5, 6 and 2 μg ml -1 . Arterial blood samples were obtained at least 7 min after achieving each pseudo-steady-state. RESULTS: A total of 172 plasma samples were used to determine the predictive performance of both models. The pooled median (95% confidence interval) biases and inaccuracies at a target Ce ≤ 3 μg ml -1 were -22.6 (-28.8 to -12.6) and 31.9 (24.8-36.8) for the M-Marsh model and 9.0 (1.7-16.4) and 28.5 (21.7-32.8) for the Schnider model, respectively. These values at Ce ≥ 4 μg ml -1 were -9.6 (-16.0 to -6.0) and 24.7 (21.1-27.9) for the M-Marsh model and 19.8 (12.9-25.7) and 36.2 (31.4-39.7) for the Schnider model, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The pooled biases and inaccuracies of both models were clinically acceptable. However, the M-Marsh and Schnider models consistently produced negatively and positively biased predictions, respectively, in underweight patients. In particular, the M-Marsh model showed greater inaccuracy at target Ce ≤ 3 μg ml -1 and the Schnider model showed greater inaccuracy at target Ce ≥ 4 μg ml -1 . Therefore, it is necessary to develop a new pharmacokinetic model for propofol in underweight patients. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: KCT0001502.