Chadi Ayoub1, Fernanda Erthal2, Mahmoud A Abdelsalam3, M Hassan Murad4, Zhen Wang5, Patricia J Erwin6, Graham S Hillis7, Leonard Kritharides8, Benjamin J W Chow9. 1. Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA; University of Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. Electronic address: ayoub.chadi@mayo.edu. 2. Department of Medicine (Cardiology), University of Ottawa Heart Institute, Canada. Electronic address: ferthal@ottawaheart.ca. 3. Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA. Electronic address: ma.abdelsalam.md@gmail.com. 4. Evidence-based Practice Center, Robert D. and Patricia E. Kern Center for the Science of Health Care Delivery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA. Electronic address: murad.mohammad@mayo.edu. 5. Evidence-based Practice Center, Robert D. and Patricia E. Kern Center for the Science of Health Care Delivery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA. Electronic address: wang.zhen@mayo.edu. 6. Mayo Clinic Libraries, Rochester, MN, USA. Electronic address: erwin.patricia@mayo.edu. 7. Department of Cardiology, Royal Perth Hospital, University of Western Australia, Australia. Electronic address: graham.hillis@health.wa.gov.au. 8. University of Sydney, New South Wales, Australia; Department of Cardiology, Concord Hospital, Sydney Local Health District, New South Wales, Australia. Electronic address: leonard.kritharides@sydney.edu.au. 9. Department of Medicine (Cardiology), University of Ottawa Heart Institute, Canada; Department of Radiology, University of Ottawa, Canada. Electronic address: bchow@ottawaheart.ca.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The segment involvement score (SIS) is a semiquantitative measure of the extent of atherosclerosis burden by coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA). We sought to evaluate by meta-analysis the prognostic value of SIS, and to compare it with other CTA measures of coronary artery disease (CAD). METHODS: Electronic databases from 1946 to January 2016 were searched. Studies reporting SIS, or an equivalent measure by coronary CTA, and clinical outcomes were included. Maximally adjusted hazard ratios (HR), predominantly for clinical variables, were extracted for SIS, obstructive CAD, Agatston coronary artery calcium score, and plaque composition. These were pooled using DerSimonian-Laird random effects models. RESULTS: Eleven nonrandomized studies with good methodological quality enrolling 9777 subjects (mean age 61 ± 11 years, 57% male, mean follow up 3.3 years) who had 472 (4.8%) MACE (cardiac or all cause death, non-fatal myocardial infarction or late revascularization), were included. SIS (per segment increase) had pooled HR of 1.25 (95% CI: 1.16,1.35; I2 = 71.4%, p < 0.001) for MACE. HR for MACE was 1.37 (95% CI: 1.32,1.42; I2 = 95.6%, p < 0.001) for number of segments with stenosis (per segment increase), 3.39 (95% CI: 1.65,6.99; I2 = 87.8%, p = 0.001) for obstructive CAD (binary variable) and 1.00 (95% CI: 1.00,1.01; I2 = 75.0%, p = 0.490) for Agatston score (per unit increase). HRs by plaque composition (calcified, non-calcified and mixed; per segment change) were 1.24 (95% CI: 1.10,1.39; I2 = 81.6%, p = 0.001), 1.20 (95% CI: 0.97,1.48; I2 = 92.9%, p = 0.093) and 1.27 (95% CI: 1.03,1.58; I2 = 89.8%, p = 0.029), respectively. CONCLUSION: Despite heterogeneity in endpoints, extent of CAD as quantified by SIS on coronary CTA is a strong, independent predictor of cardiovascular events.
BACKGROUND: The segment involvement score (SIS) is a semiquantitative measure of the extent of atherosclerosis burden by coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA). We sought to evaluate by meta-analysis the prognostic value of SIS, and to compare it with other CTA measures of coronary artery disease (CAD). METHODS: Electronic databases from 1946 to January 2016 were searched. Studies reporting SIS, or an equivalent measure by coronary CTA, and clinical outcomes were included. Maximally adjusted hazard ratios (HR), predominantly for clinical variables, were extracted for SIS, obstructive CAD, Agatston coronary artery calcium score, and plaque composition. These were pooled using DerSimonian-Laird random effects models. RESULTS: Eleven nonrandomized studies with good methodological quality enrolling 9777 subjects (mean age 61 ± 11 years, 57% male, mean follow up 3.3 years) who had 472 (4.8%) MACE (cardiac or all cause death, non-fatal myocardial infarction or late revascularization), were included. SIS (per segment increase) had pooled HR of 1.25 (95% CI: 1.16,1.35; I2 = 71.4%, p < 0.001) for MACE. HR for MACE was 1.37 (95% CI: 1.32,1.42; I2 = 95.6%, p < 0.001) for number of segments with stenosis (per segment increase), 3.39 (95% CI: 1.65,6.99; I2 = 87.8%, p = 0.001) for obstructive CAD (binary variable) and 1.00 (95% CI: 1.00,1.01; I2 = 75.0%, p = 0.490) for Agatston score (per unit increase). HRs by plaque composition (calcified, non-calcified and mixed; per segment change) were 1.24 (95% CI: 1.10,1.39; I2 = 81.6%, p = 0.001), 1.20 (95% CI: 0.97,1.48; I2 = 92.9%, p = 0.093) and 1.27 (95% CI: 1.03,1.58; I2 = 89.8%, p = 0.029), respectively. CONCLUSION: Despite heterogeneity in endpoints, extent of CAD as quantified by SIS on coronary CTA is a strong, independent predictor of cardiovascular events.
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