| Literature DB >> 28476128 |
Laurent G Glance1,2,3, Yue Li4, Andrew W Dick5.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Readmission penalties are central to the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) efforts to improve patient outcomes and reduce health care spending. However, many clinicians believe that readmission metrics may unfairly penalize low-mortality hospitals because mortality and readmission are competing risks. The objective of this study is to compare hospital ranking based on a composite outcome of death or readmission versus readmission alone.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2017 PMID: 28476128 PMCID: PMC5420148 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-017-2266-4
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Health Serv Res ISSN: 1472-6963 Impact factor: 2.655
Distribution of Hospital Adjusted Odds Ratio for Composite Outcome and Readmission
| Principle Discharge Diagnosis | No. of Patients | No. of Hospitals | Rate (unadj) | Median Odds Ratio | AOR, Interquartile | AOR, Range | Estimated Between Hospital Variance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMI, CHF, or PNEU | |||||||
| Composite Outcome | 344,565 | 204 | 10.93 | 1.37 | 0.88-1.10 | 0.48-1.66 | 0.0316 |
| Readmission | 329,120 | 204 | 6.75 | 1.17 | 0.93-1.07 | 0.69-1.43 | 0.0079 |
| Acute Myocardial Infarction | |||||||
| Composite Outcome | 75,036 | 188 | 11.80 | 1.22 | 0.93-1.08 | 0.59-1.44 | 0.0128 |
| Readmission | 70,677 | 188 | 6.36 | 1.15 | 0.96-1.03 | 0.70-1.26 | 0.0068 |
| Congestive Heart Failure | |||||||
| Composite Outcome | 144,338 | 200 | 11.31 | 1.35 | 0.88-1.11 | 0.51-1.51 | 0.0297 |
| Readmission | 138,715 | 200 | 7.71 | 1.16 | 0.94-1.05 | 0.73-1.37 | 0.0075 |
| Pneumoniae | |||||||
| Composite Outcome | 125,191 | 204 | 9.97 | 1.22 | 0.91-1.11 | 0.57-1.48 | 0.0126 |
| Readmission | 119,728 | 204 | 5.86 | 1.18 | 0.94-1.07 | 0.74-1.44 | 0.0088 |
AOR, adjusted odds ratio, AMI acute myocardial infarction, CHF congestive heart failure, PNEU pneumonia
Model Performance
| C statistic | Brier Score | LR test for RE effect | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Principle Discharge Diagnosis | |||
| AMI, CHF, or PNEU | |||
| Composite Outcome | 0.67 | 0.093 | <0.0001 |
| Readmission | 0.62 | 0.062 | <0.0001 |
| Acute Myocardial Infarction | |||
| Composite Outcome | 0.71 | 0.098 | <0.0001 |
| Readmission | 0.64 | 0.059 | <0.0001 |
| Congestive Heart Failure | |||
| Composite Outcome | 0.64 | 0.097 | <0.0001 |
| Readmission | 0.60 | 0.071 | <0.0001 |
| Pneumoniae | |||
| Composite Outcome | 0.69 | 0.086 | <0.0001 |
| Readmission | 0.63 | 0.055 | <0.0001 |
Fig. 1Agreement between proposed readmission metric based on composite outcome of 7-day readmission and in-hospital mortality versus standard readmission metric based on 7-day readmissions. The hospital AOR represents the likelihood that patients admitted with AMI, CHF or pneumonia at a specific hospital are likely to experience the outcome of interest compared to the “average” hospital, after adjusting for patient case mix. The identity (dashed) line represents perfect agreement, and the solid line is a regression line fitted to the data
Fig. 2Agreement between proposed readmission metric based on composite outcome of 7-day readmission and in-hospital mortality versus standard readmission metric based on 7-day readmissions. The hospital AOR represents the likelihood that patients admitted with either AMI, CHF or pneumonia at a specific hospital are likely to experience the outcome of interest compared to the “average” hospital, after adjusting for patient case mix. The identity (dashed) line represents perfect agreement, and the solid line is a regression line fitted to the data
Hospital Performance based on the Composite Outcome versus Readmission Performance Metric
| Readmission or death | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High-performance | Average-performance | Low-performance | |||
| AMI, CHF, or PNEU | Hospital AOR, | Kappa | |||
| Readmission, No. (%) | 0.54 | ||||
| High-performance | 12 (80.0) | 3 (20.0) | 0 (0) | 0.81 (0.69-0.90) | |
| Average-performance | 23 (14.0) | 130 (79.3) | 11 (6.7) | 0.99 (0.81-1.17) | |
| Low-performance | 0 (0) | 5 (20.8) | 19 (79.2) | 1.24 (1.13-1.43) | |
| Hospital AOR, median (range) | 0.79 (0.48-0.92) | 0.99 (0.63-1.46) | 1.33 (1.16-1.66) | ||
| Acute Myocardial Infarction | 0.13 | ||||
| Readmission, No. (%) | |||||
| High-performance | 2 (100) | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 0.76 (0.70-0.81) | |
| Average-performance | 16 (8.7) | 164 (88.7) | 5 (2.7) | 1.00 (0.81-1.26) | |
| Low-performance | 0 (0) | 1 (100) | 0 (0) | 1.23 (NA) | |
| Hospital AOR, median (range) | 0.80 (0.59-0.88) | 1.02 (0.78-1.35) | 1.41 (1.23-1.44) | ||
| Congestive Heart Failure | 0.53 | ||||
| Readmission, No. (%) | |||||
| High-performance | 8 (88.9) | 2 (11.1) | 0 (0) | 0.80 (0.73-0.88) | |
| Average-performance | 10 (5.6) | 158 (88.3) | 11 (6.15) | 1.00 (0.83-1.23) | |
| Low-performance | 0 (0) | 3 (27.3) | 8 (72.7) | 1.29 (1.13-1.37) | |
| Hospital AOR, median (range) | 0.77 (0.51-0.86) | 0.98 (0.70-1.39) | 1.33 (1.16-1.51) | ||
| Pneumoniae | 0.45 | ||||
| Readmission, No. (%) | |||||
| High-performance | 4 (66.7) | 2 (33.3) | 0 (0) | 0.77 (0.74-0.81) | |
| Average-performance | 7 (3.7) | 168 (88.9) | 14 (7.4) | 0.99 (0.83-1.31) | |
| Low-performance | 0 (0) | 1 (12.5) | 7 (87.5) | 1.27 (1.21-1.44) | |
| Hospital AOR, median (range) | 0.76 (0.57-0.81) | 0.99 (0.76-1.44) | 1.34 (1.16-1.48) | ||
NA not applicable, No number, AOR adjusted odds ratio, AMI acute myocardial infarction, CHF congestive heart failure, PNEU pneumonia
kappa – weighted kappa analysis