| Literature DB >> 28441931 |
Susanna Calling1,2, Patrik Midlöv3, Sven-Erik Johansson3, Kristina Sundquist3,4, Jan Sundquist3,4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Anxiety has been suggested to increase among young individuals, but previous studies on longitudinal trends are inconclusive. The aim of this study was to analyze longitudinally, the changes over time of prevalence of self-reported anxiety in the Swedish population between 1980/1981 and 2004/2005, in different birth cohorts and age groups.Entities:
Keywords: Age factors; Anxiety; Cohort effect; Longitudinal studies
Mesh:
Year: 2017 PMID: 28441931 PMCID: PMC5405519 DOI: 10.1186/s12888-017-1277-3
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Psychiatry ISSN: 1471-244X Impact factor: 3.630
Distribution (%) of the different variables according to sex and assessment period (longitudinal samples of the Swedish population from 1980/81, 1988/89, 1996/97, and 2004/05) in individuals aged 16–71 years
| Variable | Males | Females | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1980/81 | 1988/89 | 1996/97 | 2004/05 | 1980/81 | 1988/89 | 1996/97 | 2004/05 | |
| n | 2728 | 2688 | 2570 | 2177 | 2770 | 2666 | 2634 | 2211 |
| Age (years) | ||||||||
| 16–23 | 16.3 | 16.3 | 12.8 | 12.7 | 16.2 | 16.0 | 12.0 | 13.1 |
| 24–31 | 17.6 | 15.5 | 16.5 | 13.1 | 15.9 | 15.8 | 16.5 | 13.0 |
| 32–39 | 19.6 | 16.1 | 16.5 | 16.6 | 17.0 | 15.8 | 16.6 | 16.2 |
| 40–47 | 13.2 | 18.1 | 16.1 | 15.2 | 12.3 | 16.8 | 16.1 | 16.1 |
| 48–55 | 10.6 | 12.4 | 17.9 | 14.5 | 12.9 | 11.1 | 16.5 | 15.3 |
| 56–63 | 12.4 | 9.5 | 11.3 | 17.1 | 13.0 | 12.2 | 11.0 | 15.4 |
| 64–71 | 10.3 | 12.1 | 8.9 | 10.8 | 12.7 | 12.3 | 11.3 | 10.9 |
| Education level | ||||||||
| High | 30.8 | 35.8 | 43.6 | 52.4 | 20.2 | 29.4 | 40.9 | 54.0 |
| Intermediate | 26.4 | 31.3 | 30.9 | 26.8 | 31.1 | 36.0 | 33.6 | 26.8 |
| Low | 42.8 | 32.9 | 25.5 | 20.8 | 48.7 | 34.6 | 25.5 | 19.2 |
| Urbanization | ||||||||
| Large cities | 30.8 | 31.0 | 31.2 | 34.3 | 30.5 | 30.0 | 31.4 | 33.5 |
| Medium towns | 31.5 | 33.8 | 36.5 | 36.0 | 32.6 | 34.7 | 37.4 | 36.1 |
| Small towns | 37.7 | 35.2 | 32.3 | 29.7 | 36.9 | 35.3 | 31.2 | 30.4 |
| Marital status | ||||||||
| Married/cohabiting | 65.5 | 64.5 | 64.8 | 64.6 | 68.2 | 67.7 | 67.6 | 65.6 |
| All others | 34.5 | 35.5 | 35.2 | 35.4 | 31.8 | 32.3 | 32.4 | 34.4 |
| Smoking | ||||||||
| Non-smokers | 65.9 | 73.1 | 81.8 | 86.5 | 68.9 | 71.3 | 75.8 | 81.3 |
| Daily smokers | 34.1 | 26.9 | 18.2 | 13.5 | 31.1 | 28.7 | 24.2 | 18.7 |
| Leisure time physical activity | ||||||||
| None to once a week | 67.9 | 64.7 | 61.3 | 54.7 | 75.0 | 70.6 | 64.8 | 51.9 |
| More than once a week | 32.1 | 35.3 | 38.7 | 45.3 | 25.0 | 29.4 | 35.2 | 48.1 |
| Body mass index | ||||||||
| Normal | 66.6 | 63.0 | 54.3 | 47.8 | 75.8 | 74.0 | 67.0 | 64.0 |
| Overweight | 29.2 | 31.9 | 38.7 | 42.3 | 19.8 | 20.9 | 26.2 | 26.3 |
| Obesity | 4.2 | 5.1 | 7.0 | 9.9 | 4.4 | 5.1 | 6.8 | 9.7 |
Unadjusted prevalence of self-reported anxiety (%) in individuals aged 16–71 years and tests for trends in the different explanatory variable groups, presented separately according to sex and assessment period (longitudinal samples of the Swedish population from 1980/81, 1988/89, 1996/97, and 2004/05)
Cohort: 2)1918–25; 4)1934–41; 6)1950–57; 8)1966–73; 10) 1982–89
Each birth cohort can be followed diagonally by the different grey-scales. p-values: Test for trend row-wise for males and females separately
Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for self-reported anxiety in males aged 16–71 years in Sweden in 1980/81–2004/05, estimated using mixed models with random intercepts
| Unadjusted model | Adjusted model | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Category | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI |
| Fixed effects | |||||
| Rate of change | |||||
| OR by age1 | Age centered at 42 years | 1.04 | 1.03–1.05 | 1.05 | 1.04–1.06 |
| Agec*cohortc | 0.9994 | 0.998–1.000 | 0.9993 | 0.9987–1.00002 | |
| Agec-squared | 0.998 | 0.997–0.999 | 0.998 | 0.997–0.999 | |
| OR by cohort2 | Cohort centered at 1950 | 1.03 | 1.02–1.04 | 1.04 | 1.03–1.05 |
| Education level | High | 1 | Reference | ||
| Intermediate | 1.01 | 0.79–1.28 | |||
| Low | 0.96 | 0.74–1.23 | |||
| Urbanization | Large cities | 1 | Reference | ||
| Medium towns | 0.91 | 0.72–1.16 | |||
| Small towns | 0.68 | 0.53–0.88 | |||
| Marital status | Married/cohabiting | 1 | Reference | ||
| All others | 2.03 | 1.65–2.51 | |||
| Smoking | Non-smokers | 1 | Reference | ||
| Daily smokers | 1.71 | 1.38–2.14 | |||
| Leisure time physical activity | More than once a week | 1 | Reference | ||
| None to once a week | 1.67 | 1.39–2.02 | |||
| Body mass index | Normal | 1 | Reference | ||
| Overweight | 0.88 | 0.72–1.09 | |||
| Obesity | 1.23 | 0.85–1.79 | |||
| Variance components | Variance | Standard error | Variance | Standard error | |
| Var (cons) | 3.33 | 0.38 | 3.02 | 0.35 | |
Agec, age-centered; cohortc, cohort-centered
Agec*cohortc represents interaction
OR, odds ratio. CI, confidence interval
1OR by increasing age and 2OR by later/younger cohort
Unadjusted model included agec, cohortc, the age-by-cohort interaction, and age-squared
Adjusted model also included education level, urbanization, marital status, smoking, leisure time physical activity, and body mass index
Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for self-reported anxiety in females aged 16–71 years in Sweden in 1980/81–2004/05, estimated using mixed models with random intercepts
| Unadjusted model | Adjusted model | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Category | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI |
| Fixed effects | |||||
| Rate of change | |||||
| OR by age1 | Age centered at 42 years | 1.04 | 1.03–1.05 | 1.05 | 1.04–1.06 |
| Agec*cohortc | 0.998 | 0.997–0.999 | 0.998 | 0.997–0.999 | |
| Agec-squared | 0.998 | 0.997–0.999 | 0.998 | 0.997–0.999 | |
| OR by cohort2 | Cohort centered at 1950 | 1.03 | 1.02–1.04 | 1.03 | 1.02–1.04 |
| Education level | High | 1 | Reference | ||
| Intermediate | 0.93 | 0.76–1.15 | |||
| Low | 1.29 | 1.04–1.59 | |||
| Urbanization | Large cities | 1 | Reference | ||
| Medium towns | 0.95 | 0.78–1.15 | |||
| Small towns | 0.80 | 0.65–0.98 | |||
| Marital status | Married/cohabiting | 1 | Reference | ||
| All others | 1.81 | 1.53–2.14 | |||
| Smoking | Non-smokers | 1 | Reference | ||
| Daily smokers | 1.61 | 1.35–1.93 | |||
| Leisure time physical activity | More than once a week | 1 | Reference | ||
| None to once a week | 1.43 | 1.24–1.65 | |||
| Body mass index | Normal | 1 | Reference | ||
| Overweight | 1.04 | 0.87–1.25 | |||
| Obesity | 1.31 | 0.97–1.77 | |||
| Variance components | Variance | Standard error | Variance | Standard error | |
| Var (cons) | 3.39 | 0.29 | 2.98 | 0.27 | |
Agec, age-centered; cohortc, cohort-centered
Agec*cohortc represents interaction
OR odds ratio, CI confidence interval
1OR by increasing age and 2OR by later/younger cohort
Unadjusted model included agec, cohortc, the age-by-cohort interaction, and age-squared
Adjusted model also included education level, urbanization, marital status, smoking, leisure time physical activity, and body mass index
Adjusted prevalence (%) of self-reported anxiety based on the adjusted models in Tables 3 and 4, and annual change in anxiety (ΔANX per year by age and cohort, test of trend) in males and females aged 16–71 years, presented according to age, cohort (birth year), and assessment period (longitudinal samples of the Swedish population from 1980/81, 1988/89, 1996/97, and 2004/05)
Colour code for assessment periods: 1980/81, , and .
ΔANX annual change in anxiety prevalence