The evolution of lifespan and age-dependent cancer risk.

The Armitage-Doll multi-stage model of carcinogenesis tremendously refocused cancer science by postulating that carcinogenesis is driven by a sequence of genetic changes in cells. Age-dependent cancer incidence thus has been explained in terms of the time necessary for oncogenic mutations to occur. While the multi-step nature of cancer evolution is well-supported by evidence, the mutation-centric theory is unable to explain a number of phenomena, such as the disproportion between cancer frequency and animal body size or the scaling of cancer incidence to animal lifespan. In this paper, we present a theoretical review of the current paradigm and discuss some fundamental evolutionary theory postulates that explain why cancer incidence is a function of lifespan and physiological, not chronological, aging.