Literature DB >> 28391136

Increasing incidence of type 1 diabetes between 1986 and 2015 in Bauru, Brazil.

Carlos Antonio Negrato1, José Roberto Pereira Lauris2, Ieso Braz Saggioro3, Maria Cristina Morato Corradini3, Pricila Rubia Borges3, Maria Cristina Crês3, Aluysio Leal Junior3, Maria Fatima Soares Guedes3, Marilia Brito Gomes4.   

Abstract

AIMS: To assess temporal trends in the incidence of type 1 diabetes in Bauru, São Paulo State, Brazil from 1986 to 2015. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The yearly incidence of type 1 diabetes (per 100,000/yr) from 1986 to 2015 was determined in children ≤14yr of age, using individual case notification and the capture and recapture method.
RESULTS: During thirty years (1986-2015), 302 cases were diagnosed in our population. The overall incidence was of 12.8/100,000 (95% CI: 11.2-14.4), ranging from 2.8/100,000 in 1987 to 25.6/100,000 in 2013 with a 9.1-fold variation. It was non-significantly higher in girls [13.7 (95% CI: 11.4-16.1)] than in boys [12.0 (95% CI: 9.8-14.2)] (p=0.48) and significantly higher in the 5-9yr [14.6 (95% CI: 11.8-17.4)] and 10-14yr [15.8 (95% CI: 12.7-18.8)] age ranges compared to the 0-4yr [8.1 (95% CI: 6.0-10.2)] age range (p<0.001). The majority of diagnoses were made in colder months. The patterns of incidence were very high and high in 80.0% of the study-years.
CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of type1 diabetes in children ≤14yr has increased in Bauru, Brazil, in the last thirty years, in approximately 3.1% annually, with an absolute crude increase of 2.5-fold. These findings pose Brazil as a country with high incidence of type 1 diabetes. All Brazilian regions should be enrolled in future studies to determine the factors that contribute to the predisposition to type 1 diabetes in our population and to the steep rise in its incidence.
Copyright © 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Entities:  

Keywords:  Brazil; Childhood; Incidence; Type 1 diabetes

Mesh:

Year:  2017        PMID: 28391136     DOI: 10.1016/j.diabres.2017.03.014

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Diabetes Res Clin Pract        ISSN: 0168-8227            Impact factor:   5.602


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