Peter R Greene1, Judith M Greene2. 1. Department of Bioengineering, BGKT Consulting Ltd, Huntington, NY, 11743, USA. prgreenBGKT@gmail.com. 2. BGKT Computer Sciences, Huntington, NY, USA.
Abstract
PURPOSE: Various high-percentage high-incidence medical conditions, acute or chronic, start at a particular age of onset t1 (years), accumulate or progress rapidly, with a system time constant t0 (years), typically from 1 week to 5 years, and then level off at a plateau level [Formula: see text], ultimately affecting 10-95% of the population. This report investigates the prevalence and incidence functions for myopia and high myopia as a function of age. METHODS: Fundamental prevalence versus time and incidence versus time results allow continuous prediction of myopia and high myopia population fractions as a function of age. This is a retrospective study. Nine reports are calculated with N = 444,600 subjects. There were no interventions other than usual regular eye examinations and subsequent indicated refraction change. RESULTS: The main result is continuous prediction of myopia prevalence-time data along with incidence rate data (%/year), age of onset (years), system plateau level, and system time constant (years). These parameters apply to progressive myopia and high myopia (R < -6 D), useful over several decades. CONCLUSIONS: The primary finding of this research is that the prevalence ratio of high myopes (R < -6.0 D) to common myopes is expected to increase from 15% entering college to 45% or more after college and graduate school. These statistics are particularly relevant to the many years of study required by M.D., Ph.D., and M.D./Ph.D. programs.
PURPOSE: Various high-percentage high-incidence medical conditions, acute or chronic, start at a particular age of onset t1 (years), accumulate or progress rapidly, with a system time constant t0 (years), typically from 1 week to 5 years, and then level off at a plateau level [Formula: see text], ultimately affecting 10-95% of the population. This report investigates the prevalence and incidence functions for myopia and high myopia as a function of age. METHODS: Fundamental prevalence versus time and incidence versus time results allow continuous prediction of myopia and high myopia population fractions as a function of age. This is a retrospective study. Nine reports are calculated with N = 444,600 subjects. There were no interventions other than usual regular eye examinations and subsequent indicated refraction change. RESULTS: The main result is continuous prediction of myopia prevalence-time data along with incidence rate data (%/year), age of onset (years), system plateau level, and system time constant (years). These parameters apply to progressive myopia and high myopia (R < -6 D), useful over several decades. CONCLUSIONS: The primary finding of this research is that the prevalence ratio of high myopes (R < -6.0 D) to common myopes is expected to increase from 15% entering college to 45% or more after college and graduate school. These statistics are particularly relevant to the many years of study required by M.D., Ph.D., and M.D./Ph.D. programs.
Entities:
Keywords:
Exponential equations; High myopia; Incidence; Myopia; Onset age; Plateau level; Prevalence; Reading glasses; Time constant
Authors: Seang-Mei Saw; Louis Tong; Wei-Han Chua; Kee-Seng Chia; David Koh; Donald T H Tan; Joanne Katz Journal: Invest Ophthalmol Vis Sci Date: 2005-01 Impact factor: 4.799
Authors: Dorothy S P Fan; Dennis S C Lam; Robert F Lam; Joseph T F Lau; King S Chong; Eva Y Y Cheung; Ricky Y K Lai; Sek-Jin Chew Journal: Invest Ophthalmol Vis Sci Date: 2004-04 Impact factor: 4.799