| Literature DB >> 28361522 |
Tae-Hoon Lee1,2, Woorim Kim1,2, Jaeyong Shin2,3, Eun-Cheol Park2,3, Sohee Park2,4, Tae Hyun Kim2,4.
Abstract
PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to conduct a cost effectiveness analysis of strategies designed to improve national cervical cancer screening rates, along with a distributional cost effectiveness analysis that considers regional disparities.Entities:
Keywords: Cost-benefit analysis; Distributional cost effectiveness analysis; Healthcare disparities; National cervical cancer screening; Screening uptake regional disparities
Mesh:
Year: 2017 PMID: 28361522 PMCID: PMC5784631 DOI: 10.4143/crt.2016.525
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cancer Res Treat ISSN: 1598-2998 Impact factor: 4.679
Fig. 1.Model of the natural history of cervical cancer. HPV, human papillomavirus; CIN, cervical intraepithelial neoplasia.
2012 specific cervical cancer screening and mortality rates according to region and age
| Age (yr) | Seoul | Daegu | Daejun | Incheon | Gwangju | Ulsan | Gyeonggi | Busan | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Screening | Mortality | Screening | Mortality | Screening | Mortality | Screening | Mortality | Screening | Mortality | Screening | Mortality | Screening | Mortality | Screening | Mortality | |
| 20-24 | 0.0411 | 0.0002 | 0.0405 | 0.0002 | 0.02 | 0.0002 | 0.0417 | 0.0003 | 0.01 | 0.0003 | 0.0598 | 0.0005 | 0.0430 | 0.0002 | 0.0312 | 0.0003 |
| 25-29 | 0.1814 | 0.0003 | 0.1538 | 0.0005 | 0.2215 | 0.0004 | 0.202 | 0.0004 | 0.1445 | 0.0004 | 0.1986 | 0.0003 | 0.2201 | 0.0003 | 0.1347 | 0.0005 |
| 30-34 | 0.4076 | 0.0005 | 0.3503 | 0.0005 | 0.4534 | 0.0003 | 0.4314 | 0.0005 | 0.3434 | 0.0005 | 0.4128 | 0.0005 | 0.4591 | 0.0004 | 0.4019 | 0.0006 |
| 35-39 | 0.5172 | 0.0005 | 0.4972 | 0.0006 | 0.4821 | 0.0005 | 0.5117 | 0.0005 | 0.5174 | 0.0007 | 0.4765 | 0.0005 | 0.5542 | 0.0005 | 0.4427 | 0.0006 |
| 40-44 | 0.6364 | 0.0007 | 0.5444 | 0.0008 | 0.6361 | 0.0009 | 0.6131 | 0.0009 | 0.6277 | 0.0008 | 0.6606 | 0.0009 | 0.6590 | 0.0008 | 0.6024 | 0.0009 |
| 45-49 | 0.6557 | 0.0011 | 0.6069 | 0.0011 | 0.6997 | 0.0013 | 0.6232 | 0.0012 | 0.6985 | 0.0011 | 0.6575 | 0.0010 | 0.6705 | 0.0012 | 0.6336 | 0.0013 |
| 50-54 | 0.6918 | 0.0014 | 0.6545 | 0.0018 | 0.7912 | 0.0013 | 0.6117 | 0.0016 | 0.6912 | 0.0017 | 0.6426 | 0.0017 | 0.686 | 0.0016 | 0.6472 | 0.0017 |
| 55-59 | 0.7126 | 0.0019 | 0.6391 | 0.0020 | 0.7406 | 0.0024 | 0.6227 | 0.0023 | 0.6794 | 0.0023 | 0.6207 | 0.0022 | 0.694 | 0.0023 | 0.6596 | 0.0024 |
| 60-64 | 0.6837 | 0.0029 | 0.5527 | 0.0034 | 0.6667 | 0.0036 | 0.6176 | 0.0040 | 0.7135 | 0.0035 | 0.6194 | 0.0025 | 0.6414 | 0.0035 | 0.6223 | 0.0038 |
| 65-69 | 0.5854 | 0.0052 | 0.4957 | 0.0065 | 0.6393 | 0.0070 | 0.5186 | 0.0067 | 0.5938 | 0.0059 | 0.4356 | 0.0071 | 0.5811 | 0.0062 | 0.6098 | 0.0066 |
| 70-74 | 0.5498 | 0.0105 | 0.3798 | 0.0128 | 0.4956 | 0.0126 | 0.4113 | 0.0133 | 0.5504 | 0.0135 | 0.3556 | 0.016 | 0.4839 | 0.0125 | 0.4736 | 0.014 |
| 75-79 | 0.3801 | 0.0225 | 0.2470 | 0.0246 | 0.3882 | 0.0261 | 0.3363 | 0.0259 | 0.4433 | 0.0276 | 0.3429 | 0.0302 | 0.3668 | 0.0250 | 0.3503 | 0.0301 |
| 80-84 | 0.197 | 0.0802 | 0.1765 | 0.0936 | 0.2979 | 0.0868 | 0.1818 | 0.0859 | 0.1892 | 0.0951 | 0.0606 | 0.1014 | 0.2284 | 0.0837 | 0.1741 | 0.0940 |
| ≥ 85 | 0.1111 | 0.037 | 0.2188 | 0.0723 | 0.3913 | 0.0952 | 0.113 | 0.1333 | ||||||||
| 20-24 | 0.0639 | 0.0003 | 0.0519 | 0.0002 | 0.0641 | 0.0004 | 0.0145 | 0.0004 | 0.0558 | 0.0003 | 0.0215 | 0.0003 | 0.0265 | 0.0002 | 0.0196 | 0.0004 |
| 25-29 | 0.2129 | 0.0003 | 0.2374 | 0.0005 | 0.2169 | 0.0004 | 0.1991 | 0.0004 | 0.1528 | 0.0004 | 0.1689 | 0.0004 | 0.1838 | 0.0005 | 0.1553 | 0.0008 |
| 30-34 | 0.4269 | 0.0006 | 0.4092 | 0.0006 | 0.3824 | 0.0006 | 0.3684 | 0.0005 | 0.3217 | 0.0006 | 0.4048 | 0.0007 | 0.4007 | 0.0007 | 0.3459 | 0.0005 |
| 35-39 | 0.4919 | 0.0008 | 0.5047 | 0.0007 | 0.4991 | 0.0006 | 0.5090 | 0.0008 | 0.4803 | 0.0009 | 0.4393 | 0.0007 | 0.5091 | 0.0006 | 0.5126 | 0.0007 |
| 40-44 | 0.5819 | 0.0010 | 0.6117 | 0.0011 | 0.6124 | 0.0012 | 0.5919 | 0.0010 | 0.6163 | 0.0009 | 0.563 | 0.001 | 0.6304 | 0.0009 | 0.5506 | 0.0012 |
| 45-49 | 0.6185 | 0.0014 | 0.6399 | 0.0013 | 0.6549 | 0.0011 | 0.6596 | 0.0014 | 0.6064 | 0.0013 | 0.5707 | 0.0015 | 0.6501 | 0.0012 | 0.6100 | 0.0016 |
| 50-54 | 0.6723 | 0.0021 | 0.6766 | 0.0023 | 0.6491 | 0.0018 | 0.6960 | 0.0021 | 0.6347 | 0.0020 | 0.5843 | 0.0016 | 0.652 | 0.0018 | 0.6809 | 0.0016 |
| 55-59 | 0.669 | 0.0026 | 0.6875 | 0.0022 | 0.6404 | 0.0029 | 0.6650 | 0.0028 | 0.6579 | 0.0022 | 0.5921 | 0.0025 | 0.6372 | 0.0024 | 0.6335 | 0.0018 |
| 60-64 | 0.6237 | 0.0041 | 0.6089 | 0.0040 | 0.6022 | 0.0043 | 0.6848 | 0.0045 | 0.6310 | 0.0032 | 0.5611 | 0.0035 | 0.5894 | 0.0038 | 0.6293 | 0.0039 |
| 65-69 | 0.5851 | 0.0069 | 0.5725 | 0.0067 | 0.5415 | 0.0072 | 0.5592 | 0.0064 | 0.6111 | 0.0068 | 0.5026 | 0.006 | 0.4882 | 0.0066 | 0.5000 | 0.0047 |
| 70-74 | 0.4893 | 0.0125 | 0.4814 | 0.0125 | 0.4762 | 0.0147 | 0.5455 | 0.0127 | 0.5115 | 0.0120 | 0.4059 | 0.013 | 0.4107 | 0.0125 | 0.3772 | 0.0087 |
| 75-79 | 0.3925 | 0.0239 | 0.3582 | 0.0245 | 0.3579 | 0.0264 | 0.4347 | 0.0240 | 0.4812 | 0.0246 | 0.3063 | 0.0254 | 0.2894 | 0.0283 | 0.3009 | 0.0208 |
| 80-84 | 0.2351 | 0.0844 | 0.2402 | 0.0799 | 0.1889 | 0.0888 | 0.3000 | 0.0823 | 0.3122 | 0.0838 | 0.1943 | 0.0849 | 0.1761 | 0.0871 | 0.1909 | 0.0735 |
| ≥ 85 | 0.1321 | 0.1917 | 0.0989 | 0.1714 | 0.1895 | 0.0767 | 0.0417 | 0.1014 | ||||||||
Age- and site-specific cervical cancer mortality rates
| Age (yr) | Mortality rate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-Year | 2-Year | 3-Year | 4-Year | 5-Year | |
| 20-29 | 0.039 | 0.093 | 0.127 | 0.147 | 0.167 |
| 30-39 | 0.017 | 0.057 | 0.089 | 0.105 | 0.117 |
| 40-49 | 0.013 | 0.038 | 0.062 | 0.073 | 0.091 |
| 50-59 | 0.015 | 0.054 | 0.089 | 0.118 | 0.140 |
| 60-69 | 0.027 | 0.067 | 0.114 | 0.143 | 0.157 |
| 70-79 | 0.048 | 0.115 | 0.146 | 0.191 | 0.214 |
| ≥ 80 | 0.113 | 0.223 | 0.357 | 0.392 | 0.567 |
| 20-29 | 0.177 | 0.155 | 0.057 | 0.000 | 0.035 |
| 30-39 | 0.100 | 0.131 | 0.055 | 0.043 | 0.026 |
| 40-49 | 0.087 | 0.133 | 0.072 | 0.035 | 0.024 |
| 50-59 | 0.090 | 0.103 | 0.073 | 0.034 | 0.033 |
| 60-69 | 0.082 | 0.097 | 0.073 | 0.042 | 0.049 |
| 70-79 | 0.107 | 0.126 | 0.058 | 0.069 | 0.054 |
| ≥ 80 | 0.206 | 0.191 | 0.124 | 0.079 | 0.068 |
| 20-29 | 0.737 | 0.058 | 0.026 | 0.000 | 0.040 |
| 30-39 | 0.589 | 0.206 | 0.058 | 0.025 | 0.070 |
| 40-49 | 0.491 | 0.190 | 0.081 | 0.052 | 0.026 |
| 50-59 | 0.505 | 0.195 | 0.075 | 0.054 | 0.011 |
| 60-69 | 0.508 | 0.195 | 0.073 | 0.05 | 0.000 |
| 70-79 | 0.533 | 0.153 | 0.035 | 0.028 | 0.022 |
| ≥ 80 | 0.674 | 0.089 | 0.068 | 0.096 | 0.002 |
Cervical cancer screening program model parameters
| Parameter | Value |
|---|---|
| Age (yr) | |
| 20-29 | 0.24 |
| 30-39 | 0.14 |
| 40-49 | 0.13 |
| 50-59 | 0.09 |
| 60-69 | 0.03 |
| ≥ 70 | 0.01 |
| State | |
| CIN1 known → CIN2/3 known | 8.31 |
| CIN1 unknown → CIN2/3 unknown | 13.00 |
| CIN2/3 known → Local known | 2.14 |
| CIN2/3 unknown → Local unknown | 50.00 |
| Regression state | |
| HPV → Well | |
| 20-24 yr | 0.552 |
| 25-29 yr | 0.370 |
| ≥ 30 yr | 0.103 |
| CIN1 →Well | |
| 20-34 yr | 0.1449 |
| ≥ 35 yr | 0.0738 |
| CIN1 → HPV | |
| 20-34 yr | 0.0161 |
| ≥ 35 yr | 0.0082 |
| CIN2/3 → Well | 0.0345 |
| CIN2/3 → CIN1 | 0.0345 |
| State | |
| Local unknown → Regional unknown | 14.8 |
| Regional unknown → Distant unknown | 31.1 |
HPV, human papillomavirus; CIN, cervical intraepithelial neoplasia.
Cervical cancer screening program cost and utilities parameters
| Cost | Value |
|---|---|
| Primary screening costs (total=48,974) | |
| Pap smear test | 7,349 |
| Primary diagnosis | 15,159 |
| Consultation | 5,748 |
| Total | 28,256 |
| Transportation (one way) | 6,247 |
| Total (×2) | 12,494 |
| Time | 7,954 |
| Postage of results | 270 |
| Secondary costs due to positive screening results (total=89,798) | |
| Re-diagnosis | 11,395 |
| Specialty consultation | 6,267 |
| Total | 17,662 |
| Mean[ | 32,057 |
| Time (×2) | 15,091 |
| Transportation | 6,247 |
| Total | 24,988 |
| Precancer treatment | |
| CIN1 treatment | 2,694,607 |
| CIN2/3 treatment | 5,184,292 |
| Cervical cancer treatment | |
| Local | 4,585,303 |
| Regional | 4,907,512 |
| Distant | 7,860,224 |
| Cervical cancer follow up management at 1 yr | |
| Local | 1,642,859 |
| Regional | 1,641,271 |
| Distant | 1,650,366 |
| Cervical cancer follow up management at 2/3/4 yr | |
| Local | 871,275 |
| Regional | 870,433 |
| Distant | 875,257 |
| State | |
| Well or well history | 0.763 |
| CIN1 | 0.714 |
| CIN2/3 | 0.711 |
| Local | 0.496 |
| Regional | 0.477 |
| Distant | 0.366 |
| Sensitivity and specificity of Pap smear test | |
| CIN1 sensitivity | 0.77 |
| CIN2/3 sensitivity | 0.86 |
| Cancer sensitivity | 0.97 |
| Specificity | 0.58 |
CIN, cervical intraepithelial neoplasia.
All values are in Korean won (KRW),
Mean refers to the average colposcopy, biopsy, and human papillomavirus DNA test costs.
Costs, QALY, and ICER per capita of national cervical cancer screening program strategies
| Variable | Cost[ | Incremental cost[ | Effectiveness | Incremental effect | ICER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current (baseline) | 25,661,227 | - | 44.5874 | - | - |
| Strong recommendation to target regions | 26,021,187 | 359,960 | 44.6363 | 0.0489 | 7,361,145 |
| Regular universal screening recommendation | 26,169,410 | 508,183 | 44.6466 | 0.0592 | 8,584,172 |
| Strong universal screening recommendation | 26,650,816 | 989,589 | 44.6734 | 0.086 | 11,506,849 |
QALY, quality adjusted life years; ICER, incremental cost effectiveness ratio; CIN, cervical intraepithelial neoplasia.
Costs are in Korean won (KRW).
QALY and cost distribution per capita of regions
| Population | Current | Strong recommendation to target regions | Regular universal screening recommendation | Strong universal screening recommendation | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daegu | 49,866 | 44.520 | 2,220,040 | 44.520 | 2,220,040 | 44.615 | 2,224,782 | 44.638 | 2,225,944 |
| Gwangju | 27,993 | 44.419 | 1,245,930 | 44.419 | 1,245,930 | 44.508 | 1,248,432 | 44.529 | 1,249,010 |
| Ulsan | 21,256 | 44.234 | 942,145 | 44.234 | 942,145 | 44.316 | 943,885 | 44.336 | 944,326 |
| Incheon | 54,618 | 44.599 | 2,440,842 | 44.599 | 2,440,842 | 44.681 | 2,445,313 | 44.702 | 2,446,485 |
| Seoul | 208,613 | 45.185 | 9,445,269 | 45.185 | 9,445,269 | 45.268 | 9,462,577 | 45.289 | 9,466,967 |
| Daejeon | 29,252 | 44.700 | 1,310,203 | 44.700 | 1,310,203 | 44.775 | 1,312,416 | 44.795 | 1,312,993 |
| Gyeonggi | 228,556 | 44.838 | 10,268,755 | 44.838 | 10,268,755 | 44.912 | 10,285,565 | 44.931 | 10,289,962 |
| Jeonnam | 38,135 | 44.603 | 1,704,375 | 44.721 | 1,708,892 | 44.698 | 1,708,013 | 44.721 | 1,708,892 |
| Gyeongbuk | 54,320 | 44.508 | 2,422,573 | 44.626 | 2,429,012 | 44.602 | 2,427,689 | 44.626 | 2,429,012 |
| Busan | 72,917 | 45.137 | 3,297,875 | 45.253 | 3,306,372 | 45.230 | 3,304,684 | 45.253 | 3,306,372 |
| Jeju | 11,047 | 45.025 | 498,412 | 45.144 | 499,733 | 45.121 | 499,471 | 45.144 | 499,733 |
| Jeonbuk | 37,033 | 44.512 | 1,651,741 | 44.619 | 1,655,719 | 44.597 | 1,654,921 | 44.619 | 1,655,719 |
| Gyeongnam | 39,194 | 44.475 | 2,875,704 | 44.58 | 2,882,520 | 44.559 | 2,881,162 | 44.580 | 2,882,520 |
| Chungnam | 64,528 | 44.299 | 1,739,773 | 44.404 | 1,743,869 | 44.382 | 1,743,029 | 44.404 | 1,743,869 |
| Gangwon | 30,380 | 44.524 | 1,355,388 | 44.627 | 1,358,524 | 44.605 | 1,357,863 | 44.627 | 1,358,524 |
| Chungbuk | 30,371 | 44.619 | 1,357,881 | 44.720 | 1,360,954 | 44.699 | 1,360,309 | 44.720 | 1,360,954 |
Costs are in Korean won. QALY, quality adjusted life years.
Fig. 2.Atkinson incremental cost effectiveness ratio change on changes in societal inequality aversion.