| Literature DB >> 28348492 |
Amit K Mathur1, Apurba K Chakrabarti1, Jessica L Mellinger1, Michael L Volk1, Ryan Day1, Andrew L Singer1, Winston R Hewitt1, Kunam S Reddy1, Adyr A Moss1.
Abstract
AIM: To determine whether hospital characteristics predict cirrhosis mortality and how much variation in mortality is attributable to hospital differences.Entities:
Keywords: Cirrhosis; Hospital variation; Mortality; Outcomes; Quality; Resource utilization
Mesh:
Year: 2017 PMID: 28348492 PMCID: PMC5352927 DOI: 10.3748/wjg.v23.i10.1857
Source DB: PubMed Journal: World J Gastroenterol ISSN: 1007-9327 Impact factor: 5.742
Figure 1Variation in risk and reliability-adjusted mortality for cirrhosis admissions. The 805 hospitals in the analysis demonstrated tremendously variable mortality risk, even after risk adjusting for clinical and demographic differences between patients and accounting for differences in the reliability of the estimate for a given hospital, which is driven by institutional cirrhosis volume. Cirrhosis mortality odds ratios ranged from nearly 50% lower than the average hospital to 200% higher for some hospitals.
Patient and hospital characteristics by hospital performance quintile in risk and reliability-adjusted cirrhosis mortality
| Patient characteristics | |||||||
| Patients | 21524 | 11117 | 12427 | 12648 | 15017 | 72733 | - |
| Demographics | |||||||
| Age | |||||||
| Mean age (yr) | 56.8 | 57.5 | 57.6 | 57.3 | 57.4 | 57.2 | < 0.00001 |
| Sex | |||||||
| Female (%) | 36.4 | 36.7 | 35.9 | 35.0 | 35.3 | 35.9 | 0.01381 |
| Race | |||||||
| White (%) | 59.9 | 55.6 | 54.8 | 51.7 | 52.6 | 55.4 | < 0.00001 |
| Black (%) | 5.8 | 7.7 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 9.0 | 6.7 | |
| Hispanic (%) | 15.2 | 20.2 | 21.5 | 17.4 | 20.3 | 18.5 | |
| Asian or Pacific Islander (%) | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 | |
| Native American (%) | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | |
| Other (%) | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 2.4 | |
| Missing (%) | 14.4 | 12.1 | 12.4 | 19.6 | 12.0 | 14.1 | |
| Insurance | |||||||
| Medicare (%) | 36.1 | 37.2 | 38.0 | 36.9 | 37.3 | 37.0 | < 0.00001 |
| Medicaid (%) | 22.9 | 24.5 | 24.8 | 23.8 | 26.5 | 24.4 | |
| Private Insurance (%) | 27.4 | 26.5 | 25.2 | 25.3 | 22.5 | 25.5 | |
| Self-Pay (%) | 7.5 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 8.4 | 7.8 | 7.7 | |
| No Charge (%) | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | |
| Other (%) | 5.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 4.3 | 4.6 | |
| Cause of cirrhosis | |||||||
| Alcoholic liver disease (%) | 61.0 | 62.5 | 61.0 | 60.8 | 60.3 | 61.1 | 0.00880 |
| Alcoholic cirrhosis (%) | 60.9 | 62.4 | 60.9 | 60.6 | 60.2 | 60.9 | 0.00589 |
| Non-alcoholic cirrhosis (%) | 38.0 | 36.9 | 38.0 | 38.6 | 39.0 | 38.1 | 0.00762 |
| Biliary cirrhosis (%) | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | < 0.00001 |
| HCV positive (%) | 25.3 | 23.0 | 22.1 | 25.1 | 26.4 | 24.6 | < 0.00001 |
| Unspecified liver disease or cirrhosis (%) | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.2 | < 0.00001 |
| A1AT, Cu, Fe disease (%) | 0.89 | 0.65 | 0.64 | 0.74 | 0.68 | 0.74 | 0.04067 |
| Complications of Cirrhosis | |||||||
| Ascites (%) | 31.8 | 27.5 | 30.2 | 30.3 | 26.9 | 29.6 | < 0.00001 |
| Variceal bleed (%) | 9.6 | 10.3 | 9.6 | 9.3 | 9.4 | 9.6 | 0.05605 |
| Hepatic Encephalopathy (%) | 53.7 | 55.2 | 52.5 | 54.1 | 55.7 | 54.2 | < 0.00001 |
| Portal HTN (%) | 44.3 | 41.1 | 44.9 | 42.7 | 41.5 | 43.0 | < 0.00001 |
| Hepatorenal syndrome (%) | 9.3 | 7.8 | 8.2 | 8.3 | 8.9 | 8.6 | 0.00003 |
| Hepatocellular carcinoma (%) | 3.9 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.3 | < 0.00001 |
| Procedures | |||||||
| Liver transplant | 2.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1.7 | < 0.00001 |
| Esophagogastroduodenoscopy | 18.1 | 19.0 | 20.4 | 19.3 | 18.3 | 18.9 | < 0.00001 |
| Paracentesis | 32.9 | 29.7 | 30.0 | 29.7 | 29.2 | 30.6 | < 0.00001 |
| Mortality characteristics | |||||||
| APR-DRG Risk of Mortality | |||||||
| Minor risk of mortality (%) | 5.9 | 7.8 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 9.1 | 7.1 | < 0.00001 |
| Moderate risk of mortality (%) | 31.3 | 34.1 | 34.4 | 33.2 | 34.0 | 33.2 | |
| Major risk of mortality (%) | 41.0 | 39.4 | 39.4 | 39.5 | 37.0 | 39.4 | |
| Extreme risk of mortality (%) | 21.8 | 18.7 | 19.4 | 20.7 | 19.9 | 20.3 | |
| Mortality | |||||||
| Expired during admission (%) | 5.1 | 6.0 | 7.5 | 9.8 | 12.3 | 7.9 | < 0.00001 |
| Hospital characteristic | |||||||
| Number of hospitals | 161 | 161 | 161 | 161 | 161 | 805 | - |
| Region | |||||||
| Northeast hospital region (%) | 19.3 | 25.5 | 27.3 | 24.8 | 34.2 | 26.2 | 0.06961 |
| Midwest hospital region (%) | 18.6 | 13.7 | 17.4 | 13.0 | 9.3 | 14.4 | |
| South hospital region (%) | 29.2 | 32.3 | 19.9 | 29.2 | 26.7 | 27.5 | |
| West hospital region (%) | 32.9 | 28.6 | 35.4 | 32.9 | 29.8 | 31.9 | |
| Bed capacity | |||||||
| Small bedsize (%) | 23.0 | 41.0 | 36.6 | 33.5 | 32.3 | 33.3 | 0.05554 |
| Medium bedsize (%) | 37.9 | 31.7 | 32.9 | 34.2 | 29.8 | 33.3 | |
| Large bedsize (%) | 39.1 | 27.3 | 30.4 | 32.3 | 37.9 | 33.4 | |
| Hospital ICU beds (mean) | 24.3 | 19.1 | 20.1 | 19.9 | 20.8 | 20.8 | 0.04608 |
| Patient casemix | |||||||
| Hospital Cirrhosis Annual Volume (mean) | 133.7 | 69.0 | 77.2 | 78.6 | 93.3 | 90.4 | < 0.00001 |
| Medicaid Days (mean) | 18139 | 15339 | 18158 | 18699 | 22662 | 18599 | 0.18260 |
| Admission characteristics | |||||||
| Length of stay (days) (mean) | 5.9 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 0.00019 |
| Total charges ($ mean) | 43391 | 36593 | 40500 | 43389 | 40340 | 40877 | 0.19458 |
| Expired during admission (%) | 4.0 | 5.3 | 7.3 | 10.1 | 13.2 | 8.0 | < 0.00001 |
| Staffing characteristics | |||||||
| Full-time LPN’s | 1.65 | 2.18 | 2.18 | 1.94 | 2.34 | 2.06 | 0.03218 |
| Full-time MD’s | 2.74 | 2.02 | 2.55 | 1.88 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 0.27122 |
| Teaching Status | |||||||
| Teaching hospital | 42.9 | 32.9 | 38.5 | 39.8 | 41.6 | 39.1 | 0.40386 |
| Resident FTE’s (mean) | 79.2 | 40.7 | 57.7 | 59.0 | 65.7 | 60.5 | 0.33158 |
| Specialty Services | |||||||
| Liver transplant hospital (%) | 15.5 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.6 | 4.3 | 7.1 | 0.00020 |
Patients have multiple diagnoses;
19 hospitals missing total charge data on 1751 patients;
per 10000 Adjusted Patient days;
43 hospitals that changed teaching status during the study period were considered teaching if 50% or more of patients were admitted while a teaching hospital.
Risk-adjusted effects of patient factors, era, and hospital resources on in-patient cirrhosis mortality
| Patient covariates | |||
| Age | 1.00 | 0.97-1.01 | 0.592 |
| Female | 1.05 | 0.93-1.06 | 0.753 |
| Ascites | 1.79 | 0.96-1.15 | 0.262 |
| Variceal hemorrhage | 1.26 | 1.64-1.95 | < 0.001 |
| Hepatic encephalopathy | 0.63 | 1.18-1.34 | < 0.001 |
| Portal hypertension | 1.16 | 0.59-0.68 | < 0.001 |
| Hepatorenal syndrome | 0.20 | 1.07-1.25 | < 0.001 |
| Received liver transplant | 0.83 | 0.15-0.26 | < 0.001 |
| HCV positive | 1.43 | 1.33-1.54 | < 0.001 |
| Alcoholic liver disease | 1.23 | 1.33-1.54 | < 0.001 |
| Paracentesis during admission | 0.76 | 0.71-0.82 | 0.006 |
| EGD during admission | 0.81 | 0.75-0.88 | < 0.001 |
| Co-morbidity burden (APR DRG risk of mortality) | |||
| Minor | Reference | ||
| Moderate | 1.54 | 1.14-2.07 | 0.005 |
| Major | 6.02 | 4.55-7.96 | < 0.001 |
| Extreme | 58.8 | 44.5-77.8 | < 0.001 |
| Era (year of admission) | |||
| 2005 | Reference | ||
| 2006 | 0.89 | 0.79-1.00 | 0.053 |
| 2007 | 0.79 | 0.70-0.89 | < 0.001 |
| 2008 | 0.75 | 0.66-0.85 | < 0.001 |
| 2009 | 0.68 | 0.60-0.78 | < 0.001 |
| 2010 | 0.51 | 0.56-0.59 | < 0.001 |
| 2011 | 0.49 | 0.42-0.56 | < 0.001 |
| Hospital resources (hospital structural factors) | |||
| Hospital cirrhosis volume | 1.01 | 1.00-1.01 | 0.025 |
| Hospital medicaid days | 1.01 | 1.00-1.01 | 0.029 |
| Hospital liver transplant program | 0.83 | 0.71-0.98 | 0.026 |
| Full-time LPN’s | 1.02 | 1.00-1.04 | 0.015 |
| Full-time MD’s | 0.99 | 0.98-1.00 | 0.140 |
| Resident FTE’s | 1.00 | 1.00-1.00 | 0.115 |
| ICU beds | 1.00 | 1.00-1.00 | 0.446 |
Figure 2Inter-hospital variation in cirrhosis mortality explained by individual facility characteristics. Across the 72733 cirrhosis admissions in 805 hospitals, the regression model including clinical risk adjustors, era effects, and facility characteristics explained approximately 15.3% of the total variation in cirrhosis mortality between hospitals. This figure demonstrates the specific hospital factors that additively accounted for this measured variation. Annual cirrhosis volume, case mix, nurse staffing, liver transplant services, and other facility characteristics accounted for this variation, but it is notable that the majority of variation between hospitals remains unexplained.