Literature DB >> 28266590

Predictive Factors of Intestinal Necrosis in Acute Mesenteric Ischemia: Prospective Study from an Intestinal Stroke Center.

Alexandre Nuzzo1,2, Leon Maggiori2,3, Maxime Ronot2,4, Aymeric Becq1, Aurelie Plessier5, Nathalie Gault2,6,7, Francisca Joly1,2, Yves Castier2,8, Valerie Vilgrain2,4, Catherine Paugam2,9, Yves Panis2,3, Yoram Bouhnik1,2, Dominique Cazals-Hatem10, Olivier Corcos1,2.   

Abstract

OBJECTIVES: To identify predictive factors for irreversible transmural intestinal necrosis (ITIN) in acute mesenteric ischemia (AMI) and establish a risk score for ITIN.
METHODS: This single-center prospective cohort study was performed between 2009 and 2015 in patients with AMI. The primary outcome was the occurrence of ITIN, confirmed by specimen analysis in patients who underwent surgery. Patients who recovered from AMI with no need for intestinal resection were considered not to have ITIN. Clinical, biological and radiological data were compared in a Cox regression model.
RESULTS: A total of 67 patients were included. The origin of AMI was arterial, venous, or non-occlusive in 61%, 37%, 2% of cases, respectively. Intestinal resection and ITIN concerned 42% and 34% of patients, respectively. Factors associated with ITIN in multivariate analysis were: organ failure (hazard ratio (HR): 3.1 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.1-8.5); P=0.03), serum lactate levels >2 mmol/l (HR: 4.1 (95% CI: 1.4-11.5); P=0.01), and bowel loop dilation on computerized tomography scan (HR: 2.6 (95% CI: 1.2-5.7); P=0.02). ITIN rate increased from 3% to 38%, 89%, and 100% in patients with 0, 1, 2, and 3 factors, respectively. Area under the receiver operating characteristics curve for the diagnosis of ITIN was 0.936 (95% CI: 0.866-0.997) depending on the number of predictive factors.
CONCLUSIONS: We identified three predictive factors for irreversible intestinal ischemic injury requiring resection in the setting of AMI. Close monitoring of these factors could help avoid unnecessary laparotomy, prevent resection, as well as complications due to unresected necrosis, and possibly lower the overall mortality.

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Year:  2017        PMID: 28266590     DOI: 10.1038/ajg.2017.38

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Am J Gastroenterol        ISSN: 0002-9270            Impact factor:   10.864


  32 in total

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9.  Multidetector CT findings in patients with mesenteric ischaemia following cardiopulmonary bypass surgery.

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10.  Unchanged high mortality rates from acute occlusive intestinal ischemia: six year review.

Authors:  Woubet T Kassahun; Thomas Schulz; Olaf Richter; Johann Hauss
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7.  Predictive Factors for Intestinal Transmural Necrosis in Patients with Acute Mesenteric Ischemia.

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8.  Risk factors of geriatrics index of comorbidity and MDCT findings for predicting mortality in patients with acute mesenteric ischemia due to superior mesenteric artery thromboembolism.

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9.  Relationship of superior mesenteric artery thrombus density with transmural intestinal necrosis on multidetector computed tomography in acute mesenteric ischemia.

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10.  A Comprehensive Way to Access Hospital Death Prediction Model for Acute Mesenteric Ischemia: A Combination of Traditional Statistics and Machine Learning.

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