Soluble HLA-G is a differential prognostic marker in sequential colorectal cancer disease stages.

The expression of HLA-G by tumour cells is an established mechanism to escape recognition and immune mediated destruction, allowing tumour survival, growth and metastasis. However, the prognostic value of soluble HLA-G (sHLA-G) remains unknown. Mucinous carcinoma (MC) is a distinct form of colorectal cancer (CRC) found in 10 to 15% of patients, which has long been associated with poor response to treatment. To investigate the prognostic value of plasma sHLA-G levels in CRC patients, preoperative plasma sHLA-G levels were determined by ELISA in CRC patients (n = 133). In addition, the local expression of HLA-G in tumour biopsies was assessed using tissue microarray analysis (n = 255). Within the high 33rd percentile of sHLA-G levels (265-890 U/mL; n = 44) we observed higher frequency of MC patients (p = 0.012; Chi-square), and higher sHLA-G levels in patients with vascular invasion (p = 0.035; two-tailed t-test). Moreover, MC patients had significantly higher sHLA-G levels compared to those with adenocarcinoma not otherwise specified (p = 0.036; two-tailed t-test). Surprisingly, while stage II patients showed negative correlation between sHLA-G levels and liver metastasis free survival (LMFS) (p = 0.041; R = -0.321), in stage III patients high sHLA-G levels were associated with significantly longer LMFS (p = 0.002), and sHLA-G levels displayed positive correlation with LMFS (p = 0.006; R = 0.409). High HLA-G expression in tumours was associated with poor cancer specific overall survival in stage II to III (p = 0.01), and with shorter LMFS in stage II patients (p = 0.004). Our findings reveal that sHLA-G levels are associated with distinct progression patterns in consecutive disease stages, indicating a potential value as surrogate marker in the differential prognosis of CRC.