Literature DB >> 28229010

Tropical cyclones in a year of rising global temperatures and a strengthening El Niño.

James M Shultz1, J Marshall Shepherd2, Rohini Bagrodia3, Zelde Espinel4.   

Abstract

The year 2015 is notable for the coincidence of several strong climate indicators that having bearing on the occurrence and intensity of tropical cyclones worldwide. This year, 2015, is clearly on track to become the warmest on record in terms of global temperatures. During the latter half of 2015, a very strong El Niño has formed and is predicted to build impressively, perhaps rivaling the memorable El Niño of 1997/1998. Warm Pacific Ocean temperatures, coupled with a strengthening El Niño, have supported the proliferation of Western North Pacific basin typhoons and Eastern/Central North Pacific Hurricanes. Most notable among these, Hurricane Patricia formed on October 20, 2015 and experienced extremely rapid intensification to become the strongest hurricane in the history of the Western Hemisphere and then weakened just as abruptly before dissipating on October 24, 2015. Rather than an aberration, these climate patterns of 2015 represent an ongoing trend with implications for the disaster health of coastal populations worldwide.

Keywords:  ENSO; El Niño; accumulated cyclone energy (ACE); climate change; hurricanes; temperature anomalies; tropical cyclones; typhoons

Year:  2015        PMID: 28229010      PMCID: PMC5314898          DOI: 10.1080/21665044.2014.1111722

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Disaster Health        ISSN: 2166-5044


  6 in total

1.  Expert credibility in climate change.

Authors:  William R L Anderegg; James W Prall; Jacob Harold; Stephen H Schneider
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2010-06-21       Impact factor: 11.205

2.  Beyond the ivory tower. The scientific consensus on climate change.

Authors:  Naomi Oreskes
Journal:  Science       Date:  2004-12-03       Impact factor: 47.728

3.  Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment.

Authors:  P J Webster; G J Holland; J A Curry; H-R Chang
Journal:  Science       Date:  2005-09-16       Impact factor: 47.728

Review 4.  Epidemiology of tropical cyclones: the dynamics of disaster, disease, and development.

Authors:  James M Shultz; Jill Russell; Zelde Espinel
Journal:  Epidemiol Rev       Date:  2005       Impact factor: 6.222

5.  The increasing intensity of the strongest tropical cyclones.

Authors:  James B Elsner; James P Kossin; Thomas H Jagger
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2008-09-04       Impact factor: 49.962

6.  The poleward migration of the location of tropical cyclone maximum intensity.

Authors:  James P Kossin; Kerry A Emanuel; Gabriel A Vecchi
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2014-05-15       Impact factor: 49.962

  6 in total
  1 in total

1.  Disaster risk reduction and sustainable development for small island developing states.

Authors:  James M Shultz; Madeline A Cohen; Sabrina Hermosilla; Zelde Espinel; Andrew McLean
Journal:  Disaster Health       Date:  2016-04-08
  1 in total

北京卡尤迪生物科技股份有限公司 © 2022-2023.