| Literature DB >> 28214469 |
Jared Ditkowsky1, Khushal H Shah1, Margaret R Hammerschlag1, Stephan Kohlhoff1, Tamar A Smith-Norowitz2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Chlamydia trachomatis is the most common bacterial sexually transmitted infection (STI) in the United States (U.S.) [1] and remains a major public health problem. We determined the cost- benefit of screening all pregnant women aged 15-24 for Chlamydia trachomatis infection compared with no screening.Entities:
Keywords: C. trachomatis; Chlamydia screening; Pregnant women
Mesh:
Year: 2017 PMID: 28214469 PMCID: PMC5316151 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-017-2248-5
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Infect Dis ISSN: 1471-2334 Impact factor: 3.090
Disease epidemiological and cost data
| Value | Reference | |
|---|---|---|
| Chlamydia Prevalence | .08/6.7 | [ |
| NAAT chlamydia screen | ||
| Sensitivity | 0.98 | [ |
| Costa | $33.48 | Medicaid Reimbursement Rate |
| Chlamydia Treatment w/Azithromycin | ||
| Success Rate | 0.97 | [ |
| Cost a | $1.86 | [ |
| PID | ||
| Prevalence | 0.27 | [ |
| Cost | $10,420 | [ |
| Miscarriage | ||
| Prevalence | 0.079 | [ |
| Cost | $1,000 | [ |
| Preterm Delivery | ||
| Prevalence | 0.007 | [ |
| Cost a | $51,589 | [ |
| Vertical Transmission | ||
| Prevalence | 0.46 | [ |
| Neonatal Conjunctivitis | ||
| Prevalence | 0.41 | [ |
| Cost a | $83.23 | [ |
| Neonatal pneumonia | ||
| Prevalence | 0.16 | [ |
| Cost a | $577.11 | [ |
| Infertility | ||
| Infertility associated with Chlamydia | .00845 | [ |
| Infertility associated with PID | .123 | [ |
| Prevalence | 0.33 | [ |
| Cost a | $6060.82 | [ |
Values and costs associated with each variable in the model
NAAT nucleic acid amplification test, PID pelvic inflammatory disease
aCosts expressed in 2015 USD
Fig. 1Decision Tree Study Arms: Sample of decision tree displaying the two study arms, slightly modified: A scenario in which pregnant women are screened for chlamydia, and a scenario in which no screening program exists. Square: origin node; Circle: chance node; Triangle: terminal node
Fig. 2Sample of Post-Chlamydia Infection Decision Tree: Figure displays a simplified breakdown of the decision tree used to determine morbidity and costs associated with chlamydia in a pregnant woman Circle: chance node; Triangle: terminal node
Primary analysis
| Screened for | No screening | |
|---|---|---|
| 8% Prevalence | ||
| Cost§ | 256,305,162 | 131,664,935 |
| Treated Chlamydia | 496,241 | 167,562 |
| PID | 6393 | 23,658 |
| SAB | 3 | 10 |
| Vertical Transmission | 8211 | 37,050 |
| Neonatal conjunctivitis | 6806 | 29,755 |
| Pneumonia | 3093 | 13,585 |
| Premature | 3 | 6 |
| Infertility | 786 | 2910 |
| WTP: | 19.34 | --- |
| 6.7% Prevalence | ||
| Cost | 249,087,114 | 106,421,100 |
| Treated Chlamydia | 204,632 | 66,819 |
| PID | 2673 | 9852 |
| SAB | 3 | 9 |
| Vertical Transmission | 4999 | 15,427 |
| Neonatal conjunctivitis | 4101 | 12,386 |
| Pneumonia | 1863 | 5659 |
| Premature | 2 | 1 |
| Infertility | 329 | 1222 |
| WTP: | 22.14 | --- |
| Threshhold-.169 prevalence | ||
| Cost§ |
|
|
| Treated Chlamydia | 1,044,039 | 348,013 |
| PID | 6528 | 49,985 |
| SAB | 6 | 21 |
| Vertical transmission | 9757 | 78,264 |
| Neonatal conjunctivitis | 8301 | 62,855 |
| Pneumonia | 3738 | 28,718 |
| Premature | 5 | 19 |
| Infertility | 810 | 6198 |
| WTP: | 0 | --- |
PID pelvic inflammatory disease, SAB spontaneous abortion, WTP willingness to pay
§2015 USD
Sensitivity analysis
| Screening | No Screening | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treatment Rate w/o Screening | −50% | (±)50% | −50% | (±)50% |
| Costa | 256,369,609 | 256,047,375 | 154,543,570 | 109,301,875 |
| SAB | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| Pneumonia | 3106 | 3061 | 16,769 | 10,486 |
| PID | 6574 | 5298 | 29,194 | 18,258 |
| Neonatal Conjunctivitis | 7321 | 6284 | 36,702 | 22,969 |
| Vertical Transmission | 9564 | 7495 | 45,777 | 28,537 |
| Treated Chlamydia | 470,462 | 541,354 | 83,781 | 244,898 |
| Premature | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| Infertility | 815 | 657 | 3620 | 2264 |
| Cost of Chlamydia Screening | ||||
| Costa | 148,098,884 | 363,222,503 | 131,664,935 | 131,664,935 |
Outcomes of all endpoints when the values of high impact variables were varied over a range of +/-50% of base value
SAB spontaneous abortion, PID pelvic inflammatory disease
aCosts expressed in 2015 USD
Screening coverage rate
| 100% (base case analysis) | 90% | 80% | 70% | 60% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost a | 256,305,162 | 245,671,430 | 221,104,287 | 207,838,030 | 182,900189 |
| SAB | 3 | 32 | 38 | 49 | 54 |
| Pneumonia | 3,093 | 3,351 | 4,021 | 5,027 | 5,530 |
| PID | 6,393 | 6,896 | 7,585 | 8,344 | 9,467 |
| Neonatal Conjunctivitis | 6,806 | 7,366 | 8,471 | 9,318 | 10,996 |
| Vertical Transmission | 8,211 | 8,533 | 9,642 | 10,563 | 12,042 |
| Treated Chlamydia | 496,241 | 431,794 | 362,707 | 333,690 | 296,941 |
| Premature | 3 | 28 | 31 | 36 | 43 |
| Infertility | 380 | 841 | 925 | 1,111 | 1,155 |
Outcomes of all endpoints when the % of total women screened by program was varied between 60–100%
SAB spontaneous abortion, PID pelvic inflammatory disease
aCosts expressed in 2015 USD
Fig. 3Monte Carlo Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis: Figure shows number of times a certain cost per individual appeared in 100 iterations of 10,000 μ-simulations during the probabilistic sensitivity analysis when high impact variables were simultaneously randomly distributed across specific ranges