| Literature DB >> 28212412 |
Wenrui Hao1, Shihua Gong2, Shuonan Wu1, Jinchao Xu1, Michael R Go3, Avner Friedman4, Dai Zhu5.
Abstract
Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is a localized enlargement of the abdominal aorta, such that the diameter exceeds 3 cm. The natural history of AAA is progressive growth leading to rupture, an event that carries up to 90% risk of mortality. Hence there is a need to predict the growth of the diameter of the aorta based on the diameter of a patient's aneurysm at initial screening and aided by non-invasive biomarkers. IL-6 is overexpressed in AAA and was suggested as a prognostic marker for the risk in AAA. The present paper develops a mathematical model which relates the growth of the abdominal aorta to the serum concentration of IL-6. Given the initial diameter of the aorta and the serum concentration of IL-6, the model predicts the growth of the diameter at subsequent times. Such a prediction can provide guidance to how closely the patient's abdominal aorta should be monitored. The mathematical model is represented by a system of partial differential equations taking place in the aortic wall, where the media is assumed to have the constituency of an hyperelastic material.Entities:
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Year: 2017 PMID: 28212412 PMCID: PMC5315396 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0170807
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1A schematic of the aortic wall including the aortic lumen, the intima, media, and adventitia.
Fig 2Interaction network among cells and cytokines in their respective layers.
SMCs remain in the media, and fibroblasts remain in the adventitia.
Fig 3Schematic representation of a 2D section of the computational domain.
Ω is blood vessel; Ω represents the media and Ω the adventitia; Γ, Γ and Γ are three free boundaries. Γ is the inner surface of the artery, Γ is the outer surface, and Γ is the surface between the media and adventitia.
The variables of the model; concentration and densities are in units of g/cm3.
| density of SMCs | density of T cells (Th1) | ||
| density of macrophages | density of fibroblasts | ||
| density of ECM | concentration of MCP-1 | ||
| concentration of TNF- | concentration of INF- | ||
| concentration of IL-6 | concentration of IL-10 | ||
| concentration of IL-12 | concentration of MMPs | ||
| concentration of TIMP | pressure in media (in | ||
| displacement (in | cell velocity in media and adventitia (in |
Fig 4Simulation results over 500 days.
The parameter used are as in Tables 2 and 3 with I60 = 6 × 10−9 g/ml.
Fig 5Aneurysm deformation at day 500 with initial deformation shown in (A). The parameters used are as in Tables 2 and 3 with (B) I60 = 6 × 10−9 g/ml, and (C) I60 = 6 × 10−8 g/ml. The diameter grows from 2 cm to 2.5 cm in case (B), and to 4.5 cm in case (C).
Parameters’ description and value.
| Parameter | Description | Value |
|---|---|---|
| dispersion coefficient of macrophages | 8.64 × 10−7
| |
| diffusion coefficient of T-cell | 8.64 × 10−7
| |
| diffusion coefficient of IFN- | 1.08 × 10−2
| |
| diffusion coefficient for TNF- | 1.29 × 10−2
| |
| diffusion coefficient of SMCs | 8.64 × 10−7
| |
| diffusion coefficient of MCP-1 | 1.728 × 10−1
| |
| diffusion coefficient of MMP | 4.32 × 10−2
| |
| diffusion coefficient for TIMP | 4.32 × 10−2
| |
| diffusion coefficient of IL-10 | 1.08 × 10−2
| |
| diffusion coefficient of IL-10 | 1.08 × 10−2
| |
| diffusion coefficient of IL-12 | 1.08 × 10−2
| |
| activation rate of TNF- | 2.86 × 10−3 day−1 [ | |
| activation rate of macrophages by IFN- | 0.005 day−1 [ | |
| activation rate of Th1 cells by IL-12 | 6 × 10-4 day−1 [ | |
| production rate of IL-6 by macrophages | 1.73 × 10−6 day−1 [ | |
| production rate of IL-6 by SMCs | 1.73 × 10−5 day−1 [ | |
| production rate of IFN- | 2.34 × 10−6 day−1 [ | |
| production rate of IL-12 by macrophages | 3.78 × 10−3 day−1 [ | |
| production rate of IL-10 by macrophages | 2 × 10−3 day−1 [ | |
| production rate of MMP by macrophages | 3 × 10−4 day−1 [ | |
| production rate of MMP by SMCs | 2.16 × 10−5 day−1 [ | |
| production rate of MMP by TNF- | 2 fitted | |
| production rate of TIMP by macrophages | 6 × 10−5 day−1 [ | |
| activation rate of MCP-1 due to SMCs | 3 × 10−3 day−1 fitted | |
| activation rate of ECM due to fibroblasts | 3 × 10−4 day−1 [ | |
| activation rate of ECM due to SMCs | 1 × 10−1 day−1 fitted | |
| death rate of macrophages | 0.015 day−1 [ | |
| degradation rate of ECM | 0.37 day−1 [ | |
| degradation rate of MCP-1 | 1.73 day−1 [ | |
| internalization rate of MCP-1 by macrophages | 2.08 × 10−4 day−1 [ | |
| binding rate of MMP to TIMP | 4.98 × 108
| |
| binding rate of TIMP to MMP | 1.04 × 109
| |
| degradation rate of MMP | 4.32 day−1 [ | |
| degradation rate of TIMP | 21.6 day−1 [ | |
| degradation rate of ECM due to MMP | 2.59 × 107
| |
| degradation rate of IFN- | 0.69 day−1 [ | |
| death rate of SMC | 0.86 day−1 [ | |
| apoptosis rate of SMC by macrophages | 1.72 day−1 fitted | |
| degradation rate of IL-12 | 1.188 day−1 [ | |
| degradation rate of TNF- | 55.45 day−1 [ | |
| degradation rate of IL-6 | 0.173 day−1 [ | |
| degradation rate of IL-10 | 16.64 day−1 [ |
Parameters’ description and value.
| Parameter | Description | Value |
|---|---|---|
| chemotactic sensitivity parameter by MCP-1 | 10 | |
| macrophage saturation | 5 × 10−5
| |
| MCP-1 saturation for influx of macrophages | 5 × 10−9
| |
| IFN- | 1 × 10−11
| |
| IL-10 saturation | 2 × 10−7 g/ | |
| TNF- | 5 × 10−7 g/ | |
| ECM saturation | 10−3
| |
| source/influx of macrophages from blood | 5 × 10−5
| |
| source/influx of T cells into intima | 1 × 10−3
| |
| MCP-1 concentration | 3 × 10−10 [ | |
|
| influx rate of macrophages into interstitium | 0.2 |
| influx rate of T cell into interstitium | 0.2 | |
| influx rate of IL-6 into interstitium | 0.2 | |
| influx rate of MCP-1 into interstitium | 0.2 | |
| influx rate of media into adventitia | 0.1 | |
| initial steady state of SMCs | 6 × 10−3
| |
| source/influx of IL-6 | 6 × 10−9 ∼ 6 × 10−8
| |
| Coefficient of AAA tissue material properties | 17.4 | |
| Coefficient of AAA tissue material properties | 188.1 | |
| Coefficient of AAA tissue material properties | 30.4 | |
| Coefficient of AAA tissue material properties | 84 | |
| pressure parameter | 18.0 |
Fig 6AAA growth.
The x-axis scales I60 from 6 × 10−9 g/ml to 6 × 10−8 g/ml; the y-axis scales R0 from 2 cm to 3 cm; The color represents the diameter of aortic bulge at 300 day.
Fig 7AAA growth.
The x-axis scales I60 from 6 × 10−9 g/ml to 6 × 10−8 g/ml; the y-axis scales R0 from 2 cm to 3 cm; The color represents the diameter of aortic bulge at 500 day.