Forecasting pollen pollution: correlation with floral development.

Variations in the time course of flowering and in its intensity were recorded for regions in Israel along with variable climatic conditions. Such variations had an effect on pollen release into the air and on pollen counts. Two approaches for forecasting allergenic pollen dispersion were compared: (1) a survey of floral development and flowering intensity and (2) a survey of airborne pollen. There was a positive correlation between the survey of flowering and airborne pollen counts, although pollen was occasionally found after the flowering season. Further, it predicted fairly accurately the beginning of the flowering time of each species in each regio, the expected flowering duration, and intensity. Conducting a survey of flowering is a simple, easy and inexpensive operation. It is highly recommended for regions with variable climates.