Literature DB >> 28150957

Model flexibility analysis does not measure the persuasiveness of a fit.

Nathan J Evans1, Zachary L Howard1, Andrew Heathcote1, Scott D Brown1.   

Abstract

Recently, Veksler, Myers, and Gluck (2015) proposed model flexibility analysis as a method that "aids model evaluation by providing a metric for gauging the persuasiveness of a given fit" (p. 755) Model flexibility analysis measures the complexity of a model in terms of the proportion of all possible data patterns it can predict. We show that this measure does not provide a reliable way to gauge complexity, which prevents model flexibility analysis from fulfilling either of the 2 aims outlined by Veksler et al. (2015): absolute and relative model evaluation. We also show that model flexibility analysis can even fail to correctly quantify complexity in the most clear cut case, with nested models. We advocate for the use of well-established techniques with these characteristics, such as Bayes factors, normalized maximum likelihood, or cross-validation, and against the use of model flexibility analysis. In the discussion, we explore 2 issues relevant to the area of model evaluation: the completeness of current model selection methods and the philosophical debate of absolute versus relative model evaluation. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2017 APA, all rights reserved).

Mesh:

Year:  2017        PMID: 28150957     DOI: 10.1037/rev0000057

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Psychol Rev        ISSN: 0033-295X            Impact factor:   8.934


  4 in total

1.  Response-time data provide critical constraints on dynamic models of multi-alternative, multi-attribute choice.

Authors:  Nathan J Evans; William R Holmes; Jennifer S Trueblood
Journal:  Psychon Bull Rev       Date:  2019-06

2.  Thermodynamic Integration and Steppingstone Sampling Methods for Estimating Bayes Factors: A Tutorial.

Authors:  Jeffrey Annis; Nathan J Evans; Brent J Miller; Thomas J Palmeri
Journal:  J Math Psychol       Date:  2019-02-13       Impact factor: 2.223

3.  The computations that support simple decision-making: A comparison between the diffusion and urgency-gating models.

Authors:  Nathan J Evans; Guy E Hawkins; Udo Boehm; Eric-Jan Wagenmakers; Scott D Brown
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2017-11-27       Impact factor: 4.379

4.  A method, framework, and tutorial for efficiently simulating models of decision-making.

Authors:  Nathan J Evans
Journal:  Behav Res Methods       Date:  2019-10
  4 in total

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