| Literature DB >> 28076443 |
Jiansong Zhou1,2, Katrina Witt3, Xia Cao4, Chen Chen1,2, Xiaoping Wang1,2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Juvenile violent offending is a serious worldwide public health issue.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2017 PMID: 28076443 PMCID: PMC5226674 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0169251
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Descriptive statistics on the demographics characteristics of reoffending and no reoffending youth offenders on baseline (n = 246).
| No reoffending (n = 183) | Reoffending (n = 63) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M | SD | M | SD | ||||
| Age (years) | 16.8 | (0.9) | 16.6 | (1.0) | 1.6 | 0.11 | |
| Education (years) | 7.4 | (1.8) | 7.3 | (2.7) | 0.1 | 0.92 | |
| Father’s duration of education (years) | 7.5 | 3.0 | 7.3 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.84 | |
| Mother’s duration of education (years) | 6.3 | 3.5 | 6.3 | 3.7 | 0.4 | 0.68 | |
| Parental marital status (divorced) | 46 | 25.1 | 13 | 20.6 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.47 |
| Family income (monthly) | 2.6 | 3 | 0.45 | ||||
| <1000 | 86 | 47.0 | 37 | 58.7 | |||
| 1000–1999 | 70 | 38.3 | 19 | 30.2 | |||
| 2000–3499 | 18 | 9.8 | 5 | 7.9 | |||
| >3500 | 9 | 4.9 | 2 | 3.2 | |||
*: RMB (Chinese yuan)|:minimum monthly salary (per person).
SAVRY total, domains scores, numbers of high risk items and the prediction of reoffending.
| Univariate logistic regression | Re-offending | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M | sd | Exp(B) | Exp(B) 95% CI | AUC (SE) | 95% CI | ||
| SAVRY Score | |||||||
| Total Score | 19.1 | 7.0 | 0.68 (0.04) | 0.61, 0.76 | |||
| Historical | 7.4 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 1.0–1.3 | 0.04 | 0.66(0.04) | 0.58, 0.74 |
| Social/contextual | 5.2 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.8–1.2 | 0.93 | 0.61(0.04) | 0.53, 0.69 |
| Individual | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 1.0–1.4 | 0.02 | 0.66 (0.04) | 0.59, 0.74 |
| Protective | 2.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.0–1.5 | 0.07 | 0.60 (0.04) | 0.52, 0.68 |
| Numbers of high risk items | |||||||
| Historical | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.0–1.7 | 0.06 | ||
| Social/contextual | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.7–1.5 | 0.82 | ||
| Individual | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.0–1.9 | 0.02 | ||
| Protective | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.7–1.2 | 0.61 | ||
Note: AUC:area under the curve; CI:confidence interval.
SAVRY-items and prediction of reoffending.
| Items of SAVRY | SAVRY中文条目 | low | moderate | high | Univariate logistic regression | Stepwise backward regression | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exp(B) | Exp(B) 95% CI | p | Exp(B) | Exp(B) 95% CI | p | |||||
| Historical risk factors | 历史因子 | |||||||||
| 1.History of violence | 1:既往暴力事件 | 24(9.8%) | 60(24.4%) | 162(65.9%) | 0.8 | 0.4–1.7 | 0.54 | |||
| 2.History of non-violent offending | 2:非暴力犯罪史 | 98(39.8%) | 69(28.0%) | 79(32.1%) | 2.5 | 1.5–4.3 | <0.01 | 2.4 | 1.6–3.6 | <0.01 |
| 3. Early initiation of violence | 3.早年发生暴力事件 | 76(30.9%) | 95(38.6%) | 75(30.5%) | 0.6 | 0.3–1.1 | 0.06 | |||
| 4. Past supervision/intervention failures | 4. 既往监管/干预失败 | 126(51.2%) | 72(29.3%) | 48(19.5%) | 0.9 | 0.5–1.5 | 0.61 | |||
| 5. History of self harm or suicide attempts | 5. 既往自伤史或者曾企图自杀 | 217(88.2%) | 24(9.8%) | 5(2.0%) | 1.6 | 0.7–3.8 | 0.30 | |||
| 6. Exposure to violence in the home | 6. 处于家庭暴力环境 | 105(42.7%) | 113(45.9%) | 28(11.4%) | 1.0 | 0.6–1.9 | 0.97 | |||
| 7. Childhood history of maltreatment | 7. 童年受虐史 | 109(44.3%) | 114(46.3%) | 23(9.3%) | 1.6 | 0.8–3.1 | 0.20 | |||
| 8. Parental/caregiver criminality | 8.父母/照料者存在犯罪史 | 197(80.1%) | 37(15.0%) | 12(4.9%) | 1.7 | 0.8–3.3 | 0.14 | |||
| 9. Early caregiver disruption | 9.早期照料者分离 | 139(56.5%) | 63(25.6%) | 44(17.9%) | 0.7 | 0.4–1.1 | 0.13 | |||
| 10. Poor school achievement | 10.在校期间,学业成就差 | 70(28.5%) | 125(50.8%) | 51(20.7%) | 1.2 | 0.7–2.1 | 0.59 | |||
| Social/contextual risk factors | 社会/环境因子 | |||||||||
| 11. Peer delinquency | 11.同伴违纪 | 26(10.6%) | 89(36.2%) | 131(53.3%) | 0.8 | 0.4–1.6 | 0.52 | |||
| 12. Peer rejection | 12.同伴排斥 | 141(57.3%) | 94(38.2%) | 11(4.5%) | 1.3 | 0.7–2.5 | 0.44 | |||
| 13. Stress and poor coping | 13.应激和应对不当 | 147(59.8%) | 85(34.6%) | 14(5.7%) | 0.6 | 0.3–1.3 | 0.20 | |||
| 14. Poor parental management | 14.父母监管不力 | 50(20.3%) | 123(50.0%) | 73(29.7%) | 1.7 | 0.9–3.4 | 0.13 | |||
| 15. Lack of personal/social support | 15.缺乏他人/社会支持 | 70(28.5%) | 121(49.2%) | 55(22.4%) | 0.6 | 0.3–1.1 | 0.09 | |||
| 16. Community disorganization | 16.社区治安混乱 | 72(29.3%) | 137(55.7%) | 37(15.0%) | 2.0 | 1.0–3.7 | 0.04 | |||
| Individual risk factors | 自身/临床因子 | |||||||||
| 17. Negative attitudes | 17.消极敌视态度 | 62(25.2%) | 145(58.9%) | 39(15.9%) | 2.8 | 1.4–5.5 | <0.01 | 2.4 | 1.4–4.3 | <0.01 |
| 18. Risk taking/Impulsivity | 18.喜欢冒险/冲动 | 48(19.5%) | 138(56.1%) | 60(24.4%) | 1.8 | 1.0–3.3 | 0.06 | 1.9 | 1.1–3.2 | 0.02 |
| 19. Substance use difficulties | 19.物质滥用问题 | 134(54.5%) | 103(41.9%) | 9(3.7%) | 0.9 | 0.3–1.2 | 0.13 | |||
| 20. Anger management problems | 20.难以调控愤怒情绪 | 113(45.9%) | 112(45.5%) | 21(8.5%) | 1.8 | 1.0–3.3 | 0.07 | 1.7 | 1.0–2.8 | 0.04 |
| 21. Psychopathic traits (low empathy/remorse) | 21.情感肤浅/缺乏同情心 | 94(38.2%) | 123(50.0%) | 29(11.8%) | 0.9 | 0.5–1.6 | 0.63 | |||
| 22.Attention-deficit/hyperactivity difficulties | 22.注意缺陷/多动障碍 | 128(52.0%) | 94(38.2%) | 24(9.8%) | 1.1 | 0.6–1.9 | 0.82 | |||
| 23. Poor compliance | 23.依从性差 | 77(31.3%) | 109(44.3%) | 60(24.4%) | 1.1 | 0.6–2.1 | 0.69 | |||
| 24. Low interest/Commitment to school | 24.学习兴趣较低/不想上学 | 48(19.5%) | 69(28.0%) | 129(52.4%) | 1.4 | 0.8–2.4 | 0.23 | |||
| Protective factors | 保护因子 | No | Yes | |||||||
| 1. Prosocial involvement | 1.参与社会化活动 | 161(65.4%) | 85(34.6%) | 0.8 | 0.3–1.8 | 0.56 | ||||
| 2. Strong social support | 2.强大的社会支持系统 | 104(42.3%) | 142(57.7%) | 1.0 | 0.4–2.3 | 0.93 | ||||
| 3. Strong attachment and bonds | 3.强大可依靠的同盟网络 | 140(56.9%) | 106(43.1%) | 1.2 | 0.5–2.7 | 0.68 | ||||
| 4. Positive attitude toward intervention and authority | 4.对干预和权威抱积极的态度 | 125(50.8%) | 121(49.2%) | 1.1 | 0.5–2.5 | 0.83 | ||||
| 5. Strong commitment to school | 5.强烈的上学意愿 | 66(26.8%) | 180(73.2%) | 0.8 | 0.3–2.1 | 0.72 | ||||
| 6. Resilient personality traits | 6.灵活有弹性的人格特征 | 155(63.0%) | 91(37.0%) | 1.3 | 0.6–3.0 | 0.53 | ||||