High-risk smoldering myeloma: Perspective on watchful monitoring.

In a 2008 paper, Dispenzieri and colleagues at the Mayo Clinic proposed a risk stratification system for patients with smoldering multiple myeloma (SMM) based on the presence of three risk factors: serum M-protein ≥3 g/dL, bone marrow plasma cell percentage ≥10%, and a free light chain (FLC) ratio (κ to λ) of either ≤0.125 or ≥8. The patient in this vignette has all three risk factors, classifying him as high-risk, with an associated median time to progression (TTP) of 1.9 years. This is significantly worse than a patient with intermediate-risk (median TTP 5.1 years) or low-risk (10 years) disease.