| Literature DB >> 27997594 |
Lars Daae Horvei1,2, Sigrid K Brækkan1,2, John-Bjarne Hansen1,2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Obesity is a major risk factor for venous thromboembolism (VTE), but it is unknown to what extent weight change over time affects VTE risk. AIMS: To investigate the association between weight change and risk of incident VTE in a population-based cohort with repeated measurements.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27997594 PMCID: PMC5173365 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0168878
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1Overview of exposure and follow-up.
Exposure was recorded as the change in body weight between two subsequent surveys. Subjects were followed until the date of a third survey or December 31, 2012. Subjects who attended three or more subsequent surveys thus contributed with multiple exposures and follow-up periods.
Fig 2Distribution of weight change (in kgs) in the study population
Baseline Characteristics of the Study Population Across Categories of Weight Change
| Category of Weight change | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 56.6–0.1 kg loss | 0–7.4 kg gain | 7.5–40.0 kg gain | |
| n | 8547 | 14331 | 4501 |
| Men, % | 48.3 (4124) | 45.9 (6581) | 43.5 (1958) |
| Age, years | 59.0 ±14.3 | 52.9 ± 13.3 | 47.1 ±12.5 |
| BMI, kg/m2 | 24.7 ±3.9 | 25.7 ±3.6 | 28.6 ±4.3 |
| Body weight, kg | 70.2 ± 13.2 | 73.8 ±12.8 | 83.3 ±14.1 |
| Smoking, % | 36.1 (3087) | 31.6 (4530) | 28.4 (1280) |
| Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg | 139 ± 23 | 136 ±20 | 136 ±19 |
| Total cholesterol, mmol/L | 6.0 ±1.2 | 6.1 ±1.2 | 6.2 ±1.2 |
| HDL cholesterol, mmol/L | 1.6 ± 0.4 | 1.5 ±0.4 | 1.4 ±0.4 |
| Triglycerides, mmol/L | 1.4 ± 0.8 | 1.5 ±1.0 | 1.8 ±1.2 |
| Diabetes mellitus, % | 5.5 (468) | 1.7 (238) | 1.8 (81) |
Values are means ±1 SD or percentage with numbers in brackets.
Incidence Rates (IR) and Hazard Ratios (HR) with 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) for Venous Thromboembolism (VTE) According to Changes in Body Weight, Stratified by BMI at the Start of the Weight Change Interval
| Body weight change | Person-years of follow-up | Events | IR | Model 1 | Model 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | ||||
| 56.6–0.1 kg loss | 49 050 | 120 | 2.45 (2.05–2.93) | 1.06 (0.83–1.37) | 1.15 (0.89–1.49) |
| 0–7.4 kg gain | 87 767 | 132 | 1.50 (1.27–1.78) | Ref | Ref |
| 7.5–40.0 kg gain | 28 022 | 50 | 1.78 (1.35–2.35) | 1.93 (1.38–2.68) | 1.63 (1.15–2.30) |
| 23.9–0.1 kg loss | 24 846 | 30 | 1.21 (0.84–1.73) | 0.74 (0.47–1.17) | 0.78 (0.47–1.29) |
| 0–7.4 kg gain | 54 616 | 53 | 0.97 (0.74–1.27) | Ref | Ref |
| 7.5–39.0 kg gain | 16 815 | 19 | 1.13 (0.72–1.77) | 1.86 (1.09–3.16) | 1.74 (0.96–3.18) |
| 31.6–0.1 kg loss | 18 028 | 65 | 3.61 (0.28–4.60) | 1.24 (0.87–1.76) | 1.43 (0.95–2.13) |
| 0–7.4 kg gain | 27 556 | 63 | 2.29 (1.79–2.93) | Ref | Ref |
| 7.5–40.0 kg gain | 8 639 | 15 | 1.74 (1.05–2.88) | 1.21 (0.69–2.15) | 1.00 (0.53–1.89) |
| 56.6–0.1 kg loss | 6 176 | 25 | 4.05 (2.74–5.99) | 1.24 (0.66–2.33) | 1.01 (0.51–2.00) |
| 0–7.4 kg gain | 5 584 | 16 | 2.87 (1.76–4.68) | Ref | Ref |
| 7.5–33.0 kg gain | 2 567 | 16 | 6.23 (3.82–10.17) | 3.75 (1.83–7.68) | 4.70 (2.17–10.18) |
*Crude incidence rates per 1000 person-years
a Model 1: Age as time-scale, adjusted for sex
b Model 2: Model 1 + adjusted for attained BMI
Fig 3Hazard Ratios for Venous Thromboembolism According to Changes in Body Weight and Body Mass Index Measured at the Start of the Weight Change Interval.
Subjects with BMI <25 kg/m2 and 0–7.4 kg weight gain were used as reference. Age as time-scale, adjusted for sex.
Crude Incidence Rates (IR) and Hazard Ratios (HR) with 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) for Provoked and Unprovoked Venous Thromboembolism (VTE) According to Changes in Body Weight.
Stratified According to BMI at the start of the weight change interval.
| Body weight change | Person-years of follow-up | Events | IR | Model 1 | Model 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | |||||
| 23.6–0.1 kg loss | 25 044 | 21 | 0.84 (0.55–1.29) | 0.96 (0.54–1.70) | 1.16 (0.61–2.21) | |
| 0–7.4 kg gain | 54 813 | 30 | 0.55 (0.38–0.78) | Ref | Ref | |
| 7.5–30.2 kg gain | 16 871 | 8 | 0.47 (0.24–0.95) | 1.35 (0.61–2.96) | 1.06 (0.44–2.55) | |
| 56.6–0.1 kg loss | 24 423 | 60 | 2.46 (1.91–3.16) | 1.38 (0.94–2.03) | 1.48 (1.00–2.21) | |
| 0–7.4 kg gain | 33 260 | 47 | 1.41 (1.06–1.88) | Ref | Ref | |
| 7.5–40.0 kg gain | 11 232 | 16 | 1.42 (0.87–2.33) | 1.71 (0.96–3.04) | 1.50 (0.82–2.73) | |
| 23.6–0.1 kg loss | 25 044 | 9 | 0.42 (0.28–0.63) | 0.47 (0.22–1.03) | 0.41 (0.17–0.96) | |
| 0–7.4 kg gain | 54 813 | 23 | 0.36 (0.19–0.69) | Ref | Ref | |
| 7.5–30.2 kg gain | 16 871 | 11 | 0.65 (0.36–1.18) | 2.57 (1.23–5.37) | 3.07 (1.33–7.08) | |
| 56.6–0.1 kg loss | 24 423 | 30 | 0.96 (0.68–1.36) | 1.00 (0.60–1.67) | 0.97 (0.57–1.64) | |
| 0–7.4 kg gain | 33 260 | 32 | 1.23 (0.86–1.76) | Ref | Ref | |
| 7.5–40.0 kg gain | 11 232 | 15 | 1.34 (0.81–2.22) | 2.11 (1.13–3.95) | 2.15 (1.10–4.21) | |
*Crude incidence rates per 1000 person-years
a Model 1: Age as time-scale, adjusted for sex
b Model 2: Model 1 + adjusted for attained BMI
Hazard Ratios (HR) with 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) for Provoked and Unprovoked Venous Thromboembolism According to Changes in Body Weight, Competing Risk by Cancer and Competing risk by Death Analysis
| Body weight change | Person-years of follow-up | Events | Model 1 | Model 2 | Person-years of follow-up | Events | Model 1 | Model 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | SHR | SHR | |||||
| 23.6–0.1 kg loss | 23 262 | 9 | 0.51 (0.23–1.13) | 0.63 (0.26–1.50) | 25 044 | 21 | 0.81 (0.46–1.42) | 0.99 (0.52–1.90) |
| 0–7.4 kg gain | 52 428 | 23 | Ref | Ref | 54 813 | 30 | Ref | Ref |
| 7.5–30.2 kg gain | 16 228 | 5 | 1.14 (0.43–3.05) | 0.88 (0.29–2.65) | 16 871 | 8 | 1.38 (0.63–3.03) | 1.09 (0.46–2.57) |
| 56.6–0.1 kg loss | 22 035 | 49 | 1.79 (1.13–2.83) | 1.96 (1.22–3.15) | 24 423 | 60 | 1.21 (0.82–1.78) | 1.31 (0.88–1.93) |
| 0–7.4 kg gain | 30 742 | 30 | Ref | Ref | 33 260 | 47 | Ref | Ref |
| 7.5–40.0 kg gain | 10 639 | 8 | 1.32 (0.60–2.90) | 1.12 (0.49–2.53) | 11 232 | 16 | 1.83 (1.03–3.26) | 1.61 (0.90–2.88) |
| 23.6–0.1 kg loss | 23 262 | 8 | 0.49 (0.21–1.12) | 0.44 (0.18–1.09) | 25 044 | 9 | 0.42 (0.20–0.90) | 0.36 (0.17–0.78) |
| 0–7.4 kg gain | 52 428 | 20 | Ref | Ref | 54 813 | 23 | Ref | Ref |
| 7.5–30.2 kg gain | 16 228 | 9 | 2.41 (1.07–5.41) | 2.75 (1.09–6.92) | 16 871 | 11 | 2.59 (1.24–5.38) | 3.04 (1.38–6.68) |
| 56.6–0.1 kg loss | 22 035 | 27 | 0.98 (0.58–1.67) | 0.96 (0.55–1.67) | 24 423 | 30 | 0.88 (0.54–1.45) | 0.85 (0.52–1.39) |
| 0–7.4 kg gain | 30 742 | 30 | Ref | Ref | 33 260 | 32 | Ref | Ref |
| 7.5–40.0 kg gain | 10 639 | 15 | 2.22 (1.18–4.19) | 2.22 (1.23–4.37) | 11 232 | 15 | 2.34 (1.25–4.39) | 2.40 (1.22–4.76) |
a Model 1: Age as time-scale, adjusted for sex
b Model 2: Model 1 + adjusted for attained BMI
Subdistribution hazard ratio