| Literature DB >> 27984555 |
Deborah Ford1, Margaret Muzambi, Misheck J Nkhata, George Abongomera, Sarah Joseph, Makosonke Ndlovu, Travor Mabugu, Caroline Grundy, Adrienne K Chan, Fabian Cataldo, Cissy Kityo, Janet Seeley, Elly Katabira, Charles F Gilks, Andrew Reid, James Hakim, Diana M Gibb.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Lifelong antiretroviral therapy (ART) for pregnant and breastfeeding women (Option B+) was rolled out in Zimbabwe from 2014, with simultaneous raising of the CD4 treatment threshold to 500 cells per cubic millimeter in nonpregnant/breastfeeding adults and children 5 years and over.Entities:
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2017 PMID: 27984555 PMCID: PMC5751886 DOI: 10.1097/QAI.0000000000001267
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr ISSN: 1525-4135 Impact factor: 3.731
Characteristics at ART initiation in a District Hospital and two primary care facilities with established ART provision prior to Option B+ implementation1
| Pre Option B+ | 0-6 months post Option B+ | 7-12 months post Option B+ | Total | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2013-Feb 2014 | Mar 2014-Aug 2014 | Sep 2014-Feb 2015 | |||||||||
| Median (IQR) | N | % of total or of sub-group | Median (IQR) | N | % of total or of sub-group | Median (IQR) | N | % of total or of sub-group | N | % of total or of sub-group | |
| Age | 4 (2-9) | 5 (2-11) | 6 (2-8) | ||||||||
| ≤2 years | 10 | 28 | 16 | 27 | 14 | 33 | 40 | 29 | |||
| 3-14 years | 26 | 72 | 44 | 73 | 29 | 67 | 99 | 71 | |||
| Age | 38 | 37 | 37 | ||||||||
| WHO stage | |||||||||||
| Stage 1/2 | 19 | 17 | 68 | 30 | 35 | 22 | 122 | 25 | |||
| Stage 3 | 90 | 81 | 159 | 70 | 121 | 78 | 370 | 75 | |||
| Stage 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.4 | |||
| CD4 | 143 | 215 | 216 | ||||||||
| CD4≤100 | 29 | 36 | 46 | 25 | 33 | 23 | 108 | 26 | |||
| CD4 101-200 | 27 | 34 | 38 | 20 | 31 | 22 | 96 | 23 | |||
| CD4 201-350 | 22 | 28 | 59 | 32 | 48 | 34 | 129 | 32 | |||
| CD4 351-500 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 20 | 28 | 20 | 68 | 17 | |||
| CD4>500 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 | |||
| Age | 35 | 34 | 34 | ||||||||
| WHO stage | |||||||||||
| Stage 1/2 | 20 | 18 | 66 | 29 | 46 | 26 | 132 | 26 | |||
| Stage 3 | 88 | 81 | 157 | 70 | 132 | 73 | 377 | 73 | |||
| Stage 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | |||
| CD4 | 192 | 295 | 266 | ||||||||
| CD4≤100 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 10 | 27 | 16 | 71 | 16 | |||
| CD4 101-200 | 21 | 24 | 43 | 22 | 41 | 24 | 105 | 23 | |||
| CD4 201-350 | 38 | 44 | 63 | 33 | 45 | 26 | 146 | 33 | |||
| CD4 351-500 | 4 | 5 | 62 | 32 | 54 | 32 | 120 | 27 | |||
| CD4>500 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2 | |||
| Age | 28 | 29 | 26 | ||||||||
| Pregnant | 18 | 53 | 182 | 52 | 57 | 68 | 257 | 55 | |||
| WHO stage | |||||||||||
| Stage 1/2 | 12 | 36 | 305 | 87 | 71 | 85 | 388 | 83 | |||
| Stage 3 | 20 | 61 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 79 | 17 | |||
| Stage 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | |||
| CD4 | 250 | 454 | 339 | ||||||||
| CD4≤100 | 5 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 8 | |||
| CD4 101-200 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 11 | |||
| CD4 201-350 | 17 | 61 | 29 | 19 | 12 | 32 | 58 | 24 | |||
| CD4 351-500 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 26 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 22 | |||
| CD4>500 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 41 | 10 | 27 | 81 | 34 | |||
Zowa primary care health facility is not included as there was no ART provision prior to Option B+, hence its inclusion post Option B+ could distort comparisons
15 individuals with missing age excluded from sub-groups below
CD4 at initiation was available in 80 (71%), 186 (82%), 143 (92%) males by time period
CD4 at initiation was available in 87 (79%), 192 (86%), 167 (93%) non-pregnant & non-breastfeeding females by time period
CD4 at initiation was available in 28 (82%), 172 (49%), 37 (44%) pregnant or breastfeeding females by time period
Figure 1Number of new ART initiations by patient status at ART initiation, time period and health facility (PC=primary care facility)
Figure 2Cumulative incidence of death or default (LTFU) by time since ART initiation
Predictors of death and loss to follow-up from care in adults newly starting ART
| Initiated for WHO stage 3/4 or CD4<threshold | Initiated for Option B+ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Univariable analysis | Multivariable analysis | Univariable analysis | Multivariable analysis | |||||
| N=1,140 (58 failures) | N=904 (41 failures) | N=386 (58 failures) | N=386 (58 failures) | |||||
| HR (95% CI) | p | HR (96% CI) | p | HR (95% CI) | p | HR (95% CI) | p | |
| Hospital | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||||
| Nyabira (PC) | 7.52 (3.85-14.7) | 7.32 (2.96-18.1) | 1.12 (0.60-2.09) | |||||
| Mutorashanga (PC) | 3.74 (1.90-7.36) | 4.02 (1.72-9.41) | 0.61 (0.29-1.28) | |||||
| Zowa (PC) | 1.38 (0.18-10.5) | <.001 | - | <.001 | - | 0.33 | ||
| Sep 2013-Feb 2014 | 1.0 | 1.00 | - | |||||
| Mar 2014-Feb 2015 | 0.51 (0.30-0.87) | 0.01 | 0.42 (0.21-0.86) | 0.02 | - | |||
| Male | 1.00 | - | ||||||
| Female | 0.92 (0.55-1.55) | 0.77 | - | |||||
| 0.97 (0.95-1.00) | 0.07 | 0.94 (0.90-0.98) | 0.01 | 0.94 (0.90-0.98) | 0.01 | |||
| WHO 1/2 | 1.00 | 1.00 | - | |||||
| WHO 3 | 0.55 (0.32-0.95) | 0.56 (0.27-1.18) | - | |||||
| WHO 4 | 4.35 (1.02-18.6) | 0.004 | 4.95 (0.99-24.7) | 0.01 | - | |||
| 0.97 (0.95-1.00) | 0.02 | 0.97 (0.95-1.00) | 0.03 | 1.00 (0.98-1.01) | 0.67 | |||
| No/male | 1.00 | 1.00 | - | |||||
| Either pregnant or | 1.98 (0.97-4.04) | 0.06 | 2.68 (0.99-7.25) | 0.05 | - | |||
| breastfeeding | ||||||||
| Pregnant | - | 1.00 | ||||||
| Breastfeeding | - | 0.83 (0.49-1.41) | 0.49 | |||||
PC: primary care facility.
All variables presented in the univariable analysis were considered for inclusion in the multivariable model. Continuous variables (CD4 and age) were included as fractional polynomials for model selection which was based on backwards elimination (P<0.10).
Due to missing data, CD4 model (N=944, failures=41); WHO stage model (N=1,137, failures=58)
Patients with missing CD4 or WHO stage or at Zowa (no Pre Option B+ data) were dropped in the final model
Due to missing data, CD4 model (N=193, failures=28); due to no failures at Zowa, site model (N=379, failures=58)
CD4 in the univariable model was better represented by CD4-0.5 but we show the linear term here for comparability with the multivariable model and for ease of interpretation.
Predictors of death and loss to follow-up from care in adults newly starting ART for WHO stage 3/4 or CD4
| Death and loss to follow-up | Loss to follow-up | Death | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N=904 (41 failures) | N=904 (28 failures) | N=904 (13 failures) | ||||
| HR (96% CI) | p | cHR (95% CI) | p | cHR (95% CI) | p | |
| Hospital | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
| Nyabira (PC) | 7.32 (2.96-18.1) | 8.56 (3.00-24.4) | 4.01 (0.23-70.4) | |||
| Mutorashanga (PC) | 4.02 (1.72-9.41) | 0.97 (0.25-3.71) | 41.7 (4.63-376.1) | |||
| Zowa (PC) | - | <.001 | - | <0.001 | - | 0.001 |
| Sep 2013 – Feb 2014 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
| Mar 2014 – Feb 2015 | 0.42 (0.21-0.86) | 0.02 | 0.56 (0.23-1.36) | 0.20 | 0.19 (0.04-0.96) | 0.04 |
| WHO 1/2 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
| WHO 3 | 0.56 (0.27-1.18) | 0.71 (0.28-1.79) | 0.20 (0.04-1.04) | |||
| WHO 4 | 4.95 (0.99-24.7) | 0.01 | 7.63 (0.79-74.1) | 0.07 | 1.75 (0.17-17.7) | 0.09 |
| 0.97 (0.95-1.00) | 0.03 | 0.99 (0.97-1.02) | 0.54 | 0.90 (0.84-0.97) | 0.003 | |
| No/male | 1.00 | 1.00 | - | |||
| Either pregnant or breastfeeding | 2.68 (0.99-7.25) | 0.05 | 5.58 (1.82-17.1) | 0.07 | - | - |
PC: primary care facility. cHR: cause-specific hazard ratio
Model selected in multivariable analysis for combined endpoint (death and loss to follow-up), see table 2.
The full multivariable model was run for each competing event, censoring the alternative event.
There were no deaths among the pregnant and breastfeeding women.