| Literature DB >> 27884144 |
Ana Kotnik Pirš1,2, Uroš Krivec3, Saša Simčič4, Katja Seme5.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to assess whether serology and spirometry and the combination of both can complement culture-based detection for earlier recognition of Pseudomonas aeruginosa infection in children with cystic fibrosis.Entities:
Keywords: Children; Cystic fibrosis; Early Pseudomonas aeruginosa infection detection; Microbiological isolation
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27884144 PMCID: PMC5123404 DOI: 10.1186/s12890-016-0327-9
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Pulm Med ISSN: 1471-2466 Impact factor: 3.317
Fig. 1Study design of the longitudinal prospective study of children and adolescents with CF managed at the Center for Children and Adolescents with Cystic Fibrosis at the University Children’s Hospital in Ljubljana, Slovenia
Fig. 2a ROC curve for serology. The cut-off point was specified from the ROC curve using the optimal intersection of specificity and sensitivity. Based on the drawn ROC curve, the cut-off point for serology was at 2.96 ELISA units. b ROC curve for spirometry. The cut-off point was specified from the ROC curve using the optimal intersection of specificity and sensitivity. Based on the drawn ROC curve, the cut-off point for spirometry was at 70% of FEV1 predicted for gender, age and height. c ROC curve for the combination of serology and spirometry. The cut-off point was specified from the ROC curve using the optimal intersection of specificity and sensitivity. Based on the drawn ROC curve, the cut-off point for the combination of serology and spirometry was at 2.96 ELISA units and an FEV1 at 70% of the predicted value for gender, age and height
Correlation between the scoring system using the combination of serology and spirometry and isolation of P. aeruginosa in the patients enrolled in the study
| Possible outcome for the combination of serology and spirometry | Score | Isolation of | Number of visits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | YES | |||
| ELISA < 2.96 EU and FEV1 > 70% | 0 | 70 | 7 |
|
| ELISA > 2.96 EU or FEV1 < 70% | 1 | 45 | 30 |
|
| ELISA > 2.96 EU and FEV1 < 70% | 2 | 10 | 15 |
|
| Number of samples |
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| |
Comparison of the area under the curve, sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values between serology, spirometry and the combination of serology and spirometry for prediction of P. aeruginosa infection
| Diagnostic test | AUC | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV | Number of visits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serology | 0.81 (SE 0.03, | 0.80 | 0.67 | 0.39 | 0.93 | N = 242 |
| Spirometry | 0.61 (SE 0.05, | 0.29 | 0.83 | 0.43 | 0.71 |
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| Serology and spirometry | 0.70 (SE 0.04, | 0.28 | 0.90 | 0.46 | 0.79 |
|
Legend: AUC Area under the curve, SE Standard error, CI – 95% confidence interval, NPV Negative predictive value, PPV Positive predictive value, N Number of visits
Binary logistic regression analysis of serology, spirometry and their combination with P. aeruginosa isolation
| Approach | Odds ratio | 95% Confidence interval |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Serology | 1.60 | 1.40–1.85 | <0.01 |
| Spirometry | 0.98 | 0.96–1.00 | <0.05 |
| Combination of serology and spirometry | 0.15 | 0.05–0.46 | <0.01 |
Fig. 3a and b Dynamics of lung function and anti-P. aeruginosa antibody values over time in two identical twins from the intermittently infected group. P. aeruginosa had been last isolated from their sputum 2 years before inclusion in the study. Eradication therapy had been completed and was considered successful at that time according to the guidelines [25]. Isolation of P. aeruginosa, aggravation of lung function and a rise in anti-P. aeruginosa antibodies was observed a year apart in the two twins. P. aeruginosa had been further intermittently isolated in both patients after the end of the study
Fig. 4a ROC curve for the change in serology values over time. Based on the joined data of all participants, an optimal cut-off value for the change in serology over the time of the study could not be determined from the constructed ROC curve. The AUC for the change of serology over time was 0.63. b ROC curve for the change in spirometry over time. Based on the joined data of all participants, an optimal cut-off value for the change in spirometry over the time of the study could not be determined from the constructed ROC curve. The AUC for the change of spirometry over time was 0.58
Fig. 5A proposed algorithm for the evaluation of the combination of serology and spirometry for assessing the possibility of P. aeruginosa infection. Results of serology and spirometry should always be interpreted together with the results of culture-based detection of P. aeruginosa in respiratory samples. The decision on starting antibiotic therapy should be based on the results of a positive culture and positive indirect methods should encourage the clinician to continue/repeat microbiological investigations. Legend: normal serology and spirometry; abnormal serology and normal spirometry; normal serology and abnormal spirometry; abnormal serology and spirometry