| Literature DB >> 27879819 |
Hao Zhang1, Wei-Chun Ma2, Xiang-Rong Wang3.
Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to examine the linkage between rapid urbanization and flood risk in the hinterlands of the Pearl River Delta, P.R. China. Foshan, a typical hinterland city in the Pearl River Delta region, was selected as a case study. Land use and cover change in Foshan during 1988-2003 was analyzed using remote sensing and geographic information system (GIS) techniques. Furthermore, analysis on historical hydrological data during 1962-2005 was performed. Results show that rapid urbanization has resulted in losses of farmland, forest and shrub since 1988. In addition, in order to compensate or offset the loss of farmland due to rapid urban expansion, more than 30 % of the forest and 20 % of the shrub areas were transformed into farmlands. Inevitably, both the urban and agricultural lands increased the pressure on the drainage systems. Furthermore, over the past decades human activities such as dredging up the floodways, excavating sand and building water facilities in the rivers, significantly changed the hydrological conditions, and therefore impaired the rivers' capacity to buffer floods. Lessons from the Foshan case implied that, in addition to natural processes, human activities driven by socio-economic factors should be considered responsible for the recently increasing level of flood risks. Both economically and environmentally, it is irrational and impractical to encourage encroachment of lands vulnerable to floods. It is also realistic and urgent to effectively prevent and control the adverse ecological consequences of urbanization and economic activities for building their wealth and prominence.Entities:
Keywords: GIS; Urbanization; flood; land use and cover change; remote sensing; the Pearl River Delta
Year: 2008 PMID: 27879819 PMCID: PMC3673415 DOI: 10.3390/s8042223
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sensors (Basel) ISSN: 1424-8220 Impact factor: 3.576
Figure 1.Location of the study area.
Land cover classification accuracy assessment for 1988.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Built-up | Water | Forest | Dike-pond | Farmland | Shrub | Bare land | |||
| Built up | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 80.0 |
| Water | 0 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 93.75 |
| Dike-pond | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 84.62 |
| Forest | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 90.00 |
| Farmland | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 88.24 |
| Bare land | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 100.0 |
| Shrub | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 16 | 87.50 |
| Sum | 13 | 17 | 21 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 14 | ||
| PA (%) | 90.4 | 89.47 | 84.65 | 93.43 | 91.97 | 89.66 | 85.71 | ||
| OA (%) | 87.63 | ||||||||
Note: PA means Producer's accuracy; UA means User's accuracy; OA means overall accuracy.
Land cover classification accuracy assessment for 2003.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Built-up | Water | Forest | Dike-pond | Farmland | Shrub | Bare land | |||
| Built-up | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 93.33 |
| Water | 0 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 88.24 |
| Dike-pond | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 84.21 |
| Forest | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 83.33 |
| Farmland | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 87.50 |
| Bare land | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 75.0 |
| Shrub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | 93.75 |
| Sum | 15 | 17 | 21 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 16 | ||
| PA (%) | 93.11 | 90.66 | 76.83 | 85.29 | 85.39 | 90.0 | 93.75 | ||
| OA (%) | 86.98 | ||||||||
Note: PA means Producer's accuracy; UA means User's accuracy; OA means overall accuracy.
Figure 2.Land use changes in Foshan during 1988-2003 (the left and right maps show land use in 1988 and 2003, respectively)
Land use transfer matrix in Foshan during 1988 and 2003.
| Water | 42.12 | 5.48 | 1.60 | 3.57 | 1.23 | 1.48 | 2.31 |
| Dike-pond | 26.72 | 55.52 | 25.19 | 17.11 | 17.26 | 12.03 | 11.42 |
| Farmland | 13.29 | 14.62 | 29.68 | 28.59 | 21.64 | 23.37 | 14.16 |
| Bare land | 3.72 | 2.94 | 3.73 | 5.91 | 2.45 | 3.85 | 2.03 |
| Forest | 4.63 | 4.30 | 15.05 | 14.85 | 30.38 | 21.36 | 5.98 |
| Shrub | 2.92 | 1.82 | 11.20 | 16.43 | 13.75 | 16.02 | 4.13 |
| Built-up | 6.64 | 15.33 | 13.55 | 13.54 | 13.29 | 21.88 | 59.94 |
Note: The columns and rows contain data of 1988 and 2003 respectively.
Total and annual changes of land use in Foshan during 1988 and 2003.
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Figure 4.Pattern of the industrial towns in Foshan.
Figure 5.Annually averaged diversion ratio of flow flux at Sanshui and Makou sites.
The highest water level and maximum flow flux of three recent flood peaks recorded at the hydrological sites [31].
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 1998 | 2005 | 1994 | 1998 | 2005 | |
| Makou | 10.01 | 9.42 | 8.92 | 47000 | 46200 | 53200 |
| Sanshui | 10.38 | 9.59 | 9.19 | 16200 | 16200 | 16400 |
| Zidong | 7.62 | 7.3 | 7.2 | N | N | N |
| Lanshi | 6.01 | 5.84 | 5.81 | N | N | N |
| Lezhu | 3.57 | 3.77 | 3.8 | N | N | N |
| Ganzhu | 6.79 | 6.32 | 6.44 | N | N | N |
| Rongqi | 3.96 | 3.92 | 3.99 | N | N | N |
| Banshawei | 3.16 | 3.16 | 3.14 | N | N | N |
Note: N means data not available.
Figure 6.Spatial relationship between land use change in 1988-2003 and occurrence of the extreme floods with different return periods (in brackets) in 1994,1998 and 2005.