Regina Tomie Ivata Bernal1, Deborah Carvalho Malta2, Betine Pinto Moehlecke Iser3, Rosane Aparecida Monteiro4. 1. Universidade de São Paulo, Faculdade de Saúde Pública, São Paulo-SP, Brasil. 2. Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Departamento Materno-Infantil e de Saúde Pública, Belo Horizonte-MG, Brasil. 3. Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Epidemiologia, Porto Alegre-RS, Brasil. 4. Universidade de São Paulo, Faculdade de Medicina de Ribeirão Preto, Ribeirão Preto-SP, Brasil.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: to present the indicators' projection method of the Strategic Action Plan for Tackling Chronic Non-Communicable Diseases (NCDs) in Brazilian State capitals and the Federal District, 2012-2022. METHODS: simple linear regression model was used to calculate the indicators' projections with data from the Surveillance System of Risk and Protective Factors for Chronic Diseases by Telephone Survey (Vigitel). RESULTS: in most of the capitals, there was an increase in the prevalence of obesity (annual change: 0.36%;1.29%), overweight (annual change: 1.11%;2.00%), recommended (annual change: 1.45%;2.66%) and regular (annual change: 0.45%;1.46%) consumption of fruits and vegetables; smoking presented a decreasing trend (annual change: -1.34%;-0.20%); whereas physical inactivity, heavy drinking and mammography and Pap smears examinations were stable. CONCLUSION: most of the goals are possible; however, effective actions are necessary, especially for tackling overweight and heavy drinking.
OBJECTIVE: to present the indicators' projection method of the Strategic Action Plan for Tackling Chronic Non-Communicable Diseases (NCDs) in Brazilian State capitals and the Federal District, 2012-2022. METHODS: simple linear regression model was used to calculate the indicators' projections with data from the Surveillance System of Risk and Protective Factors for Chronic Diseases by Telephone Survey (Vigitel). RESULTS: in most of the capitals, there was an increase in the prevalence of obesity (annual change: 0.36%;1.29%), overweight (annual change: 1.11%;2.00%), recommended (annual change: 1.45%;2.66%) and regular (annual change: 0.45%;1.46%) consumption of fruits and vegetables; smoking presented a decreasing trend (annual change: -1.34%;-0.20%); whereas physical inactivity, heavy drinking and mammography and Pap smears examinations were stable. CONCLUSION: most of the goals are possible; however, effective actions are necessary, especially for tackling overweight and heavy drinking.
Authors: Regina Tomie Ivata Bernal; Quéren Hapuque de Carvalho; Jill P Pell; Alastair H Leyland; Ruth Dundas; Mauricio Lima Barreto; Deborah Carvalho Malta Journal: Int J Equity Health Date: 2020-07-31