| Literature DB >> 27713538 |
Maura Pellegrini1,2,3, John Pouncett1, Mandy Jay2,4,5, Mike Parker Pearson5,6, Michael P Richards2,7.
Abstract
A geostatistical model to predict human skeletal oxygen isotope values (δ18Op) in Britain is presented here based on a new dataset of Chalcolithic and Early Bronze Age human teeth. The spatial statistics which underpin this model allow the identification of individuals interpreted as 'non-local' to the areas where they were buried (spatial outliers). A marked variation in δ18Op is observed in several areas, including the Stonehenge region, the Peak District, and the Yorkshire Wolds, suggesting a high degree of human mobility. These areas, rich in funerary and ceremonial monuments, may have formed focal points for people, some of whom would have travelled long distances, ultimately being buried there. The dataset and model represent a baseline for future archaeological studies, avoiding the complex conversions from skeletal to water δ18O values-a process known to be problematic.Entities:
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Year: 2016 PMID: 27713538 PMCID: PMC5054518 DOI: 10.1038/srep34986
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Figure 1Prediction surface (a) and standard error surface (b) of the spatial variation in δ18Op values calculated using Ordinary Kriging
(Prediction errors: n = 258; mean = 0.001; RMS = 0.563; standardised mean = 0.001; standardised RMS = 1.002; average standard error = 0.516). All values were retained for coincident points or multiple samples from the same site. Symbology for prediction surface and standard error surface classified using defined intervals and geometric intervals respectively. Ordinary Kriging carried out using the Geostatistical Analyst extension for ArcGIS for Desktop 10.3.1 (http://desktop.arcgis.com/en/arcmap/10.3/guide-books/extensions/geostatistical-analyst/understanding-ordinary-kriging.htm) © EuroGeographics for the administrative boundaries.
Figure 2Groundwater oxygen isotope ratio distribution values from Britain and Ireland, showing the decrease in δ18O values from southwest to northeast (modified from Darling et al.26).
Figure 3Plot of the positive (a-18O-enriched values) and negative (b-18O-depleted values) residuals from cross-validation of the geostatistical model, showing the inter-regional variability in δ18Op values incremented in steps of 0.3‰–the most reported measurement error in oxygen isotope analysis.
Positive and negative residuals are plotted separately to minimise the impact of overlapping symbols and highlight that samples with both 18O-enriched and 18O-depleted values occur in the same regions (Region codes: 1 Highlands and Islands, 2 North Eastern Scotland, 3 Eastern Scotland, 4 South Western Scotland, 5 North East, 6 North West, 7 Yorkshire and the Humber, 8 East Midlands, 9 West Midlands, 10 East of England, 11 London, 12 South East, 13 South West, 14 Wales, 15 Isle of Man, 16 Northern Ireland, 17 Republic of Ireland.). Cross-validation carried out using the Geostatistical Analyst extension for ArcGIS for Desktop 10.3.1 (http://desktop.arcgis.com/en/arcmap/10.3/guide-books/extensions/geostatistical-analyst/performing-cross-validation-and-validation.htm) © EuroGeographics for the administrative boundaries.