| Literature DB >> 27683521 |
Tomohiro Morita1, Masaharu Tsubokura2, Tomoyuki Furutani3, Shuhei Nomura4, Sae Ochi5, Claire Leppold6, Kazuhiro Takahara7, Yuki Shimada8, Sho Fujioka9, Masahiro Kami2, Shigeaki Kato10, Tomoyoshi Oikawa8.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To assess the influence of the 3.11 triple disaster (earthquake, tsunami and nuclear accident) on the emergency medical service (EMS) system in Fukushima.Entities:
Keywords: ACCIDENT & EMERGENCY MEDICINE; Disaster Medicine; Emergency Medical Services; Fukushima Nuclear Accident; PUBLIC HEALTH
Year: 2016 PMID: 27683521 PMCID: PMC5051455 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2016-013205
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMJ Open ISSN: 2044-6055 Impact factor: 2.692
Figure 1(A) Five regions of the study area according to evacuation orders by the government after the nuclear accident; (1) Minamisoma, within 20 km of the plant; the area under mandatory evacuation orders after 12 March 2011, (2) Minamisoma, 20–30 km from the plant; designated as a voluntary evacuation area from 15 March to 22 April 2011, (3) Minamisoma, further than 30 km from the plant; under no evacuation orders, (4) Iitate; a rural mountain area located 25–45 km northwest of the nuclear plant, under mandatory evacuation orders after 11 April 2011 and (5) Soma; an area located more than 40 km to the north from the plant, under no evacuation orders. (B) The periods of hospital closures. Each letter corresponds to the hospital ID in (A). Source: Esri, HERE, DeLorme, MapmyIndia, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS user community.
Figure 2(A) Definition of three time segments of total emergency medical service (EMS) time. (B)Description of the time course of study period: the duration during which total median EMS time had been significantly affected by the disasters, starting from week 0, 11–17 March 2011.
Figure 3Trends in the number of emergency medical service (EMS) transports and median total EMS time. The week of the earthquake (11–17 March 2011) is defined as week 0.
Characteristics of emergency medical service transports in the control and affected period
| Control period | Affected period | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Characteristic | No./week | No./week | p Value† (control vs affected) |
| All | 62.3 | 58.8 | 0.41 |
| Patient age, year | |||
| 0–14 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.02* |
| 15–64 | 22.4 | 21.8 | 0.92 |
| 65– | 36.4 | 35.2 | 0.89 |
| Sex | |||
| Male | 32.6 | 27.6 | 0.30 |
| Female | 29.8 | 31.3 | 0.82 |
| Time of the day | |||
| 6:00–12:00 | 20.9 | 17.8 | 0.51 |
| 12:00–18:00 | 19.2 | 15.7 | 0.30 |
| 18:00–24:00 | 15.4 | 15.8 | 0.64 |
| 24:00–6:00 | 6.8 | 9.6 | 0.39 |
| Day of the week | |||
| Weekday | 44.0 | 40.0 | 0.64 |
| Weekend | 18.3 | 18.8 | 0.89 |
| Scene of EMS call | |||
| Soma | 19.0 | 18.1 | 0.83 |
| Minamisoma 30 km | 4.9 | 4.2 | 0.34 |
| Minamisoma 20–30 km | 22.7 | 22.8 | 0.94 |
| Minamisoma −20 km | 7.0 | 1.4 | <0.001*** |
| Iitate | 4.6 | 5.7 | 0.13 |
| Others | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.33 |
| Reason for EMS call | |||
| Disaster-related | 0.0 | 4.8 | NA |
| Abdominal pain | 6.0 | 5.8 | 0.89 |
| Chest pain | 2.9 | 3.3 | 0.37 |
| CPA | 2.2 | 1.4 | <0.01** |
| DOC | 10.1 | 8.6 | 0.38 |
| Fever | 2.2 | 3.9 | <0.01** |
| General weakness | 3.9 | 4.0 | 0.89 |
| Gynaecology | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.87 |
| Intoxicated | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.24 |
| Neurological symptom | 6.8 | 6.0 | 0.37 |
| Pain, unspecified | 3.1 | 1.5 | <0.001*** |
| Self-harm | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.12 |
| SOB | 4.7 | 3.3 | 0.04 |
| Trauma | 15.8 | 8.9 | <0.001*** |
| Others | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.48 |
| Destination area | |||
| Soma | 20.0 | 24.1 | 0.41 |
| Minamisoma 30 km | 4.1 | 3.3 | 0.65 |
| Minamisoma 20–30 km | 30.8 | 13.6 | <0.001*** |
| Minamisoma −20 km | 1.2 | 0.3 | <0.01** |
| Iitate | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.58 |
| Outside of study area | 5.7 | 16.7 | <0.01** |
*Statistically significant at 0.05 level.
**Statistically significant at 0.01 level.
***Statistically significant at 0.001 level.
†The p values below were calculated with Student's t-tests.
CPA, cardiopulmonary arrest; DOC, disturbance of consciousness; EMS, emergency medical services; SOB, shortness of breath.
Comparison of emergency medical services time between the control and affected period
| Control period (Week 114 to 1) | Affected period | p Value (control vs affected) | SMD (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total EMS time (min) | ||||
| Median (IQR) | 31 (24–40) | 36 (27–52) | <0.001* | |
| Mean (SD) | 35 (17.4) | 43 (2.3) | <0.001† | 0.41 (0.40 to 0.43) |
| >60 min (%) | 584 (8.2) | 151 (22.2) | <0.001‡ | |
| Response time (min) | ||||
| Median (IQR) | 8 (6–10) | 8 (6–11) | <0.001* | |
| Mean (SD) | 8.5 (4.6) | 9.2 (5.3) | <0.001† | 0.17 (0.14 to 0.20) |
| On-scene time (min) | ||||
| Median (IQR) | 13 (10–18) | 15 (11–19) | <0.001* | |
| Mean (SD) | 15 (7.4) | 16 (8.5) | <0.001† | 0.13 (0.10 to 0.15) |
| Transport time (min) | ||||
| Median (IQR) | 7 (4–14) | 10 (5–23) | <0.001* | |
| Mean (SD) | 12 (13.2) | 18 (19.1) | <0.001† | 0.41 (0.39 to 0.43) |
*Mann–Whitney's U test.
†Welch's t-test.
‡χ2 test.
EMS, emergency medical services; SMD, standardised mean difference.
Figure 4The dense curves of total emergency medical service time and three time segments; response time, on-scene time and transport time during the control and affected period.
Multivariate Poisson regression model for total emergency medical services time in the control and affected period
| Control period | Affected period | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimate (95% CI) | p Value | Estimate (95% CI) | p Value | |
| Constant, minutes | 24.0 (23.5 to 24.4) | <0.001*** | 28.6 (27.1 to 30.1) | <0.001*** |
| Age, year | ||||
| 0–14 | 0.89 (0.88 to 0.91) | <0.001*** | 0.79 (0.72 to 0.86) | <0.001*** |
| 15–64 | Reference | – | Reference | – |
| 65– | 0.98 (0.98 to 0.99) | <0.001*** | 0.98 (0.95 to 1.01) | 0.18 |
| Sex | ||||
| Male | Reference | – | Reference | – |
| Female | 0.99 (0.98 to 1.00) | <0.01** | 0.97 (0.94 to 0.99) | 0.02* |
| Time of the day | ||||
| 6:00–12:00 | Reference | – | Reference | – |
| 12:00–18:00 | 1.01 (1.00 to 1.02) | 0.17 | 0.96 (0.93 to 0.99) | 0.01* |
| 18:00–24:00 | 1.06 (1.05 to 1.07) | <0.001*** | 1.07 (1.03 to 1.11) | <0.001*** |
| 24:00–6:00 | 1.14 (1.12 to 1.15) | <0.001*** | 1.06 (1.02 to 1.11) | <0.01** |
| Day of the week | ||||
| Weekday | Reference | – | Reference | – |
| Weekend | 1.01 (1.00 to 1.02) | <0.01** | 0.98 (0.95 to 1.00) | 0.08 |
| Scene of EMS call | ||||
| Soma | Reference | – | Reference | – |
| Minamisoma 30 km | 0.98 (0.96 to 1.00) | 0.01* | 0.83 (0.79 to 0.87) | <0.001*** |
| Minamisoma 20–30 km | 0.97 (0.96 to 0.98) | <0.001*** | 0.97 (0.94 to 1.00) | 0.05 |
| Minamisoma −20 km | 1.07 (1.06 to 1.09) | <0.001*** | 0.95 (0.87 to 1.04) | 0.30 |
| Iitate | 1.07 (1.05 to 1.09) | <0.001*** | 1.15 (1.11 to 1.20) | <0.001*** |
| Other | 1.04 (0.98 to 1.11) | 0.21 | 1.35 (1.19 to 1.53) | <0.001*** |
| Reason for EMS call | ||||
| Disaster-related | – | – | 1.08 (1.01 to 1.15) | 0.03* |
| Abdominal pain | Reference | – | Reference | – |
| Chest pain | 1.06 (1.04 to 1.08) | <0.001*** | 1.01 (0.95 to 1.07) | 0.78 |
| CPA | 0.97 (0.94 to 0.99) | <0.01** | 0.86 (0.79 to 0.94) | <0.001*** |
| DOC | 1.04 (1.03 to 1.06) | <0.001*** | 1.02 (0.97 to 1.07) | 0.44 |
| Fever | 1.01 (0.98 to 1.03) | 0.61 | 1.05 (0.99 to 1.12) | 0.09 |
| General weakness | 1.07 (1.05 to 1.10) | <0.001*** | 1.03 (0.97 to 1.10) | 0.29 |
| Gynaecology | 0.91 (0.83 to 1.00) | 0.05* | 0.89 (0.72 to 1.10) | 0.27 |
| Intoxicated | 1.13 (1.09 to 1.18) | <0.001*** | 1.31 (1.20 to 1.44) | <0.001*** |
| Neurological symptom | 1.05 (1.04 to 1.07) | <0.001*** | 1.00 (0.95 to 1.06) | 0.95 |
| Pain, unspecified | 1.12 (1.10 to 1.15) | <0.001*** | 1.07 (0.98 to 1.15) | 0.12 |
| Self-harm | 1.15 (1.10 to 1.21) | <0.001*** | 0.86 (0.76 to 0.97) | 0.01* |
| SOB | 1 (0.98 to 1.02) | 0.74 | 1.02 (0.96 to 1.09) | 0.47 |
| Trauma | 1.08 (1.06 to 1.10) | <0.001*** | 1.02 (0.97 to 1.07) | 0.55 |
| Other | 1 (0.96 to 1.03) | 0.90 | 1.11 (1.02 to 1.20) | 0.02* |
| Distance (km) | ||||
| From FS to scene of call | 1.02 (1.02 to 1.02) | <0.001*** | 1.02 (1.02 to 1.02) | <0.001*** |
| From scene of call to hospital | 1.02 (1.02 to 1.02) | <0.001*** | 1.02 (1.02 to 1.02) | <0.001*** |
*Statistically significant at 0.05 level.
**Statistically significant at 0.01 level.
***Statistically significant at 0.001 level.
CPA, cardiopulmonary arrest; DOC, disturbance of consciousness; EMS, emergency medical services; FS, fire station; SOB, shortness of breath; RR, relative ratio.