Literature DB >> 27617685

Unplanned, Postoperative Intubation in Pediatric Surgical Patients: Development and Validation of a Multivariable Prediction Model.

Eric C Cheon1, Hannah L Palac, Kristine H Paik, John Hajduk, Gildasio S De Oliveira, Narasimhan Jagannathan, Santhanam Suresh.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: To date, the independent predictors and outcomes of unplanned postoperative intubation (UPI) in pediatric patients after noncardiac surgery are yet to be characterized. The authors aimed to identify the incidence and predictors of this event and evaluated the effect of this event on postoperative mortality.
METHODS: Data of 87,920 patients from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Pediatric database were analyzed and assigned to derivation (n = 58,614; 66.7%) or validation (n = 29,306; 33.3%) cohorts. The derivation cohort was analyzed for the incidence and independent predictors of early UPI. The final multivariable logistic regression model was validated using the validation cohort.
RESULTS: Early UPI occurred with an incidence of 0.2% in both cohorts. Among the 540 patients who experienced a UPI, 178 (33.0%) were intubated within the first 72 h after surgery. The final logistic regression model indicated operation time, severe cardiac risk factors, American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status classification more than or equal to 2, tumor involving the central nervous system, developmental delay/impaired cognitive function, past or current malignancy, and neonate status as independent predictors of early UPI. Having an early UPI was associated with an increased risk of unadjusted, all-cause 30-day mortality, demonstrating an odds ratio of 11.4 (95% CI, 5.8 to 22.4).
CONCLUSIONS: Pediatric patients who experienced an early UPI after noncardiac surgery had an increased likelihood of unadjusted 30-day mortality by more than 11-fold. Identification of high-risk patients can allow for targeted intervention and potential prevention of such outcomes.

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Year:  2016        PMID: 27617685     DOI: 10.1097/ALN.0000000000001343

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Anesthesiology        ISSN: 0003-3022            Impact factor:   7.892


  4 in total

1.  Characterizing the spectrum of body mass index associated with severe postoperative pulmonary complications in children.

Authors:  Leanne Thalji; Yu Shi; Kristine T Hanson; Elliot Wakeam; Elizabeth B Habermann; Joseph A Hyder
Journal:  J Anesth       Date:  2019-04-11       Impact factor: 2.078

2.  Pediatric patients receiving naloxone within 48 h of anesthesia: a case-control study.

Authors:  Vinay K Donempudi; Juraj Sprung; Toby N Weingarten
Journal:  Pediatr Surg Int       Date:  2017-11-09       Impact factor: 1.827

3.  A Multivariable Model Predictive of Unplanned Postoperative Intubation in Infant Surgical Patients.

Authors:  Lisa D Eisler; May Hua; Guohua Li; Lena S Sun; Minjae Kim
Journal:  Anesth Analg       Date:  2019-12       Impact factor: 5.108

4.  A retrospective analysis of the duration of mechanical ventilation in Scandinavian paediatric heart centres.

Authors:  Tapio Koski; Heli Salmi; Juho Keski-Nisula; Anders Bille; Einar Björnsson; Casper Jessen; Ronnie Forstholm; Mitja Lääperi; Paula Rautiainen
Journal:  Acta Paediatr       Date:  2022-01-29       Impact factor: 4.056

  4 in total

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