Nayara Priscila Dantas de Oliveira1, Isabelle Ribeiro Barbosa1, Jéssica Nayara Vieria Paulino2, Marianna de Camargo Cancela3, Dyego Leandro Bezerra de Souza4. 1. Public Health Department, Graduate Program in Public Health, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal-RN, Brazil. 2. Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal-RN, Brazil. 3. Division of Population Research, Brazilian National Cancer Institute, Brazil. 4. Public Health Department, Graduate Program in Public Health, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal-RN, Brazil. Electronic address: Dysouz@yahoo.com.br.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: Analysis of laryngeal cancer mortality trends in Brazil and its geographic regions for the period 1996-2010 and calculation of mortality predictions for the period 2011-2030. STUDY DESIGN: An epidemiologic, ecologic, demographic-based study, which utilized information from the Mortality Information System on all cancer-related deaths in Brazil, is presented here. Mortality trends were analyzed by Joinpoint regression, and Nordpred was utilized for the calculation of predictions. RESULTS: When comparing the last observed period and the last predicted period for men, an increase of 10,588 deaths is expected, representing an increase of 69%. For women, the expected increase in the number of deaths will be 2217, representing an increase of 104%. Laryngeal cancer mortality rates will increase in the North and Northeast regions for men and in the Northeast and Southeast regions for women. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the current high mortality for laryngeal cancer, rates will continue to increase until 2030 in Brazil.
OBJECTIVE: Analysis of laryngeal cancer mortality trends in Brazil and its geographic regions for the period 1996-2010 and calculation of mortality predictions for the period 2011-2030. STUDY DESIGN: An epidemiologic, ecologic, demographic-based study, which utilized information from the Mortality Information System on all cancer-related deaths in Brazil, is presented here. Mortality trends were analyzed by Joinpoint regression, and Nordpred was utilized for the calculation of predictions. RESULTS: When comparing the last observed period and the last predicted period for men, an increase of 10,588 deaths is expected, representing an increase of 69%. For women, the expected increase in the number of deaths will be 2217, representing an increase of 104%. Laryngeal cancer mortality rates will increase in the North and Northeast regions for men and in the Northeast and Southeast regions for women. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the current high mortality for laryngeal cancer, rates will continue to increase until 2030 in Brazil.
Authors: Y Oukessou; A Chebaatha; O Berrada; R L Abada; S Rouadi; M Roubal; M Mahtar; M Regragui; M Karkouri Journal: Ann Med Surg (Lond) Date: 2022-05-25
Authors: Luciana de Paula Viana; Maria Teresa Bustamante-Teixeira; Deborah Carvalho Malta; Gulnar Azevedo E Silva; Meghan Mooney; Mohsen Naghavi; Mário Círio Nogueira; Valéria Maria de Azeredo Passos; Maximiliano Ribeiro Guerra Journal: Rev Soc Bras Med Trop Date: 2022-01-28 Impact factor: 1.581