| Literature DB >> 27599578 |
Yu-Jui Kuo1, Tzu-Hsien Tsai2, Hui-Ping Chang3, Sarah Chua2, Sheng-Ying Chung2, Cheng-Hsu Yang2, Cheng-Jei Lin2, Chiung-Jen Wu2, Chi-Ling Hang2.
Abstract
Many studies have found that systemic inflammation plays an important role in the pathogenesis of atrial fibrillation (AF). Gout is a chronic systemic inflammatory disorder, but little evidence exists regarding whether the risk of AF is increased in patients with gout. The National Health Insurance Research Database in Taiwan was used in this study, and gout was defined as the occurrence of at least one episode of an acute gout attack requiring medical treatment. A total of 63264 gout and 63264 age- and gender-matched patients were included as the study population. The Cox model was used to evaluate the risk of AF in patients with gout. Patients with gout experienced a greater frequency of co-morbidities compared to patients without gout. The cumulative incidences of AF were 4.61% and 3.04% in patients with and without gout, respectively (log-rank test, P < 0.001). After adjusting for co-morbidities and prescription medication use, gout was found to be associated with AF [hazard ratio (HR), 1.38]. Moreover, the HR for AF decreased with increasing age in our study. Gout was found to be associated with an increased risk of developing AF after adjusting for potential confounders.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27599578 PMCID: PMC5013274 DOI: 10.1038/srep32220
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Figure 1Cohort selection flow chart.
The final study cohort included 63264 patients with gout and 63264 patients without gout matched by age, gender and index day. AF: atrial fibrillation; LHID: Longitudinal Health Insurance Database *Prescriptions include: colchicine, benzbromarone, allopurinol, probenecid, or sulfinpyrazone.
Characteristics of the Study Subjects.
| Matched cohort(N = 63,264) | Gout cohort(N = 63,264) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (Mean ± SD) | 51.29 ± 16.25 | 51.29 ± 16.25 | 0.9890 |
| Age group | 0.9874 | ||
| <20 | 1420 (2.24) | 1415 (2.24) | |
| 20–49 | 15106 (23.88) | 15094 (23.86) | |
| 50–64 | 26188 (41.39) | 26197 (41.41) | |
| 65–79 | 18891 (29.86) | 18935 (29.93) | |
| ≧80 | 1647 (2.60) | 1623 (2.57) | |
| Gender | 1.0000 | ||
| Female | 16194 (25.60) | 16194 (25.60) | |
| Male | 47070 (74.40) | 47070 (74.40) | |
| Comorbidities | |||
| DM | 4867 (7.69) | 8933 (14.12) | <0.0001 |
| CKD | 446 (0.70) | 1087 (1.72) | <0.0001 |
| HTN | 11153 (17.63) | 23412 (37.01) | <0.0001 |
| Hyperlipidemia | 4719 (7.46) | 17119 (27.06) | <0.0001 |
| COPD | 1583 (2.50) | 2199 (3.48) | <0.0001 |
| CAD | 4779 (7.55) | 8868 (14.02) | <0.0001 |
| History of cardiac or pulmonary surgery | 28 (0.04) | 48 (0.08) | 0.0217 |
| Alcoholic intoxication | 91 (0.14) | 242 (0.38) | <0.0001 |
| Sleep apnea | 82 (0.13) | 150 (0.24) | <0.0001 |
| CHF | 1365 (2.16) | 2783 (4.40) | <0.0001 |
| Rheumatoid arthritis | 253 (0.4) | 856 (1.35) | <0.0001 |
| SLE | 51 (0.08) | 84 (0.13) | 0.0045 |
| Scleroderma | 6 (0.01) | 12 (0.02) | 0.1573 |
| Sjögren’s syndrome | 135 (0.21) | 161 (0.25) | 0.1303 |
| Atrial fibrillation | 1924 (3.04) | 2917 (4.61) | <0.0001 |
The statistical analyses were performed by t-test or Chi-square test. Symbols (&, $) indicate significance (at p < 0.05 level). &: T-test; $: Chi-squared test; DM: diabetes mellitus; CKD: chronic kidney disease; HTN: hypertension; CHF: congestive heart failure; COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CAD: coronary artery disease; SLE: systemic lupus erythematosus.
Prediction of occurrence of atrial fibrillation stratified by comorbidities
| Gout vs. matched | With comorbidity | Without comorbidity | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| cHRs (95% C.I.) | aHRs (95% C.I.) | |||
| Diabetes Mellitus | 1.04 (0.88–1.22) | 0.6543 | 1.53(1.42–1.64) | <0.0001 |
| CKD | 1.11 (0.71–1.72) | 0.6570 | 1.50 (1.41–1.60) | <0.0001 |
| HTN | 0.98 (0.89–1.07) | 0.6348 | 1.31 (1.20–1.43) | <0.0001 |
| COPD | 2.80 (1.01–7.77) | 0.0481 | 1.61 (1.49–1.73) | <0.0001 |
| CAD | 1.22 (0.93–1.61) | 0.1601 | 1.59 (1.46–1.74) | <0.0001 |
| History of cardiac or pulmonary surgery | 1.33 (0.40–4.38) | 0.6404 | 1.52 (1.42–1.62) | <0.0001 |
| Alcoholic intoxication | 1.26 (0.26–6.06) | 0.7748 | 1.52 (1.43–1.62) | <0.0001 |
| Sleep apnea | 0.75 (0.17–3.37) | 0.7102 | 1.52 (1.43–1.62) | <0.0001 |
| CHF | 0.93 (0.77–1.13) | 0.4512 | 1.48 (1.39–1.59) | <0.0001 |
| Rheumatoid arthritis | 2.20 (0.87–5.57) | 0.0949 | 1.51 (1.42–1.61) | <0.0001 |
| SLE | 0.97 (0.23–4.06) | 0.9669 | 1.52 (1.43–1.62) | <0.0001 |
| Scleroderma | — | 1.52 (1.42–1.62) | <0.0001 | |
| Sjögren’s syndrome | 0.91 (0.33–2.51) | 0.8568 | 1.52 (1.43–1.62) | <0.0001 |
The statistical analysis was performed with the Cox proportional hazards regression model to indicate significance (at p < 0.05 level).
aHRs: adjusted hazard ratios; cHRs: crude hazard ratios; CI: confidence interval; other abbreviations as in Table 1.
Prediction of occurrence of atrial fibrillation stratified by gender and age.
| Male | Female | <65 | > = 65 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cHRs (95% C.I.) | aHRs (95% C.I.) | cHRs (95% C.I.) | aHRs (95% C.I.) | |||||
| Gout vs. matched | 1.41 (1.29–1.55) | <0.0001 | 1.29 (1.12–1.48) | 0.0005 | 1.62 (1.42–1.84) | <0.0001 | 1.25 (1.14–1.38) | <0.0001 |
| Age | 1.33 (1.06–1.65) | 0.0121 | 1.08 (0.79–1.48) | 0.6185 | 1.36 (1.00–1.84) | 0.0477 | 1.17 (0.93–1.47) | 0.1776 |
| Comorbidities | ||||||||
| DM | 0.98 (0.81–1.19) | 0.8333 | 1.47 (1.16–1.85) | 0.0013 | 1.37 (1.04–1.80) | 0.0233 | 1.05 (0.88–1.25) | 0.6184 |
| CKD | 1.77 (1.08–2.91) | 0.0239 | 0.97 (0.53–1.78) | 0.9271 | 3.01 (1.12–8.10) | 0.0291 | 1.27 (0.82–1.95) | 0.2849 |
| HTN | 1.21 (1.05–1.40) | 0.0101 | 1.31 (1.06–1.62) | 0.0114 | 1.35 (1.10–1.67) | 0.0049 | 1.15 (0.99–1.33) | 0.0659 |
| COPD | 1.01 (0.79–1.29) | 0.9496 | 0.87 (0.56–1.35) | 0.5330 | 1.08 (0.60–1.97) | 0.794 | 0.98 (0.78–1.23) | 0.8423 |
| CAD | 1.57 (1.32–1.87) | <0.0001 | 1.43 (1.13–1.79) | 0.0026 | 1.59 (1.20–2.12) | 0.0014 | 1.50 (1.28–1.77) | <0.0001 |
| HCPS* | 1.99 (0.37–10.69) | 0.4203 | — | — | 2.13 (0.41–11.06) | 0.3673 | ||
| AI^ | 1.76 (0.50–6.19) | 0.3823 | — | 0.90 (0.19–4.38) | 0.8997 | 4.17 (0.44–39.45) | 0.2132 | |
| Sleep apnea | 1.45 (0.37–5.66) | 0.5964 | — | 1.00 (0.14–7.46) | 0.9986 | 1.23 (0.20–7.48) | 0.8211 | |
| CHF | 3.40 (2.48–4.68) | <0.0001 | 2.21 (1.58–3.10) | <0.0001 | 9.90 (4.13–23.75) | <0.0001 | 2.37 (1.85–3.02) | <0.0001 |
| RA | 0.84 (0.41–1.74) | 0.6408 | 1.16 (0.57–2.36) | 0.6745 | 1.39 (0.60–3.23) | 0.4378 | 0.88 (0.46–1.68) | 0.7016 |
| SLE | 0.73 (0.10–5.27) | 0.7534 | — | 2.20 (0.19–25.66) | 0.5299 | 1.60 (0.13–20.22) | 0.7146 | |
| Scleroderma | — | — | — | 0.46 (0.02–10.61) | 0.6272 | |||
| SS& | 1.00 (0.30–3.29) | 0.9995 | 1.36 (0.36–5.18) | 0.6485 | 0.42 (0.10–1.85) | 0.2522 | 1.64 (0.59–4.54) | 0.3394 |
The statistical analysis was performed with the Cox proportional hazards regression model to indicate significance (at p < 0.05 level).
aHRs: adjusted hazard ratios; cHRs: crude hazard ratios; CI: confidence interval; AI^: alcoholic intoxication; HCPS*: history of cardiac or pulmonary surgery; SS&: Sjögren’s syndrome; other abbreviations are as described in Table 1.
Figure 2Cumulative incidence of atrial fibrillation in patients with gout and age-, gender- and index day matched cohorts.
A Kaplan–Meier survival analysis showing that gout patients are associated with a higher incidence of AF compared to those without gout (16.8% versus 13.9%, p < 0.002). AF = atrial fibrillation.
Prediction of occurrence of atrial fibrillation.
| cHRs(95% C.I.) | aHRs(95% C.I.) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gout vs. matched | 1.57 (1.47–1.69) | <0.0001 | 1.38 (1.27–1.48) | <0.0001 |
| Age | 1.27 (1.07–1.51) | 0.0052 | 1.24 (1.04–1.48) | 0.0195 |
| Comorbidities | ||||
| Diabetes Mellitus | 1.49 (1.30–1.71) | <0.0001 | 1.15 (0.99–1.33) | 0.0694 |
| CKD | 2.30 (1.61–3.29) | <0.0001 | 1.44 (0.98–2.10) | 0.0619 |
| HTN | 1.79 (1.62–1.99) | <0.0001 | 1.24 (1.10–1.39) | 0.0004 |
| COPD | 1.35 (1.11–1.64) | 0.0025 | 0.98 (0.79–1.21) | 0.8308 |
| CAD | 2.13 (1.89–2.42) | <0.0001 | 1.52 (1.32–1.75) | <0.0001 |
| History of cardiac or pulmonary surgery | 6.00 (1.34–26.79) | 0.0190 | 3.09 (0.65–14.65) | 0.1563 |
| Alcoholic intoxication | 2.00 (0.60–6.64) | 0.2577 | 1.62 (0.47–5.65) | 0.4487 |
| Sleep apnea | 1.40 (0.44–4.41) | 0.5655 | 1.01 (0.29–3.53) | 0.9906 |
| CHF | 3.80 (3.06–4.71) | <0.0001 | 2.75 (2.19–3.45) | <0.0001 |
| Rheumatoid arthritis | 1.52 (0.95–2.43) | 0.0813 | 1.06 (0.64–1.75) | 0.8304 |
| SLE | 2.99 (0.61–14.82) | 0.1791 | 2.29 (0.40–12.97) | 0.3508 |
| Scleroderma | — | — | 0.48 (0.03–9.49) | 0.6316 |
| Sjögren’s syndrome | — | — | 1.17 (0.49–2.78) | 0.7251 |
The statistical analysis was performed with the Cox proportional hazards regression model to indicate significance (at p < 0.05 level).
aHRs: adjusted hazard ratios; cHRs: crude hazard ratios; CI: confidence interval; other abbreviations as in Table 1.