Aneta Aleksova1, Antonio Paolo Beltrami2, Rita Belfiore3, Giulia Barbati3, Milena Di Nucci4, Sara Scapol3, Valerio De Paris3, Cosimo Carriere3, Gianfranco Sinagra3. 1. Cardiovascular Department, "Ospedali Riuniti" and University of Trieste, Trieste, Italy. Electronic address: aaleksova@units.it. 2. Department of Medical and Biological Sciences, University of Udine, Italy. 3. Cardiovascular Department, "Ospedali Riuniti" and University of Trieste, Trieste, Italy. 4. Department of Internal Medicine and Degenerative-Atherothrombotic Diseases, University Hospital of Verona, Italy.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Previous studies in the setting of patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) have demonstrated that hypovitaminosis D is associated with increased mortality risk during a follow-up whose median did not exceed two years. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact of vitamin D levels on long-term mortality in patients with AMI. RESULTS: In our study 477 patients with AMI were included. During a median follow-up period of 57 (IQR 53-64) months, 93 patients (20%) died. A non-linear U-shaped relationship between 25(OH)D levels and long-term mortality was observed; patients with vitamin D<10ng/mL and >30ng/mL had higher mortality rate than those with intermediate values. After adjustment for differences in baseline features and treatment, it was confirmed that extreme values of vitamin D (<10 or >30ng/mL) are independent predictors of mortality with HR of 3.02 (95% CI 1.78-5.11). Other independent predictors of outcome were age, NYHA class at discharge, treatment with ACE inhibitors and statins. The estimated time-dependent ROC curve of the multivariable model including vitamin D showed an AUC significantly higher than the model without vitamin D: AUC 0.82 (95% CI 0.76-0.87) vs. 0.77 (95% CI 0.71-0.83), p=0.005. Addition of vitamin D to the model that included all significant factors for mortality improved the prognostic accuracy as showed by the metrics of reclassification (NRI 0.34 (95% CI 0.14-0.48), p=0.003 and IDI 0.06 (95% CI 0.01-0.12, p=0.005 p=0.03). CONCLUSIONS: We report a U-shaped relationship between vitamin D levels and long-term outcome of patients surviving AMI.
BACKGROUND: Previous studies in the setting of patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) have demonstrated that hypovitaminosis D is associated with increased mortality risk during a follow-up whose median did not exceed two years. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact of vitamin D levels on long-term mortality in patients with AMI. RESULTS: In our study 477 patients with AMI were included. During a median follow-up period of 57 (IQR 53-64) months, 93 patients (20%) died. A non-linear U-shaped relationship between 25(OH)D levels and long-term mortality was observed; patients with vitamin D<10ng/mL and >30ng/mL had higher mortality rate than those with intermediate values. After adjustment for differences in baseline features and treatment, it was confirmed that extreme values of vitamin D (<10 or >30ng/mL) are independent predictors of mortality with HR of 3.02 (95% CI 1.78-5.11). Other independent predictors of outcome were age, NYHA class at discharge, treatment with ACE inhibitors and statins. The estimated time-dependent ROC curve of the multivariable model including vitamin D showed an AUC significantly higher than the model without vitamin D: AUC 0.82 (95% CI 0.76-0.87) vs. 0.77 (95% CI 0.71-0.83), p=0.005. Addition of vitamin D to the model that included all significant factors for mortality improved the prognostic accuracy as showed by the metrics of reclassification (NRI 0.34 (95% CI 0.14-0.48), p=0.003 and IDI 0.06 (95% CI 0.01-0.12, p=0.005 p=0.03). CONCLUSIONS: We report a U-shaped relationship between vitamin D levels and long-term outcome of patients surviving AMI.
Authors: Manish D Paranjpe; Alfred C Chin; Ishan Paranjpe; Nicholas J Reid; Phan Q Duy; Jason K Wang; Ross O'Hagan; Artine Arzani; Arsalan Haghdel; Clarence C Lim; Vwaire Orhurhu; Ivan Urits; Anh L Ngo; Benjamin S Glicksberg; Kathryn T Hall; Darshan Mehta; Richard S Cooper; Girish N Nadkarni Journal: BMJ Open Date: 2020-11-04 Impact factor: 2.692