Hildur G Ásgeirsdóttir1, Tinna L Ásgeirsdóttir2, Ullakarin Nyberg3, Thordis K Thorsteinsdottir4,5, Brynjólfur Mogensen4,6, Páll Matthíasson6,7, Sigrún H Lund1, Unnur A Valdimarsdóttir1,8,9, Arna Hauksdóttir1. 1. Centre of Public Health Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland. 2. Faculty of Economics, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland. 3. Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Stockholm Centre for Psychiatric Research and Education, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden. 4. Research Institute in Emergency Care, The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavík, Iceland. 5. Faculty of Nursing, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland. 6. Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland. 7. The National University Hospital of Iceland, Reykjavík, Iceland. 8. Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden. 9. Department of Epidemiology, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Abstract
Background: Macroeconomic downturns have been associated with increased suicide rates. This study examined potential changes in suicide attempts and self-harm in Iceland during a period of major economic transition (2003-12). Methods: Data were retrieved from the National University Hospital in Reykjavik (population size: 204.725), containing all ICD-10 diagnoses connected to potential suicidal behaviour. Poisson regression models were used to compare attendance rates before and after the 2008 economic collapse. Results: During the study period, a total of 4537 attendances of 2816 individuals were recorded due to suicide attempts or self-harm. We noted a significant change in total attendance rates among men, characterized by an annual increase in attendance rate pre-collapse of 1.83 per 100.000 inhabitants and a decrease of 3.06 per 100.000 inhabitants post-collapse ( P = 0.0067). Such pattern was not observed among women. When restricting to first attendances only, we found a reduced incidence post-crisis among both men (RR: 0.85; 0.76-0.96) and women (RR: 0.86; 0.79-0.92). We further found 1% increase in unemployment rate and balance of trade to be associated with reduced attendance rates among men (RR: 0.84; 0.76-0.93 and RR: 0.81; 0.75-0.88, respectively) but not among women. Conclusion: These data suggest no overall increase in attendance rates due to suicide attempts or self-harm following the 2008 Icelandic economic collapse. In fact, a high-point in self-harm and suicide attempts was observed among men at the height of the economic boom and a decrease in new attendances among both men and women after the economic collapse.
Background: Macroeconomic downturns have been associated with increased suicide rates. This study examined potential changes in suicide attempts and self-harm in Iceland during a period of major economic transition (2003-12). Methods: Data were retrieved from the National University Hospital in Reykjavik (population size: 204.725), containing all ICD-10 diagnoses connected to potential suicidal behaviour. Poisson regression models were used to compare attendance rates before and after the 2008 economic collapse. Results: During the study period, a total of 4537 attendances of 2816 individuals were recorded due to suicide attempts or self-harm. We noted a significant change in total attendance rates among men, characterized by an annual increase in attendance rate pre-collapse of 1.83 per 100.000 inhabitants and a decrease of 3.06 per 100.000 inhabitants post-collapse ( P = 0.0067). Such pattern was not observed among women. When restricting to first attendances only, we found a reduced incidence post-crisis among both men (RR: 0.85; 0.76-0.96) and women (RR: 0.86; 0.79-0.92). We further found 1% increase in unemployment rate and balance of trade to be associated with reduced attendance rates among men (RR: 0.84; 0.76-0.93 and RR: 0.81; 0.75-0.88, respectively) but not among women. Conclusion: These data suggest no overall increase in attendance rates due to suicide attempts or self-harm following the 2008 Icelandic economic collapse. In fact, a high-point in self-harm and suicide attempts was observed among men at the height of the economic boom and a decrease in new attendances among both men and women after the economic collapse.