| Literature DB >> 27533284 |
Carolina Nanclares, Jimmy Kapetshi, Fanshen Lionetto, Olimpia de la Rosa, Jean-Jacques Muyembe Tamfun, Miriam Alia, Gary Kobinger, Andrea Bernasconi.
Abstract
During July-November 2014, the Democratic Republic of the Congo underwent its seventh Ebola virus disease (EVD) outbreak. The etiologic agent was Zaire Ebola virus; 66 cases were reported (overall case-fatality rate 74.2%). Through a retrospective observational study of confirmed EVD in 25 patients admitted to either of 2 Ebola treatment centers, we described clinical features and investigated correlates associated with death. Clinical features were mainly generic. At admission, 76% of patients had >1 gastrointestinal symptom and 28% >1 hemorrhagic symptom. The case-fatality rate in this group was 48% and was higher for female patients (67%). Cox regression analysis correlated death with initial low cycle threshold, indicating high viral load. Cycle threshold was a robust predictor of death, as were fever, hiccups, diarrhea, dyspnea, dehydration, disorientation, hematemesis, bloody feces during hospitalization, and anorexia in recent medical history. Differences from other outbreaks could suggest guidance for optimizing clinical management and disease control.Entities:
Keywords: Democratic Republic of the Congo; Ebola virus disease; PCR; disease outbreaks; polymerase chain reaction; viruses
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27533284 PMCID: PMC4994351 DOI: 10.3201/eid2209.160354
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Emerg Infect Dis ISSN: 1080-6040 Impact factor: 6.883
Characteristics of Ebola virus disease case-patients treated in 2 Ebola treatment centers, Lokolia and Boende, Democratic Republic of the Congo, July–November 2014*
| Characteristic | Total | Male | Female | p value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sex, no. (%) | 25 (100) | 13 (52) | 12 (48) | |
| Median age, y (IQR) | 32 (10–39) | 32 (12–47) | 25 (6.5–38.5) | 0.03 |
| Age group, y, no. (%) | ||||
|
| 4 (16.0) | 1 (7.7) | 3 (25.0) | |
| >5 to | 5 (20.0) | 3 (23.1) | 2 (16.7) | |
| >15 to | 11 (44.0) | 5 (38.4) | 6 (50.0) | |
| >45 | 5 (20.0) | 4 (30.8) | 1 (8.3) |
|
| Patient cycle threshold at admission, no. (mean ± SD) | 23 (29.22 ± 5.90) | 12 (30.61 ± 5.39) | 11 (27.7 ± 6.32) | |
|
| 3 (22.07 ± 3.63) | <0.001 | ||
| >5 to | 5 (35.06 ± 4.64) | |||
| >15 to | 10 (28.17 ± 4.23) | <0.001 | ||
| >45 y | 5 (29.76 ± 6.25) |
|
|
|
| Time from onset to admission, mean d ± SD | 4.69 ± 2.63 | 4.61 ± 2.93 | 4.82 ± 2.34 | |
| Survived | 4.25 ± 3.13 | |||
| Died | 5.21 ± 1.95 |
|
|
|
| Median hospital stay, d (IQR) | 4 (3–12) | |||
| Survived | 10 (3–13) | 3 | 24 | 0.09 |
| Died | 4 (2.5–5.5) | 1 | 18 |
|
| Time from onset to outcome, d (IQR) | 10 (7–15) | 3 | 30 | |
| Survived | 11.5 (7.5–19.5) | 4 | 30 | 0.28 |
| Died | 9 (7–12) | 3 | 23 |
*Blank cells indicate the numbers were too small for meaningful calculation. IQR, interquartile range.
Symptoms and signs, and their prediction for death, among patients admitted to 2 Ebola treatment centers during the Ebola virus disease outbreak, Lokolia and Boende, Democrtic Republic of the Congo, July–November 2014
| Symptom/sign | Survived, no. (%) | Died, no. (%) | Total, no. (%) | Case-fatality rate, % | Relative risk (95% CI) | p value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Symptoms | ||||||
| Asthenia | 10 (76.9) | 11 (91.7) | 21 (84.0) | 52.4 | 2.09 (0.36–12.00) | 0.59 |
| Anorexia | 4 (30.8) | 10 (83.3) | 14 (56.0) | 71.4 | 3.93 (1.07–14.37) | 0.01 |
| Headache | 5 (38.5) | 7 (58.3) | 12 (48.0) | 58.3 | 1.52 (0.66–3.5) | 0.44 |
| Myalgia | 5 (38.5) | 6 (50.0) | 11 (44.0) | 54.5 | 1.27 (0.56–2.86) | 0.69 |
| Right upper quadrant abdominal pain | 4 (30.8) | 6 (50.0) | 10 (40.0) | 60.0 | 1.5 (0.67–3.33) | 0.42 |
| Difficulty swallowing | 1 (7.7) | 4 (33.3) | 5 (20.0) | 80.0 | 2 (1–3.9) | 0.16 |
| Nausea | 2 (15.4) | 3 (25,0) | 5 (20.0) | 60.0 | 1.33 (0.56–3.16) | 0.64 |
| Arthralgia | 2 (15.4) | 2 (16.6) | 4 (16.0) | 50.0 | 1.05 (0.35–3.08) | 1 |
| Dyspnea | 0 | 1 (8,3) | 1 (4.0) | 100.0 | 2.18 (1.41–3.37) | 0.48 |
| Cough | 0 | 1 (8.3) | 1 (4.0) | 100.0 | 2.18 (1.41–3.37) | 0.48 |
| Back pain | 0 | 1 (8.3) | 1 (4.0) | 100.0 | 2.18 (1.41–3.37) | 0.48 |
| Disorientation | 0 | 1 (8.3) | 1 (4.0) | 100.0 | 2.18 (1.41–3.37) | 0.48 |
| Stomach pain/cramps | 1 (7.7) | 0 | 1 (4.0) | 0 |
Symptoms and signs developed during hospitalization during the Ebola virus disease outbreak in Ebola treatment centers, Lokolia and Boende, Democratic Republic of the Congo, July–November 2014*
| Symptom, sign | Survived, no. (%) | Died, no. (%) | Total, no. (%) | Average no. days | CFR | Relative risk (95% CI) | p value | Patient age group, y, % | p value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >15 | ||||||||||
| Symptom | ||||||||||
| Asthenia | 12 (92.3) | 12 (100) | 24 (96.0) | 4 | 50.0 | 0 | 88.9 | 100.0 | 0.36 | |
| Anorexia | 7 (53.8) | 10 (83.3) | 17 (68.0) | 2.9 | 58.8 | 2.35 (0.66–8.33) | 0.2 | 44.4 | 81.3 | 0.075 |
| Myalgia | 6 (46.1) | 9 (75.0) | 15 (60.0) | 2.3 | 60.0 | 2 (0.71–5.62) | 0.22 | 11.1 | 87.5 | 0 |
| Arthralgia | 5 (38.4) | 6 (50.0) | 11 (44.0) | 2.4 | 54.5 | 1.27 (0.56–2.86) | 0.69 | 11.1 | 62.5 | 0.017 |
| Headache | 6 (46.1) | 5 (41.7) | 11 (44.0) | 2 | 45.5 | 0.90 (0.39–2.09) | 10 | 22.2 | 56.3 | 0.11 |
| RUQ abdominal pain | 3 (23.1) | 7 (58.3) | 10 (40.0) | 2.3 | 70.0 | 2.10 (0.92–4.78) | 0.11 | 11.1 | 56.3 | 0.034 |
| Difficulty swallowing | 2 (15.4) | 6 (50.0) | 8 (32.0) | 1 | 75.0 | 2.12 (0.99–4.53) | 0.09 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.012 |
| Nausea | 3 (23.1) | 5 (41.7) | 8 (32.0) | 2.3 | 62.5 | 1.52 (0.69–3.31) | 0.41 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.012 |
| Dyspnea | 0 (0) | 6 (50.0) | 6 (24.0) | 100.0 | 3.16 (1.63–6.13) | 0.005 | 11.1 | 31.3 | 0.267 | |
| Disorientation | 0 (0) | 6 (50.0) | 6 (24.0) | 100.0 | 3.16 (1.63–6.14) | 0.005 | 11.1 | 31.3 | 0.267 | |
| Cough | 1 (7.7) | 2 (16.6) | 3 (12.0) | 1 | 66.7 | 1.46 (0.58–3.69) | 0.59 | 0 | 18.8 | 0.243 |
| Chest pain | 1 (7.7) | 2 (16.6) | 3 (12.0) | 1 | 66.7 | 1.46 (0.58–3.69) | 0.59 | 0 | 18.8 | 0.243 |
| Back pain | 1 (7.7) | 1 (8.3) | 2 (8.0) | 2 | 50.0 | 1 (0.24–4.45) | 10 | 0 | 12.5 | 0.4 |
| Stomach pain/cramps | 2 (15.4) | 0 | 2 (8.0) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 12.5 | 0.4 |
| Diarrhea | 6 (46.1) | 11 (91.7) | 17 (68.0) | 2.3 | 64.7 | 5.17 (0.8–33.5) | 0.03 | 44.4 | 81.3 | 0.075 |
| Fever up to 39.5°C | 4 (33.3) | 11 (91.7) | 15 (60.0) | 1.5 | 73.3 | 7.33 (1.11–48.2) | 0.003 | 44.4 | 68.8 | 0.222 |
| Vomiting | 7 (53.8) | 8 (66.6) | 15 (60.0) | 1.3 | 53.3 | 1.33 (0.54–3.20) | 0.68 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.053 |
| Dehydration | 1 (7.7) | 8 (66.6) | 9 (36.0) | 1 | 88.9 | 3.55 (1.47–8.56) | 0.003 | 22.2 | 43.8 | 0.264 |
| Hiccups | 0 | 4 (33.3) | 4 (16.0) | 100.0 | 2.62 (1.52–4.53) | 0.04 | 11.1 | 18.8 | 0.54 | |
| Tender abdomen | 1 (7.7) | 2 (16.6) | 3 (12.0) | 4 | 66.7 | 1.46 (0.58–3.68) | 0.59 | 0 | 18.8 | 0.243 |
| Fever >39.5°C | 1 (7.7) | 1 (8.3) | 2 (8.0) | 1 | 50.0 | 1.04 (0.24–4.45) | 10 | 11.1 | 6.3 | 0.6 |
| Nonhemorrhagic rash | 0 | 1 (8.3) | 1 (4.0) | 2 | 100.0 | 2.18 (1.41–3.37) | 0.48 | 0 | 6.3 | 0.64 |
| Hemorrhagic sign | ||||||||||
| Hemorrhagic | 4 (30.7) | 9 (75.0) | 13 (52.0) | 3.5 | 69.20 | 2.77 (0.97–7.87) | 0.04 | 44.4 | 56.3 | 0.44 |
| Hemorrhagic, excluding red eyes/subconjunctival hemorrhage | 2 (15.4) | 9 (75.0) | 11 (44.0) | 1 | 85.70 | 3.81 (1.34–10.8) | 0.03 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.3 |
| Bloody feces | 1 (7.7) | 6 (50.0) | 7 (28.0) | 1 | 85.7 | 2.57 (1.25–5.28) | 0.03 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 0.499 |
| Bleeding from injection site | 1 (7.7) | 5 (41.7) | 6 (24.0) | 1 | 83.3 | 2.26 (1.13–4.50) | 0.07 | 22.2 | 25.0 | 0.637 |
| Red eyes/subconjunctival hemorrhage | 3 (23.1) | 3 (25.0) | 6 (24.0) | 4 | 50.0 | 1.05 (0.41–2.67) | 10 | 11.1 | 31.3 | 0.267 |
| Hematemesis | 0 | 5 (41.7) | 5 (20.0) | 100.0 | 2.87 (1.57–5.19) | 0.01 | 11.1 | 25.0 | 0.391 | |
| Hemoptysis | 0 | 2 (16.6) | 2 (8.0) | 100.0 | 2.30 (1.44–3.66) | 0.22 | 0 | 12.5 | 0.4 | |
| Epistaxis | 0 | 1 (8.3) | 1 (4.0) | 100.0 | 2.18 (1.41–3.37) | 0.48 | 0 | 6.3 | 0.64 | |
| Gingival/oral bleeding | 0 | 1 (8.3) | 1 (4.0) | 1 | 100.0 | 2.18 (1.41–3.37) | 0.48 | 11.1 | 0 | 0.36 |
*RUQ, right upper quadrant.
Figure 1Survival distribution (Kaplain-Meier) by sex of Ebola virus disease patients admitted to 2 Ebola treatment centers, Lokolia and Boende, Democratic Republic of the Congo, July–November 2014.
Figure 2Prediction of Ebola virus disease patients’ probability of dying in relation to their Zaire ebolavirus viral load as determined by cycle threshold at admission to an Ebola treatment center, Lokolia and Boende, Democratic Republic of the Congo, July–November 2014.
Symptoms and signs during hospitalization of Ebola virus disease patients admitted to 2 Ebola treatment centers, Lokolia and Boende, Democratic Republic of the Congo, 2014*
| Symptom/sign | Hazard ratio (95% CI) | p value |
|---|---|---|
| Fever up to 39.5°C | 7.33 (1.11–48.2) | <0.01 |
| Hiccups | 2.62 (1.52–4.53) | 0.04 |
| Diarrhea | 5.17 (0.8–33.5) | 0.03 |
| Dyspnea | 3.16 (1.63–6.13) | <0.01 |
| Dehydration | 3.55 (1.47–8.56) | <0.01 |
| Disorientation | 3.16 (1.63–6.14) | <0.01 |
| Hematemesis | 2.85 (1.57–5.19) | 0.01 |
| Bloody feces | 2.57 (1.25–5.28) | 0.03 |
| History of anorexia | 3.93 (1.07–14.37) | 0.01 |
| Ct at admission | 0.79 (0.64–0.97) | 0.03 |
*Ct, cycle threshold. †Cox regression test.
Previous Ebola virus disease outbreaks notified in Democratic Republic of the Congo since 1976*
| Year | Region | No. cases | No. deaths | Case-fatality rate, % | Species |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1976 | Yambuku, Mongala district | 318 | 280 | 88.0 | ZEBOV |
| 1977 | Tandala, Equateur Province | 1 | 1 | 100.0 | ZEBOV |
| 1995 | Kikwit, Bundunu Province | 315 | 254 | 80.6 | ZEBOV |
| 2007 | Mweka and Leubo, Kasai Occidental Province | 264 | 187 | 70.8 | ZEBOV |
| 2008–2009 | Mweka and Luebo, Kasai Occidental Province | 32 | 14 | 43.7 | ZEBOV |
| 2012 | Isiro, Oriental Province | 77 | 36 | 46.7 | BDBV |
| 2014 | Boende,Equateur Province | 66 | 49 | 74.2 | ZEBOV |
*BDBV, Bundibugyo ebolavirus; ZEBOV, Zaire ebolavirus.