| Literature DB >> 27509026 |
Mohammad Ali Babai1, Peyman Arasteh2,3, Maryam Hadibarhaghtalab2,3, Mohammad Mehdi Naghizadeh2, Alireza Salehi3,4, Alireza Askari2, Reza Homayounfar2,5.
Abstract
In this study we evaluated and redefined the optimum body mass index (BMI) cut-off point for the Iranian population based on metabolic syndrome (MeS) risk factors. We further evaluated BMI cut-off points with and without waist circumference (WC) as a cofactor of risk and compared the differences. This study is part of the largest surveillance programs conducted in Shiraz, Iran, termed the Shiraz Heart study. Our study sample included subjects between the ages of 20 to 65 years old. After excluding pregnant women, those with missing data and those with comorbid disease, a total of 12283 made up the study population. The participants underwent a series of tests and evaluations by trained professionals in accordance with WHO recommendations. Hypertension, abnormal fasting blood sugar (FBS), triglyceride (TG) and high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL) (in the context of the definition of metabolic syndrome) were prevalent among 32.4%, 27.6%, 42.1 and 44.2% of our participants, respectively. Women displayed higher rates of overall obesity compared to men (based on the definition by the WHO as higher than 30 kg/m2). Regarding MeS, 38.9% of our population had the all symptoms of MeS which was more prevalent among women (41.5% vs. 36%). When excluding WC in the definition of MeS, results showed that males tend to show a higher rate of metabolic risk factors (19.2% vs. 15.6%). Results of multivariate analysis showed that parallel to an increase in BMI, the odds ratio (OR) for acquiring each component of the metabolic syndrome increased (OR = 1.178; CI: 1.166-1.190). By excluding WC, the previous OR decreased (OR = 1.105; CI: 1.093-1.118). Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis showed that the optimum BMI cut-off point for predicting metabolic syndrome was 26.1 kg/m2 and 26.2 kg/m2 [Accuracy (Acc) = 69% and 61%, respectively)] for males and females, respectively. The overall BMI cut-off for both sexes was 26.2 kg/m2 (Acc = 65%) with sensitivity and specificity of 69% and 62%, respectively. This cut-off had a positive predictive value of 54% and a negative predictive value of 76%. When we excluded waist circumference, the optimum BMI cut-off for acquiring metabolic risk factors in males decreased to 25.7 kg/m2 (Acc = 67%) and increased for women to 27.05 kg/m2 (Acc = 66%). Iranians are at higher risks of morbidity related to metabolic factors at a lower BMI cut-off and prompt action and preventive health policy are required to prevent and educate Iranians regarding diseases associated with obesity.Entities:
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Year: 2016 PMID: 27509026 PMCID: PMC4980035 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0160639
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Demographic characteristics of the study population.
| Variables | Female (n = 6200) | Male (n = 6282) | Total (n = 12282) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number | Percent | Number | Percent | Number | Percent | |
| <30 | 551 | 8.9 | 305 | 5.0 | 856 | 7.0 |
| 30–39 | 1284 | 20.7 | 994 | 16.3 | 2278 | 18.5 |
| 40–49 | 2161 | 34.9 | 2429 | 39.9 | 4590 | 37.4 |
| 50–59 | 1684 | 27.2 | 1912 | 31.4 | 3596 | 29.3 |
| 520 | 8.4 | 442 | 7.3 | 962 | 7.8 | |
| <20 | 285 | 4.6 | 382 | 6.3 | 667 | 5.4 |
| 20–24.99 | 1786 | 28.8 | 2221 | 36.5 | 4007 | 32.6 |
| 25–29.99 | 2605 | 42.0 | 2664 | 43.8 | 5269 | 42.9 |
| 30–34.99 | 1196 | 19.3 | 678 | 11.1 | 1874 | 15.3 |
| ≥35 | 328 | 5.3 | 136 | 2.2 | 464 | 3.8 |
| 44.95 | 10.38 | 46.36 | 9.25 | 45.65 | 9.86 | |
| 94.63 | 12.40 | 93.58 | 10.56 | 94.11 | 11.54 | |
| 118.95 | 17.42 | 125.53 | 17.76 | 122.21 | 17.89 | |
| 74.38 | 11.59 | 79.11 | 12.14 | 76.73 | 12.10 | |
| 158.30 | 6.51 | 171.84 | 7.06 | 165.01 | 9.59 | |
| 68.07 | 11.97 | 76.45 | 13.05 | 72.23 | 13.20 | |
| 97.57 | 30.96 | 99.16 | 29.18 | 98.35 | 30.10 | |
| 49.34 | 11.73 | 44.48 | 10.51 | 46.93 | 11.40 | |
| 105.35 | 27.75 | 106.70 | 27.48 | 106.02 | 27.62 | |
| 191.94 | 43.33 | 192.01 | 44.13 | 191.97 | 43.73 | |
| 143.46 | 82.44 | 169.57 | 102.27 | 156.37 | 93.68 | |
BMI: Body mass index; FBS: Fasting blood sugar; HDL: High density lipoprotein; LDL: Low density lipoprotein: TG: Triglyceride
*Patients were first categorized based on their BMI by the definition of the WHO. According to this the majority of the Iranian population is overweight.
Abnormal findings of the study population based on the definition of metabolic syndrome*.
| Variables | Female | Male | Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number | Percent | Number | Percent | Number | Percent | |
| 982 | 15.9 | 1600 | 26.3 | 2582 | 21.1 | |
| 1294 | 20.9 | 1955 | 32.2 | 3249 | 26.5 | |
| 1617 | 26.1 | 2355 | 38.8 | 3972 | 32.4 | |
| 1545 | 25.1 | 1822 | 30.2 | 3367 | 27.6 | |
| 5527 | 89.2 | 3071 | 50.6 | 8598 | 70.1 | |
| 2257 | 36.5 | 2888 | 47.8 | 5145 | 42.1 | |
| 3341 | 54.4 | 2046 | 33.9 | 5387 | 44.2 | |
| No | 3565 | 58.5 | 3835 | 64.0 | 7400 | 61.2 |
| Yes | 2532 | 41.5 | 2159 | 36.0 | 4691 | 38.8 |
| No | 224 | 3.7 | 853 | 14.2 | 1077 | 8.9 |
| One | 1302 | 21.4 | 1461 | 24.4 | 2763 | 22.9 |
| Two | 2039 | 33.4 | 1521 | 25.4 | 3560 | 29.4 |
| Three | 1608 | 26.4 | 1282 | 21.4 | 2890 | 23.9 |
| Four | 750 | 12.3 | 694 | 11.6 | 1444 | 11.9 |
| Five | 174 | 2.9 | 183 | 3.1 | 357 | 3.0 |
| No | 5151 | 84.4 | 4855 | 80.8 | 10006 | 82.6 |
| Yes | 950 | 15.6 | 1152 | 19.2 | 2102 | 17.4 |
| No | 1224 | 20.1 | 1227 | 20.4 | 2451 | 20.2 |
| One | 2237 | 36.7 | 1925 | 32.0 | 4162 | 34.4 |
| Two | 1690 | 27.7 | 1703 | 28.4 | 3393 | 28.0 |
| Three | 774 | 12.7 | 908 | 15.1 | 1682 | 13.9 |
| Four | 176 | 2.9 | 244 | 4.1 | 420 | 3.5 |
BP: Blood pressure; HTN: Hypertention; FBS: Fasting blood sugar; HDL: High density lipoprotein; LDL: Low density lipoprotein: TG: Triglyceride; MeS: Metabolic syndrome
*Abnormality of the variables was defined based on the definition of the National Cholesterol Education Program’s Adult Treatment Panel III revised guidelines of MeS as: systolic BP >130 mmHg and/or diastolic BP> 85 mmHg, TG ≥ 150 mg/dL, HDL-c < 40 mg/dL for male and < 50 mg/dL for females, FBS> 100 and waist circumference of >88cm for women or >102cm for men.
¶Hypertension was defined as systolic Blood pressure>140 or diastolic blood pressure>90.
Logistic regression model for the prediction of metabolic syndrome based on BMI*.
| Odds ratio | 95% confidence interval | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.190 | 1.178–1.202 | |
| 1.178 | 1.166–1190 | |
| One | 1.277 | 1.246–1.309 |
| Two | 1.461 | 1.424–1.498 |
| Three | 1.576 | 1.536–1.617 |
| Four | 1.648 | 1.604–1.694 |
| Five | 1.694 | 1.640–1.749 |
| 1.105 | 1.094–1.117 | |
| 1.105 | 1.093–1.118 | |
| One | 1.065 | 1.051–1.079 |
| Two | 1.149 | 1.134–1.165 |
| Three | 1.197 | 1.178–1.216 |
| Four | 1.230 | 1.202–1.258 |
BMI: Body mass index; MeS: Metabolic syndrome
*The analysis was done both with and without considering waist circumference as a risk factor in the definition of BMI.
Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis for defining the ideal BMI cut-off point based on MeS components.
| Model | Cut Point | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV | Acc | PLR | NLR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Weighted | 23.82 | 89.21 | 37.49 | 47.50 | 84.57 | 57.56 | 142.72 | 28.77 |
| Convenience | 26.22 | 69.20 | 63.06 | 54.29 | 76.35 | 65.44 | 187.33 | 48.85 | |
| Female | Weighted | 22.63 | 94.12 | 22.19 | 46.21 | 84.15 | 52.06 | 120.95 | 26.52 |
| Convenience | 26.22 | 69.98 | 55.18 | 52.58 | 72.13 | 61.33 | 156.13 | 54.40 | |
| Male | Weighted | 23.92 | 89.81 | 43.27 | 47.13 | 88.29 | 60.04 | 158.31 | 23.55 |
| Convenience | 26.16 | 68.87 | 70.01 | 56.39 | 79.98 | 69.60 | 229.62 | 44.46 | |
| Female | Weighted | 23.24 | 92.63 | 21.78 | 17.93 | 94.13 | 32.81 | 118.43 | 33.83 |
| Convenience | 27.05 | 67.89 | 55.93 | 22.13 | 90.43 | 57.79 | 154.06 | 57.40 | |
| Male | Weighted | 22.23 | 94.10 | 19.57 | 21.73 | 93.32 | 33.87 | 116.99 | 30.16 |
| Convenience | 25.74 | 66.67 | 55.64 | 26.29 | 87.55 | 57.76 | 150.30 | 59.90 | |
BMI: Body mass index; MeS: Metabolic syndrome; PPV: Positive predictive value; NPV: Negative predictive value; Acc: Accuracy; PLR: Positive likelihood ratio; NLR: Negative likelihood ratio
*Two models were defined for the calculation of BMI cut-off points. In the weighted model, optimum cut-off was defined as the point on the ROC curve with minimum [(1 –sensitivity)2 + (1 –specificity)2]. In the convenience model, optimum cut-off was defined as the point on the ROC curve with the maximum sensitivity + specificity.
Fig 1ROC curves for MeS using BMI.
(A) In this chart metabolic syndrome was defined as having 3 of 5 components. (B) In this chart metabolic syndrome was defined without the waist component.
Fig 2Area under curve with 95% confidence interval.
In the three top bars MeS was defined with its five components. In the bottom bars MeS was defined with four components and waist was excluded from the MeS diagnostic criteria.