| Literature DB >> 27409076 |
Sarah Jane Nolan1,2, Ian Hambleton2,3, Kerry Dwan4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Systematic reviews of treatment interventions in stable or chronic conditions often require the synthesis of clinical trials with a cross-over design. Previous work has indicated that methodology for analysing cross-over data is inadequate in trial reports and in systematic reviews assessing trials with this design.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27409076 PMCID: PMC4943623 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0159014
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1Study Flow Diagram.
Flow diagram of selection of Cochrane Cystic Fibrosis and Genetic Disorders (CFGD) reviews and included cross-over trialsa-d. a All numbers in Fig 1 refer to number of trials, some of which were published across multiple reports. Where this was the case, we extracted only from the primary reference as stated in the Cochrane review or according to our judgement of which reference was the most relevant. b In one review, review level and included trial level data was extracted following initial identification of reviews and trials up to January 2015. An update of this review was published in May 2015 in which five cross-over trials previously included were excluded (for reasons not due to cross-over design). These excluded cross-over trials were retained in the data extraction and results. c Note: in forty reviews which did not consider cross-over trials to be an eligible design; 13 cross-over trials were listed as “Excluded Studies” in these reviews due to design (one of which was included in another review). d Note: in the 102 reviews where cross-over designs were eligible, 10 unique trials listed as ‘Ongoing’ had a cross-over design and 35 unique trials listed as ‘Awaiting Assessment’ had a cross-over design (three of which were included in other reviews).
Review methodology and reporting.
| Methods described for the inclusion of cross-over (CO) trials in reviews | CO trials eligible (n = 102) | CO trials included (n = 53) |
|---|---|---|
| Describes “Three stages of Elbourne” approach [ | 17 (17%) | 8 (15%) |
| Use paired analyses (First stage of Elbourne) | 16 (16%) | 11 (21%) |
| Use generic inverse variance (GIV) meta-analysis (paired analysis) | 6 (6%) | 4 (7%) |
| Marginal probabilities of success method [ | 3 (3%) | 1 (2%) |
| Include first period data only (Second stage of Elbourne) | 18 (17%) | 10 (19%) |
| Analyse as a parallel trial (Third stage of Elbourne) | 4 (4%) | 4 (7%) |
| Refers to "Elbourne," no specific details of methods. | 20 (19%) | 12 (23%) |
| Include narratively in the review only | 1 (1%) | 1 (2%) |
| Consult a statistician | 1 (1%) | 1 (2%) |
| No methods stated | 14 (14%) | 1 (2%) |
| Consult the Cochrane Handbook | 1 (1%) | 0 (0%) |
| “Depends on study” | 1 (1%) | 0 (0%) |
| Included narratively in the review | 15 (28%) | |
| Analysed as a parallel trial | 8 (15%) | |
| Included first period data only | 6 (11%) | |
| Paired analyses (analysed by GIV meta-analysis) | 5 (9%) | |
| Paired analyses (data provided from trialist) | 2 (4%) | |
| First period (data provided from trialist) | 1 (2%) | |
| Included narratively / analysed as a parallel trial | 9 (17%) | |
| First period only / analysed as parallel / Included narratively | 5 (9%) | |
| Paired analyses / first period only / analysed as parallel / Included narratively | 2 (4%) | |
| NA—No specific analysis method described | 2 (4%) | |
| No—A method of paired analysis was described but data was analysed as parallel or data was included narratively | 24 (45%) | |
| Yes—for some of the studies / outcomes included in the review | 5 (9%) | |
| Yes—but were provided with extra data from trial authors | 3 (6%) | |
| Yes—specified three stages of Elbourne [ | 6 (11%) | |
| Yes—method of including CO trial data used as described | 13 (25%) | |
Legend: Methods planned compared to methods used for and the inclusion of results from cross-over (CO) trials in meta-analysis.
a See Introduction for further details.
Fig 2Review Methodology and Reporting.
Methods planned compared to methods used for and the inclusion of results from cross-over (CO) trials in meta-analysis for 53 reviews.
Characteristics, statistical analysis and presentation of results in cross-over trials.
| Trial design and characteristics (n = 218) | |
|---|---|
| AB/ BA design (i.e. randomised to one of two interventions and then order reversed) | 157 (72%) |
| More than two arms in a randomised order | 44 (20%) |
| Other design | 14 (7%) |
| Unclear | 3 (1%) |
| Used | 60 (27%) |
| Not used | 28 (13%) |
| Not mentioned | 119 (55%) |
| Unclear | 11 (5%) |
| Not mentioned | 203 (93%) |
| Control within-participant variability (participant acts as own control) | 6 (3%) |
| States the measurement of participant preference is an objective | 6 (3%) |
| Increase the statistical power of a small sample size (rare condition) | 3 (1%) |
| Yes | 42 (19%) |
| No | 176 (81%) |
| No calculation specified | 177 (81%) |
| The study is a pilot or exploratory so a sample size calculation is not necessary | 6 (3%) |
| Sample size calculation described but no allowance for cross-over design | 27 (12%) |
| Sample size calculation allows for paired / cross-over design | 8 (4%) |
| Not mentioned | 169 (77%) |
| Text regarding carry-over effect but no statistical test performed: | 21 (10%) |
| Carry-over effect described as "significant" or "non-significant effect" but not stated which statistical test was used | 9 (4%) |
| Statistical test for carry-over specified: | 19 (9%) |
| Not mentioned | 170 (78%) |
| Text regarding period effect but no statistical test performed: | 9 (4%) |
| Period effect described as "significant" or "non-significant effect" but not stated which statistical test was used: | 12 (6%) |
| Statistical test for period effect specified: | 27 (12%) |
| 27 (12%) | |
| No statistical methods described | 35 (16%) |
| Statistical methods not clear: | 10 (4%) |
| Statistical analysis not appropriate: | 23 (11%) |
| Analysis appropriate for paired design: | 150 (69%) |
| Yes | 69 (32%) |
| No | 44 (20%) |
| Unclear if any participants have been excluded from analysis | 105 (48%) |
| Yes | 13 (6%) |
| No | 205 (94%) |
| Published results could be included in meta-analysis | 56 (26%) |
| Results for some outcomes could be included in meta-analysis | 13 (6%) |
| Published results could not be included in meta-analysis accounting for cross-over design. | 149 (68%) |
ANOVA: Analysis of variance, ANCOVA: Analysis of covariance
a Examples of other designs: participants received at least one of the interventions more than once (e.g. two treatment periods of each intervention).
b Examples of unclear designs: unclear how interventions were allocated or when cross-over occurred.
c Unclear washout period: for example, a gap between treatments is described (e.g. interventions were given on consecutive days) but unclear if this was intended to be a washout period.
d Statistical analyses considered appropriate a priori are described in S1 Table. Other methods considered on a case by case basis
e Statistical analysis section describes as mixture of paired and unpaired tests; e.g paired t-test if data is normally distributed and Wilcoxon Rank Sum test (not paired) if data is skewed.
f Non-parametric equivalent of repeated measures ANOVA.
g Data could be included in meta-analysis if results adjusted for the paired design could be extracted (e.g. mean difference and standard error (SE) of mean difference) or calculated (e.g. from individual participant data presented, from estimation of SE from exact p value reported or from correlation coefficient between treatment groups) or if data was presented by treatment period or first period only.
Fig 3Trial methodology and reporting.
Analysis and reporting of results in 218 cross-over trials, and the incorporation of results in 53 systematic reviews.
Fig 4Inclusion of cross-over data in systematic reviews.
How many cross-over trials could be been included in meta-analysis?