GOALS: Our aim was to develop a scoring system to predict risk of microscopic colitis (MC), to identify patients at low risk, potentially avoiding unnecessary biopsies. BACKGROUND: Patients with chronic diarrhea often undergo colonoscopy with biopsy, but few have histologic abnormalities. STUDY: We conducted a retrospective study of patients with chronic diarrhea and a macroscopically normal colonoscopy at our institution over a 9-month period. Multivariable logistic regression assessed the association between predictors and the presence of biopsy-proven MC. RESULTS: The derivation cohort included 617 patients. Median age was 55.1 (39.6 to 68.1) years; 397 (64.3%) were female and 81 (13.1%) had MC. Age ≥55 years, duration of diarrhea ≤6 months, ≥5 bowel movements per day, body mass index <30 kg/m, current smoking, and current use of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors/serotonin-norepinephrine reuptake inhibitorss and non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs were independently associated with MC. A score of ≥10 points in our scoring system, yielded an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.83 with a sensitivity of 93% and specificity of 49% in predicting which patients have MC. The negative predictive value (NPV) was 97.8% (95.0% to 99.1%).In the validation cohort, the scoring system performed similarly (AUC 0.79, sensitivity 91%, specificity 49%, NPV 97%). By avoiding biopsies in patients at low risk of having MC, costs associated with colon biopsies could be reduced by almost 43%. CONCLUSION: This scoring system including 7 clinical variables was able to identify patients unlikely to have MC, with excellent sensitivity, reasonable specificity, and a high NPV, translating into important potential cost savings.
GOALS: Our aim was to develop a scoring system to predict risk of microscopic colitis (MC), to identify patients at low risk, potentially avoiding unnecessary biopsies. BACKGROUND:Patients with chronic diarrhea often undergo colonoscopy with biopsy, but few have histologic abnormalities. STUDY: We conducted a retrospective study of patients with chronic diarrhea and a macroscopically normal colonoscopy at our institution over a 9-month period. Multivariable logistic regression assessed the association between predictors and the presence of biopsy-proven MC. RESULTS: The derivation cohort included 617 patients. Median age was 55.1 (39.6 to 68.1) years; 397 (64.3%) were female and 81 (13.1%) had MC. Age ≥55 years, duration of diarrhea ≤6 months, ≥5 bowel movements per day, body mass index <30 kg/m, current smoking, and current use of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors/serotonin-norepinephrine reuptake inhibitorss and non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs were independently associated with MC. A score of ≥10 points in our scoring system, yielded an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.83 with a sensitivity of 93% and specificity of 49% in predicting which patients have MC. The negative predictive value (NPV) was 97.8% (95.0% to 99.1%).In the validation cohort, the scoring system performed similarly (AUC 0.79, sensitivity 91%, specificity 49%, NPV 97%). By avoiding biopsies in patients at low risk of having MC, costs associated with colon biopsies could be reduced by almost 43%. CONCLUSION: This scoring system including 7 clinical variables was able to identify patients unlikely to have MC, with excellent sensitivity, reasonable specificity, and a high NPV, translating into important potential cost savings.
Authors: Po-Hong Liu; Kristin E Burke; Ashwin N Ananthakrishnan; Paul Lochhead; Ola Olen; Jonas F Ludvigsson; James M Richter; Andrew T Chan; Hamed Khalili Journal: Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol Date: 2018-12-06 Impact factor: 11.382
Authors: Ramesh P Arasaradnam; Steven Brown; Alastair Forbes; Mark R Fox; Pali Hungin; Lawrence Kelman; Giles Major; Michelle O'Connor; Dave S Sanders; Rakesh Sinha; Stephen Charles Smith; Paul Thomas; Julian R F Walters Journal: Gut Date: 2018-04-13 Impact factor: 23.059
Authors: Stephan Miehlke; Danila Guagnozzi; Yamile Zabana; Gian E Tontini; Anne-Marie Kanstrup Fiehn; Signe Wildt; Johan Bohr; Ole Bonderup; Gerd Bouma; Mauro D'Amato; Peter J Heiberg Engel; Fernando Fernandez-Banares; Gilles Macaigne; Henrik Hjortswang; Elisabeth Hultgren-Hörnquist; Anastasios Koulaouzidis; Jouzas Kupcinskas; Stefania Landolfi; Giovanni Latella; Alfredo Lucendo; Ivan Lyutakov; Ahmed Madisch; Fernando Magro; Wojciech Marlicz; Emese Mihaly; Lars K Munck; Ann-Elisabeth Ostvik; Árpád V Patai; Plamen Penchev; Karolina Skonieczna-Żydecka; Bas Verhaegh; Andreas Münch Journal: United European Gastroenterol J Date: 2021-02-22 Impact factor: 4.623