| Literature DB >> 27402819 |
Trond Bruun1,2, Oddvar Oppegaard1,2, Karl Ove Hufthammer3, Nina Langeland1,4, Steinar Skrede1,2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Skin and soft tissue infections are common reasons for medical care. Use of broad-spectrum therapy and costs have increased. Assessment of early treatment response has been given a central role both in clinical trials and everyday practice. However, there is a paucity of data on the dynamics of response, causes of early nonresponse, and how early nonresponse affects resource use and predicts outcome.Entities:
Keywords: cellulitis; early response; outcome; skin infections; treatment failure
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27402819 PMCID: PMC5036916 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciw463
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Clin Infect Dis ISSN: 1058-4838 Impact factor: 9.079
Figure 1.Clinical and biochemical response at days 1, 2, and 3. Response evaluation was based on comparison with findings the day before. Response at days 2 and 3 was defined as response by day 2 and 3, respectively. See the “Methods” section for further details. A, Different clinical and biochemical response parameters are presented. ΔBody temperature ≤37.5°C in ≥2 separate measurements in 1 day (≥1 measurement if discharged) among cases with temperature >37.5°C the day before. ₸Not based on comparison with the day before but compared to the maximum value of all preceding days in hospital. B, Clinical and/or biochemical response using combined parameters. Clinical response was defined as cessation of lesion spread and overall improvement of local inflammation from one day to the next. Biochemical response was defined as at least 20% reduction of blood leukocytes or C-reactive protein (CRP) from one day to the next. The number of cases with indeterminate response (≥1 response parameter missing) at days 1, 2, and 3 were 16, 28, and 24, respectively. Abbreviations: Biochem+, biochemical response; Biochem-, no biochemical response; Clin+, clinical response; Clin-, no clinical response.
Figure 2.Clinical course after treatment. Status at end of treatment and posttreatment was determined by a telephone consultation scheduled approximately 2 weeks after cessation of therapy. Signs of residual inflammation (red/rose/purple discoloration, tenderness, warmth) and deterioration (symptom increase or new antibiotic course) after treatment were registered. Readmissions for skin and soft tissue infection (SSTI) within 30 days are also shown. The number of cases with indeterminate outcome (≥1 parameters missing) at end of treatment and posttreatment were 25 and 15, respectively.
Figure 3.Flowchart of cases eligible for multivariable analyses to identify predictors of nonresponse at day 1 and day 3. Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; SIRS, systemic inflammatory response syndrome.
Regression Models for Nonresponse at Days 1 and 3 Among Cases Without Initial Discordant Therapya
| Characteristicb | Nonresponse at Day 1 | Nonresponse at Day 3 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Univariate Model (n = 188) | Adjusted Model (n = 188) | Lasso Regression (n = 188) | Univariate Model (n = 168) | Adjusted Model (n = 168) | Lasso Regression (n = 168) | |||||
| ORc | ORc | ORc | ORc | ORc | ORc | |||||
| Age (years) | 0.99 | .50 | 0.99 | .29 | 1 | 1.02 | .14 | 0.97 | .27 | 1 |
| Female sex | 0.80 | .46 | 0.89 | .73 | 1 | 4.01 | .01 | 5.10 | .03 | 2.09 |
| Cardiovascular disease | 1.19 | .56 | 1.46 | .38 | 1 | 5.05 | .002 | 10.70 | .006 | 2.83 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 1.56 | .32 | 1.39 | .51 | 1 | 1.47 | .59 | 0.65 | .60 | 1 |
| Previous local surgery/radiation | 0.81 | .56 | 0.88 | .77 | 1 | 1.77 | .30 | 1.84 | .40 | 1 |
| Previous local cellulitis | 0.94 | .86 | 1.08 | .84 | 1 | 1.06 | .92 | 0.84 | .82 | 1 |
| Chronic edema | 0.91 | .76 | 0.49 | .13 | 1 | 1.83 | .23 | 0.53 | .50 | 1 |
| BMI (kg/m²)f | 1.04 | .15 | 1.03 | .36 | 1 | 1.08 | .07 | 1.11 | .08 | 1.03 |
| Symptom duration (days)f | 0.89 | .17 | 0.90 | .27 | 1 | 0.71 | .03 | 0.79 | .21 | 0.90 |
| Prior antibiotic therapyb,g | 0.55 | .08 | 0.52 | .10 | 1 | 1.17 | .78 | 1.70 | .48 | 1 |
| Extremity infection | 1.20 | .57 | 1.30 | .54 | 1 | 1.82 | .34 | 1.57 | .62 | 1 |
| Typical erysipelash | 1.60 | .12 | 1.46 | .24 | 1 | 0.40 | .07 | 0.23 | .02 | 0.53 |
| Sepsis (≥2 SIRS criteria) | 1.75 | .06 | 1.52 | .20 | 1 | 1.63 | .33 | 2.08 | .25 | 1 |
| TBSA%f | 1.04 | .51 | 1.11 | .29 | 1 | 0.95 | .61 | 0.90 | .52 | 1 |
Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; OR, odds ratio; SIRS, systemic inflammatory response syndrome; TBSA%, percentage of total body surface area with erythema.
a Cases with initial penicillin monotherapy and either (1) streptococcal etiology not confirmed or probable or (2) streptococcal etiology nonevaluable were excluded from the analysis (in a total of 13 of 216 cases) see also Figure 3.
b At admission.
c OR values >1 indicate greater risk of nonresponse, and OR values <1 indicate greater probability of response.
d Test of joint effect of predictors at day 1: P = .34.
e Test of joint effect of predictors at day 3: P = .008.
f The predictors were winsorized as follows: BMI at 40 kg/m2, symptom duration at 6 days, and TBSA% at 10%.
g Oral antibiotic treatment was started the day before admission or earlier.
h Sharply demarcated, salmon-red erythema.
Treatment Resources and Outcome in Relation to Response at Days 1 and 3
| Treatment Resource or Outcome | Day 1 | Day 3 | Delayed Early Response | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Response | Nonresponse | Response | Nonresponse | Response Day 3, Not Day 1 | Response Day 3 and Day 1 | ||||
| Antibiotic treatment duration | |||||||||
| Days, total, median (range) | 11.5 (6–31) | 12 (2–44) | .80 | 11 (2–39) | 15.5 (8–44) | 12 (8–39) | 12 (6–31) | .48 | |
| ≥14 d, total | 15/82 (18) | 23/130 (18) | 1.00 | 23/170 (14) | 11/20 (55) | 13/99 (13) | 10/71 (14) | .86 | |
| Days of IV therapy, median (range) | 3 (0–21) | 3 (0–22) | 3 (0–22) | 4 (0–22) | .13a | 3 (1–22) | 3 (1–21) | ||
| Antibiotic treatment escalationb | |||||||||
| Within 2 d | 4/81 (5) | 37/129 (29) | 27/170 (16) | 9/20 (45) | 24/99 (24) | 3/71 (4) | |||
| Within 3 d | 9/81 (11) | 40/127 (32) | 32/168 (19) | 11/20 (55) | 26/97 (27) | 6/71 (9) | |||
| Overall | 19/80 (24) | 48/122 (39) | . | 50/163 (31) | 11/19 (60) | 34/93 (37) | 16/70 (23) | .06a | |
| Surgical treatment escalationc | 2/80 (3) | 3/121 (3) | 1.00 | 2/161 (1) | 3/20 (15) | 1/91 (1) | 1/70 (1) | 1.00a | |
| Clinical failured | |||||||||
| Deterioration within 2 wk posttreatmente | 7/80 (9) | 15/117 (13) | .37 | 17/159 (11) | 3/18 (17) | .43 | 11/89 (12) | 6/70 (9) | .44 |
| Readmission within 30 d | 4/82 (5) | 5/129 (4) | .74 | 8/169 (5) | 0/20 (0) | 1.00 | 5/98 (5) | 3/71 (4) | 1.00 |
| Clinical failure, totald | 8/79 (10) | 16/116 (14) | .44 | 18/157 (12) | 3/18 (17) | .46 | 12/89 (14) | 7/70 (10) | .50 |
| Resource-demanding coursef | 40/79 (51) | 66/115 (57) | .35 | 80/156 (51) | 15/18 (83) | 45/87 (52) | 35/69 (51) | .90 | |
Data are presented as No./evaluable cases (%) unless otherwise specified. Boldface indicates statistical significance (P < .05).
Abbreviation: IV, intravenous.
a Response at day 3 (and delayed response) may have been affected by early treatment escalation, IV therapy, or surgery and is therefore not a true predictor variable regarding these outcomes. However, increasing the response by such treatment escalation would not have strengthened the statistical association between nonresponse and escalation, but the opposite. Response at day 3 and delayed response are therefore included as predictor variables, despite the fact that these variables are also based on data not preceding outcomes.
b Addition of an antimicrobial agent or other change giving a regimen with broader antimicrobial spectrum.
c First surgery or more extensive surgery than before performed >1 day after start of in-hospital antibiotic treatment.
d Increase in symptoms or new course of antibiotics between end of therapy and 2 weeks after end of treatment or death or readmission for skin and soft tissue infection within 30 days of discharge.
e Increase in symptoms or new course of antibiotics between end of therapy and 2 weeks after end of treatment.
f Surgical treatment escalation, antibiotic treatment escalation after 3 days, intravenous treatment >3 days, total treatment duration >14 days, or clinical failure.