| Literature DB >> 27384242 |
Patrick J van der Geest1, Mostafa Mohseni2, Jo Linssen3, Servet Duran4, Robert de Jonge5, A B Johan Groeneveld2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The prediction of infection and its severity remains difficult in the critically ill. A novel, simple biomarker derived from five blood-cell derived parameters that characterize the innate immune response in routine blood samples, the intensive care infection score (ICIS), could be helpful in this respect. We therefore compared the predictive value of the ICIS with that of the white blood cell count (WBC), C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) for infection and its severity in critically ill patients.Entities:
Keywords: Biomarkers; Critically ill; ICIS; Infection; PCT; Septic shock
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27384242 PMCID: PMC4936267 DOI: 10.1186/s13054-016-1366-6
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Crit Care ISSN: 1364-8535 Impact factor: 9.097
Baseline demographic and clinical characteristics
| Group 1 | Groups 2 + 3 |
| |
|---|---|---|---|
| (n = 149) | (n = 152) | ||
| Age (years) | 57 (24) | 62 (19) | 0.01 |
| Gender (male) | 100 (67) | 105 (69) | 0.72 |
| APACHE II score | 22 (10) | 22 (8) | 0.92 |
| APACHE IV score | 63 (38) | 60 (34) | 0.49 |
| SOFA score | 7 (7) | 8 (6) | 0.06 |
| Comorbidity | |||
| Neurologic | 39 (26) | 41 (27) | 0.88 |
| Cardiac | 40 (27) | 58 (38) | 0.04 |
| Pulmonary | 28 (19) | 38 (25) | 0.25 |
| Gastrointestinal | 39 (26) | 55 (36) | 0.05 |
| Renal | 15 (10) | 24 (16) | 0.14 |
| DM II | 22 (15) | 33 (22) | 0.13 |
| Cancer | 22 (15) | 46 (30) | 0.002 |
| Autoimmune | 7 (5) | 8 (5) | 0.97 |
| Reasons for ICU admission | <0.001 | ||
| Suspected infection | 23 (15) | 69 (45) | |
| Respiratory failure | 24 (16) | 33 (22) | |
| Renal failure | 0 (0) | 1 (1) | |
| Liver failure | 5 (3) | 3 (2) | |
| Neurology | 31 (21) | 8 (5) | |
| CPR | 9 (6) | 5 (3) | |
| Shock | 10 (7) | 3 (2) | |
| Trauma | 13 (9) | 5 (3) | |
| Postoperative | 34 (23) | 25 (17) | |
| Treatment on ICU | |||
| Antibiotics | 140 (94) | 152 (100) | 0.02 |
| Norepinephrine | 109 (73) | 128 (84) | 0.03 |
| Dobutamine | 18 (12) | 17 (11) | 0.80 |
| TPN | 39 (26) | 50 (33) | 0.20 |
| Mechanical ventilation | 133 (89) | 125 (82) | 0.06 |
| Renal replacement therapy | 15 (10) | 52 (34) | <0.001 |
| Length of ICU stay (days) | 9 (17) | 11 (17) | 0.49 |
| Length of hospital stay (days) | 22 (34) | 26 (36) | 0.13 |
| Mortality day 28 | 42 (28) | 58 (38) | 0.09 |
| Mortality day 90 | 98 (36) | 68 (45) | 0.13 |
Numbers (percentage) or median (interquartile range), where appropriate. Abbreviations: APACHE II acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II, CPR cardiopulmonary resuscitation, DM II diabetes mellitus type II, ECMO extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, SOFA sequential organ failure assessment score, TPN total parenteral nutrition
Infection characteristics
| Group 1 | Group 2 | Group 3 |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (n = 149) | (n = 91) | (n = 61) | ||
| Source of infection | 0.01 | |||
| Pulmonary | - | 44 (48) | 15 (25) | |
| Abdominal | - | 30 (33) | 29 (47) | |
| Urogenital | - | 8 (9) | 2 (3) | |
| Neurologic | - | 2 (2) | 2 (3) | |
| Soft tissue/bones | - | 7 (8) | 10 (17) | |
| Blood and catheter | - | 0 | 3 (5) | |
| Gram strain | 0.01 | |||
| Gram-negative | - | 30 (33) | 16 (26) | |
| Gram-positive | - | 27 (30) | 36 (59) | |
| Type of microorganism | 0.15 | |||
| Staphylococci | - | 15 (16) | 17 (28) | |
| Streptococci | - | 12 (13) | 19 (31) | |
| Enterobacteriaceae | - | 26 (29) | 15 (25) | |
| Pseudomonas | - | 4 (4) | 1 (2) | |
| Fungi | - | 12 (13) | 6 (10) | |
| Viral | - | 5 (5) | 3 (5) | |
| Biomarkers | ||||
| SIRS | 146 (98) | 90 (99) | 58 (95) | 0.94 |
| Septic shock | - | 12 (13) | 9 (15) | 0.78 |
| Temperature (°C) | 38.1 (1.5) | 38.3 (1.7) | 38.0 (1.5) | 0.94 |
| Heart rate (beats/minute) | 105 (29) | 109 (37) | 112 (39) | 0.15 |
| Respiratory rate (breaths/minute) | 28 (13) | 29 (17) | 29 (17) | 0.61 |
| WBC day 0 (109/L) | 12.4 (7.8) | 14.4 (12.9) | 13.9 (12.2) | 0.63 |
| WBC day 1 (109/L) | 11.7 (8.1) | 13.9 (13.1) | 13.4 (11.3) | 0.47 |
| WBC day 2 (109/L) | 12.1 (7.2) | 14.4 (9.8) | 14.8 (15.0) | 0.19 |
| CRP day 0 (mg/L) | 84 (109) | 163 (156) | 167 (161) | <0.001 |
| CRP day 1 (mg/L) | 88 (131) | 156 (156) | 197 (154) | <0.001 |
| CRP day 2 (mg/L) | 82 (141) | 131 (136) | 180 (172) | <0.001 |
| PCT day 0 (μg/L) | 0.65 (2.30) | 2.71 (9.88) | 4.13 (38.0) | <0.001 |
| ICIS day 0 | 3 (3) | 6 (5) | 6 (5) | <0.001 |
| ICIS day 1 | 3 (3) | 6 (4) | 6 (4) | <0.001 |
| ICIS day 2 | 4 (4) | 6 (4) | 6 (4) | <0.001 |
Numbers (percentage) or median (interquartile range), where appropriate. Group 1: no infection; Group 2: local infection without blood stream infection; Group3: blood stream infection. Abbreviations: CRP C-reactive protein, ICIS intensive care infection score, PCT procalcitonin, SIRS systemic inflammatory response syndrome, WBC white blood cells
Septic shock
| No (n = 280) | Yes (n = 21) |
| |
|---|---|---|---|
| Temperature (°C) | 38.2 (1.5) | 38.2 (1.6) | 0.75 |
| Heart rate (beats/minute) | 108 (33) | 119 (59) | 0.04 |
| Respiratory rate (breaths/minute) | 28 (15) | 29 (13) | 0.85 |
| WBC day 0 (109/L) | 12.8 (9.5) | 12.5 (17.6) | 0.68 |
| WBC day 1 (109/L) | 12.4 (9.5) | 14.1 (20.4) | 0.60 |
| WBC day 2 (109/L) | 12.5 (9.4) | 14.6 (14.4) | 0.41 |
| CRP day 0 (mg/L) | 107 (144) | 234 (182) | <0.001 |
| CRP day 1 (mg/L) | 124 (147) | 327 (160) | <0.001 |
| CRP day 2 (mg/L) | 107 (144) | 244 (205) | <0.001 |
| PCT day 0 (μg/L) | 1.15 (6.1) | 32.2 (94.0) | <0.001 |
| ICIS day 0 | 4 (5) | 9 (6) | <0.001 |
| ICIS day 1 | 4 (4) | 8 (7) | <0.001 |
| ICIS day 2 | 5 (5) | 7 (6) | 0.03 |
Median (interquartile range). Abbreviations: CRP C-reactive protein, ICIS intensive care infection score, PCT procalcitonin, WBC white blood cells
Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis to determine the optimum cutoff value of the different biomarkers on day 0 for the prediction of infection (groups 2 + 3)
| Parameters | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biomarkers | AUROC (95 % CI) |
| Cutoff | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV |
| WBC (109/L) | 0.53 (0.46, 0.60) | 0.38 | 12.9 | 0.54 | 0.54 | 0.55 | 0.54 |
| CRP (mg/L) | 0.70 (0.64, 0.76) | <0.001 | 111 | 0.65 | 0.64 | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| PCT (μg/L) | 0.71 (0.66, 0.77) | <0.001 | 1.41 | 0.65 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| ICIS | 0.73 (0.67, 0.79) | <0.001 | 5 | 0.66 | 0.71 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
Abbreviations: AUROC area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, CI confidence interval, CRP C-reactive protein, ICIS intensive care infection score, PCT procalcitonin, PPV positive predictive value, NPV negative predictive value, WBC white blood cells. The AUROC for ICIS differed from that for WBC (P < 0.001)
Fig. 1Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the four biomarkers for the prediction of infection: for white blood cell count (WBC) 0.53, for C-reactive protein (CRP) 0.70, for procalcitonin (PCT) 0.71, and for intensive care infection score (ICIS) 0.73
Fig. 2Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the four biomarkers for the prediction of septic shock: for white blood cell count (WBC) 0.53, for C-reactive protein (CRP) 0.73, for procalcitonin (PCT) 0.85 and for intensive care infection score (ICIS) 0.76