| Literature DB >> 27330400 |
Daisuke Miyakoshi1, Hiroyuki Senba2, Mitsumori Shikichi1, Masaya Maeda1, Ryo Shibata1, Kazuhiro Misumi3.
Abstract
This study aimed to evaluate the influence of radiographic abnormalities of 2-year-old Thoroughbred horses that were listed at in-training sales in Japan, on whether they started to race or not at 2-3 years of age. Radiographs of 850 2-year-old Thoroughbreds in the in-training sales repository from 2007 to 2010 were reviewed, and 26 categories of radiographic abnormalities were found. Forty-three horses (5.1%, 43/850) did not start a race at 2-3 years of age. In accordance with the racing results for this age category, as determined by Fisher's exact test and multiple logistic regression analysis, none of the radiographic abnormalities were significantly related to failure to start a race. At 2 years of age, 198 horses (23.3%, 198/850) did not start a race. Horses with enlargement of the proximal sesamoid bones in the fore (9 of 19 horses) and hind limbs (5 of 9 horses) did not start a race at the age of 2 years, and fewer of these horses (fore, P=0.021; hind, P=0.030) started a race at the age of 2 years compared with the population of horses without these radiographic abnormalities. These results suggest that identification of radiographic enlargement of the proximal sesamoid bones during training sales could derail the racing debut of horses at the age of 2 years. However, this might not necessarily indicate a poor prognosis and resulting in retirement from racing at 2-3 years of age.Entities:
Keywords: Thoroughbred; prognosis; radiography; repository; sales
Year: 2016 PMID: 27330400 PMCID: PMC4914399 DOI: 10.1294/jes.27.67
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Equine Sci ISSN: 1340-3516
Prevalence of radiographic abnormalities in the carpus of “Starters” and “Failure to start a race”; 2–3 years of age (638)
| Radiographic abnormalities | Category | Starters (605) | Failure to start a race (33) | Odds ratio | 95% confidence | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numbers | Prevalence | Numbers | Prevalence | |||||
| Dorsal medial intercarpal lesions | Present | 12 | 85.7 | 2 | 14.3 | 3.2 | 0.7–14.9 | 0.16 |
| Absent | 593 | 95.0 | 31 | 5.0 | ||||
| Fragments | Present | 7 | 100 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | 1.0 |
| Absent | 598 | 94.8 | 33 | 5.2 | ||||
| Osteophytes | Present | 32 | 91.4 | 3 | 8.6 | 1.8 | 0.5–6.2 | 0.41 |
| Absent | 573 | 95.0 | 30 | 5.0 | ||||
| Circular lucencies at the carpal bone | Present | 8 | 100 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | 1.0 |
| Absent | 597 | 94.8 | 33 | 5.2 | ||||
| Fracture of the accessory carpal bone | Present | 1 | 50.0 | 1 | 50.0 | 18.9 | 1.2–308.7 | 0.10 |
| Absent | 604 | 95.0 | 32 | 5.0 | ||||
All P values are for Fisher’s exact test. NA: not applicable.
Prevalence of radiographic abnormalities in the carpus of “Starters” and “Failure to start a race”; 2 years of age (638)
| Radiographic abnormalities | Category | Starters (490) | Failure to start a race (148) | Odds ratio | 95% confidence | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numbers | Prevalence | Numbers | Prevalence | |||||
| Dorsal medial intercarpal lesions | Present | 11 | 78.6 | 3 | 21.4 | 0.9 | 0.3–4.0 | 1.0 |
| Absent | 479 | 76.8 | 145 | 23.2 | ||||
| Fragments | Present | 7 | 100 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | 0.36 |
| Absent | 483 | 76.55 | 148 | 23.45 | ||||
| Osteophytes | Present | 25 | 71.4 | 10 | 28.6 | 1.3 | 0.6–2.9 | 0.41 |
| Absent | 465 | 77.1 | 138 | 22.9 | ||||
| Circular lucencies at the carpal bone | Present | 8 | 100 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | 0.21 |
| Absent | 482 | 76.5 | 148 | 23.5 | ||||
| Fracture of the accessory carpal bone | Present | 1 | 50 | 1 | 50 | 3.3 | 0.2–53.5 | 0.41 |
| Absent | 489 | 76.9 | 147 | 23.1 | ||||
All P values are for Fisher’s exact test. NA: not applicable.
Prevalence of radiographic abnormalities in the fore fetlocks of “Starters” and “Failure to start a race”; 2–3 years of age (691)
| Radiographic abnormalities | Category | Starters (660) | Failure to start a race (31) | Odds ratio | 95% confidence | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numbers | Prevalence | Numbers | Prevalence | |||||
| Proximal dorsal fragments at the P1 | Present | 21 | 100 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | 0.62 |
| Absent | 639 | 95.4 | 31 | 4.5 | ||||
| Proximal palmar fragments at the P1 | Present | 3 | 100 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | 1.0 |
| Absent | 657 | 95.5 | 31 | 4.5 | ||||
| SCLs at the distal MC3 or proximal P1 | Present | 3 | 100 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | 1.0 |
| Absent | 657 | 95.5 | 31 | 0 | ||||
| Fragments at the dorsal aspect of the distal MC3 | Present | 11 | 100 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | 1.0 |
| Absent | 649 | 95.4 | 31 | 4.6 | ||||
| Irregular lucencies at the dorsal aspect of the distal MC3 | Present | 2 | 100 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | 1.0 |
| Absent | 658 | 95.5 | 31 | 4.5 | ||||
| Osteophytes at proximal dorsal aspect of MC3 | Present | 25 | 100 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | 0.62 |
| Absent | 635 | 95.4 | 31 | 4.6 | ||||
| Enthesophyte in palmar surface of P1 | Present | 17 | 100 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | 1.0 |
| Absent | 643 | 95.4 | 31 | 4.6 | ||||
| Enlargement of sesamoid | Present | 18 | 94.7 | 1 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 0.2–9.2 | 0.52 |
| Absent | 642 | 95.5 | 30 | 4.5 | ||||
| Fracture of sesamoid | Present | 2 | 66.6 | 1 | 33.3 | 11.0 | 1.0–124.3 | 0.13 |
| Absent | 658 | 95.6 | 30 | 4.4 | ||||
| Modelling in sesamoid | Present | 36 | 97.3 | 1 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.1–4.4 | 1.0 |
| Absent | 624 | 95.4 | 30 | 4.6 | ||||
All P values are for Fisher’s exact test. NA: not applicable.
Prevalence of radiographic abnormalities in the fore fetlocks of “Starters” and “Failure to start a race”; 2 years of age (691)
| Radiographic abnormalities | Category | Starters (533) | Failure to start a race (158) | Odds ratio | 95% confidence | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numbers | Prevalence | Numbers | Prevalence | |||||
| Proximal dorsal fragments at the P1 | Present | 16 | 76.2 | 5 | 23.8 | 1.1 | 0.4–2.9 | 1.0 |
| Absent | 517 | 77.2 | 153 | 22.8 | ||||
| Proximal palmar fragments at the P1 | Present | 2 | 66.7 | 1 | 33.3 | 1.7 | 0.2–18.8 | 0.54 |
| Absent | 531 | 77.2 | 157 | 22.8 | ||||
| SCLs at the distal MC3 or proximal P1 | Present | 3 | 100 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | 1.0 |
| Absent | 530 | 77.0 | 158 | 23.0 | ||||
| Fragments at the dorsal aspect of the distal MC3 | Present | 7 | 63.6 | 4 | 36.4 | 2.0 | 0.7–6.8 | 0.28 |
| Absent | 526 | 77.35 | 154 | 22.65 | ||||
| Irregular lucencies at the dorsal aspect of the distal MC3 | Present | 2 | 100 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | 1.0 |
| Absent | 531 | 77.07 | 158 | 22.93 | ||||
| Osteophytes at proximal dorsal aspect of MC3 | Present | 23 | 92.0 | 2 | 8.0 | 0.3 | 0.1–1.2 | 0.088 |
| Absent | 510 | 76.58 | 156 | 23.42 | ||||
| Enthesophyte in palmar surface of P1 | Present | 11 | 64.71 | 6 | 35.29 | 1.9 | 0.7–5.1 | 0.24 |
| Absent | 522 | 77.45 | 152 | 22.55 | ||||
| Enlargement of sesamoid | Present | 10 | 52.63 | 9 | 47.37 | 3.2 | 1.3–7.9 | 0.021 |
| Absent | 523 | 77.83 | 149 | 22.17 | ||||
| Fracture of sesamoid | Present | 2 | 66.67 | 1 | 33.33 | 1.7 | 0.2–18.8 | 0.54 |
| Absent | 531 | 77.18 | 157 | 22.82 | ||||
| Modelling in sesamoid | Present | 24 | 64.86 | 13 | 35.14 | 1.9 | 0.9–3.8 | 0.072 |
| Absent | 509 | 77.83 | 145 | 22.17 | ||||
All P values are for Fisher’s exact test. NA: not applicable.
Prevalence of radiographic abnormalities in the hind fetlock of “Starters” and “Failure to start a race”; 2–3 years of age (660)
| Radiographic abnormalities | Category | Starters (633) | Failure to start a race (27) | Odds ratio | 95% confidence | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numbers | Prevalence | Numbers | Prevalence | |||||
| Proximal dorsal fragments at the P1 | Present | 17 | 94.4 | 1 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 0.2–10.9 | 0.53 |
| Absent | 616 | 95.95 | 26 | 4.05 | ||||
| Proximal palmar fragments at the P1 | Present | 37 | 92.5 | 3 | 11.1 | 2.0 | 0.6–7.0 | 0.22 |
| Absent | 596 | 96.1 | 24 | 3.9 | ||||
| SCLs at the distal MT3 or proximal P1 | Present | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA |
| Absent | 633 | 95.9 | 27 | 4.1 | ||||
| Fragments at the dorsal aspect of the distal MT3 | Present | 4 | 100 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | 1.0 |
| Absent | 629 | 95.9 | 27 | 4.1 | ||||
| Irregular lucencies at the dorsal aspect of the distal MT3 | Present | 3 | 75.0 | 1 | 25.0 | 8.1 | 0.8–80.3 | 0.15 |
| Absent | 630 | 96.0 | 26 | 4.0 | ||||
| Enthesophytes in palmar surface of P1 | Present | 15 | 93.75 | 1 | 6.25 | 1.6 | 0.2–12.5 | 0.49 |
| Absent | 618 | 96.0 | 26 | 4.0 | ||||
| Enlargement of sesamoid | Present | 9 | 100 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | 1.0 |
| Absent | 624 | 95.85 | 27 | 4.15 | ||||
| Fracture of sesamoid | Present | 8 | 100 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | 1.0 |
| Absent | 625 | 95.86 | 27 | 4.14 | ||||
| Modelling in sesamoid | Present | 20 | 90.9 | 2 | 9.1 | 2.5 | 0.5–11.1 | 0.23 |
| Absent | 613 | 96.1 | 25 | 3.9 | ||||
All P values are for Fisher’s exact test. NA: not applicable.
Prevalence of radiographic abnormalities in the hind fetlock of “Starters” and “Failure to start a race”; 2 years of age (660)
| Radiographic abnormalities | Category | Starters (513) | Failure to start a race (147) | Odds ratio | 95% confidence | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numbers | Prevalence | Numbers | Prevalence | |||||
| Proximal dorsal fragments at the P1 | Present | 15 | 83.3 | 3 | 16.7 | 0.7 | 0.2–2.4 | 0.78 |
| Absent | 498 | 77.6 | 144 | 22.4 | ||||
| Proximal palmar fragments at the P1 | Present | 29 | 72.5 | 11 | 27.5 | 1.3 | 0.7–2.8 | 0.43 |
| Absent | 484 | 78.1 | 136 | 21.9 | ||||
| SCLs at the distal MT3 or proximal P1 | Present | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA |
| Absent | 513 | 77.7 | 147 | 22.3 | ||||
| Fragments at the dorsal aspect of the distal MT3 | Present | 4 | 100 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | 0.58 |
| Absent | 509 | 77.6 | 147 | 22.4 | ||||
| Irregular lucencies at the dorsal aspect of the distal MT3 | Present | 2 | 50.0 | 2 | 50.0 | 3.5 | 0.5–25.2 | 0.22 |
| Absent | 511 | 77.9 | 145 | 22.1 | ||||
| Enthesophytes in palmar surface of P1 | Present | 11 | 68.75 | 5 | 31.25 | 1.6 | 0.5–4.7 | 0.37 |
| Absent | 502 | 77.95 | 142 | 22.05 | ||||
| Enlargement of sesamoid | Present | 4 | 44.4 | 5 | 55.6 | 4.5 | 1.2–16.9 | 0.030 |
| Absent | 509 | 78.2 | 142 | 21.8 | ||||
| Fracture of sesamoid | Present | 4 | 50.0 | 4 | 50.0 | 3.6 | 0.9–14.4 | 0.078 |
| Absent | 509 | 78.1 | 143 | 21.9 | ||||
| Modelling in sesamoid | Present | 18 | 81.8 | 4 | 18.2 | 0.8 | 0.3–2.3 | 0.80 |
| Absent | 495 | 77.6 | 143 | 22.4 | ||||
All P values are for Fisher’s exact test. NA: not applicable.
Fig. 1.Enlargement of the proximal sesamoid bones (white arrow) was observed in the dorsal 30° proximal-palmar distal oblique view of the metacarpophalangeal joint. Enlargement of the proximal sesamoid bones was defined as proximal, distal, or abaxial enlargement of the proximal sesamoid bones. This radiograph is of the right forelimb; the medial sesamoid shows distal enlargement compared with the lateral sesamoid.