| Literature DB >> 27324204 |
Meng Li1, Weiming Tang2, Kai Bu1, Tanmay Mahapatra3, Xiayan Zhang1, Yibing Feng1, Fangfang Chen1, Wei Guo1, Liyan Wang1, Zhengwei Ding1, Qianqian Qin1, Shiliang Liu1, Joseph D Tucker2, Lu Wang1, Ning Wang1.
Abstract
To assess the patterns and predictors of AIDS-related mortality and identify its correlates among adult people living with HIV/AIDS (PLWHA) in China, a retrospective record-based cohort study was conducted among 18 years or older PLWHA, who had at least one follow up reported to the national database between January-1989 and June-2012. Cumulative Incidence Function was used to calculate AIDS-related mortality rate. Gray's test was used to determine the variation in cumulative incidence across strata. The Fine and Gray model was used to measure the burden of cumulative incidence of AIDS-related mortality and strength of its association with potential correlates. Among 375,629 patients, 107,634 died during study period, of which 54,759 (50.87%) deaths were AIDS-related. Cumulative mortality rates of AIDS-related death at one, two, five, 10 and 15 years post-diagnosis were 5.7%, 8.2%, 14.3%, 22.9% and 30.9%, respectively. Among PLWHA, male gender, ethnic minority and having AIDS were associated with significantly higher mortality. Further, homosexual transmission, being on ART and increasing CD4-testing frequency were associated with lower mortality. To reduce mortality among PLWHA, efficient interventions targeting males, ethnic minority, heterosexually infected and AIDS patients should be combined with immunologic monitoring, enhancement of coverage of HIV-testing and ART.Entities:
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Year: 2016 PMID: 27324204 PMCID: PMC4914945 DOI: 10.1038/srep28005
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Figure 1Flow chart of the recruitment among HIV-infected individuals in China 1989–2013 (N = 375,629).
Demographic characteristics, possible transmission routes and treatment status of the HIV/AIDS patients in China, 1.1.1989–06.30.2013 (N = 375,629).
| Variables | Number of patients | Percentage (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | Male | 261865 | 69.71 |
| Female | 113764 | 30.29 | |
| Age | 18- | 112863 | 30.05 |
| 30- | 129606 | 34.50 | |
| 40- | 69453 | 18.49 | |
| 50- | 33685 | 8.97 | |
| 60- | 30022 | 7.99 | |
| Marital Status | Married | 203353 | 54.14 |
| Never married | 92033 | 24.50 | |
| Widowed or divorced | 69985 | 18.63 | |
| Unknown | 10258 | 2.73 | |
| Nationality | Han | 276910 | 73.72 |
| Uygur/Zhuang/Yi/Dai | 69649 | 18.54 | |
| Others | 23773 | 6.33 | |
| Unknown | 5297 | 1.41 | |
| Occupation | Farmer | 184742 | 49.18 |
| Housekeeping, housework and unemployed | 64471 | 17.16 | |
| Worker | 21306 | 5.67 | |
| Business | 15817 | 4.21 | |
| Migrant workers | 11013 | 2.93 | |
| Government staff | 9636 | 2.57 | |
| Retired | 8291 | 2.21 | |
| Others or unknown | 60353 | 16.07 | |
| Education | Illiteracy | 33533 | 8.93 |
| Elementary | 118204 | 31.47 | |
| Junior high school | 149217 | 39.72 | |
| Senior high school | 42099 | 11.21 | |
| College or above | 25389 | 6.76 | |
| Unknown | 7187 | 1.91 | |
| Disease status when identified | HIV | 190135 | 50.62 |
| AIDS | 185494 | 49.38 | |
| Possible transmission route | Heterosexual | 189766 | 50.52 |
| IDU | 83972 | 22.36 | |
| Blood sell | 39354 | 10.48 | |
| Homosexual | 32958 | 8.77 | |
| Blood transfusion | 11244 | 2.99 | |
| Sexual + IDU | 4662 | 1.24 | |
| Others or unknown | 13673 | 3.64 | |
| Treatment | No | 196119 | 52.21 |
| Yes | 179510 | 47.79 | |
Figure 2AIDS-related mortality rates among HIV-infected individuals in China 1989–2013 (N = 375,629).
(A) the overall AIDS-related mortality rate; (B) the AIDS-related mortality rates for patients who received and did not receive ART; (C) the AIDS-related mortality rates for male and female; (D) the AIDS-related mortality rates of patients infected through different transmission routes.
Estimated Cumulative Incidence Functions of the mortality of AIDS-related Death for Chinese HIV/AIDS patients, 1.1.1989–06.30.2013 (N = 375,629).
| Years Since Diagnosis | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | |||
| Variables | mortality rate (95% | mortality rate (95% | mortality rate (95% | mortality rate (95% | mortality rate (95% | ||
| Overall | 5.73 (5.65–5.80) | 8.16 (8.07–8.26) | 14.26 (14.12–14.40) | 22.93 (22.40–23.48) | 30.88 (28.93–32.84) | ||
| Treatment status | Not treated | 9.09 (8.95–9.23) | 12.37 (12.21–12.54) | 20.10 (19.85–20.35) | 29.60 (28.66–30.54) | 36.10 (34.18–38.02) | <0.001 |
| Treated | 2.48 (2.41–2.55) | 4.20 (4.11–4.30) | 9.25 (9.08–9.42) | 18.25 (17.60–18.90) | 24.74 (21.95–27.63) | ||
| Gender | Male | 6.02 (5.93–6.12) | 8.63 (8.52–8.75) | 15.19 (15.01–15.37) | 24.19 (23.55–24.85) | 32.17 (29.91–34.46) | <0.001 |
| Female | 4.95 (4.82–5.09) | 7.04 (6.88–7.20) | 12.31 (12.01–12.55) | 20.89 (19.84–21.96) | 28.79 (24.98–32.70) | ||
Figure 3Mortality Rate of Chinese HIV/AIDS patients, 1989–2013 (N = 375,629)
Figure 4Mortality Rate of Chinese HIV/AIDS patients who were infected through homosexual contact or through other routes, 1989–2013 (N = 375,629).
Fine and Gray model (hazard of the sub-distribution model) for AIDS-related Death.
| Variables | AIDS-related Death | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Crude HR (95%CI) | Adjusted HR (95%CI) | ||
| Nationality | Han | Ref | |
| Uygur/Zhuang/Yi/Dai | 1.21 (1.18–1.25) | 1.21 (1.17–1.25) | |
| Others | 1.19 (1.14–1.24) | 1.20 (1.14–1.25) | |
| Disease status© | HIV | Ref | |
| AIDS | 2.53 (2.47–2.60) | 7.42 (7.21–7.64) | |
| Possible Transmission route | Heterosexual | Ref | |
| IDU | 1.08 (1.05–1.12) | 0.93 (0.90–0.96) | |
| Blood sell | 0.87 (0.84–0.90) | 0.87 (0.83–0.90) | |
| Homosexual | 0.33 (0.31–0.36) | 0.56 (0.52–0.62) | |
| Blood transfusion | 1.38 (1.31–1.45) | 1.29 (1.22–1.37) | |
| Sexual+IDU | 1.15 (1.04–1.26) | 0.91 (0.82–1.00) | |
| Others or unknown | 1.54 (1.46–1.62) | 1.17 (1.11–1.24) | |
| Treatment | No | Ref | |
| Yes | 0.37 (0.36–0.38) | 0.35 (0.34–0.36) | |
| Frequency of CD4 testing© | Ref | ||
| 0.21 (0.20–0.22) | 0.19 (0.17–0.20) | ||
| Year of diagnosis | 1989–2003 | Ref | |
| 2004–2007 | 0.96 (0.94–0.98) | 1.00 (0.95–1.04) | |
| 2008- | 1.02 (0.99–1.04) | 1.33 (1.26–1.40) | |
©Time -varying covariate. ©Frequency of CD4 testing was defined as: the cumulative number of CD4 testing at each year divided by two (every six months).
Fine and Gray model (hazard of the sub-distribution model) for Non-AIDS-related Death.
| Variables | Non-AIDS-related Death | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Crude HR (95%CI) | Adjusted HR (95%CI) | ||
| Nationality | Han | Ref | |
| Uygur/Zhuang/Yi/Dai | 1.26 (1.23–1.30) | 0.86 (0.84–0.89) | |
| Others | 1.13 (1.08–1.18) | 0.88 (0.84–0.92) | |
| Disease status© | HIV | Ref | |
| AIDS | 0.33 (0.32–0.34) | 1.17 (1.14–1.20) | |
| Possible Transmission route | Heterosexual | Ref | |
| IDU | 2.26 (2.19–2.32) | 1.29 (1.25–1.33) | |
| Blood sell | 0.24 (0.22–0.25) | 0.32 (0.30–0.35) | |
| Homosexual | 0.29 (0.27–0.32) | 0.52 (0.48–0.56) | |
| Blood transfusion | 0.58 (0.54–0.63) | 0.64 (0.58–0.71) | |
| Sexual+IDU | 1.22 (1.12–1.34) | 1.04 (0.94–1.14) | |
| Others or unknown | 1.95 (1.86–2.04) | 1.20 (1.14–1.27) | |
| Treatment | No | Ref | |
| Yes | 0.12 (0.11–0.12) | 0.29 (0.27–0.30) | |
| Frequency of CD4 testing© | Ref | ||
| 0.14 (0.13–0.16) | 0.20 (0.17–0.23) | ||
| Year of diagnosis | 1989–2003 | Ref | |
| 2004–2007 | 0.80 (0.78–0.82) | 1.02 (0.96–1.09) | |
| 2008- | 1.37 (1.33–1.40) | 1.59 (1.49–1.69) | |
©Time -varying covariate. ©Frequency of CD4 testing was defined as: the cumulative number of CD4 testing at each year divided by two (every six months).