| Literature DB >> 27287669 |
Yi Yang1, Jianfeng Xie1, Fengmei Guo1, Federico Longhini1,2, Zhiwei Gao1, Yingzi Huang1, Haibo Qiu3.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To measure the ability of a new bioscore to diagnose sepsis in a general critical care population.Entities:
Keywords: Bioscore; C-reactive protein; Interleukin-6; Procalcitonin; Sepsis
Year: 2016 PMID: 27287669 PMCID: PMC4901212 DOI: 10.1186/s13613-016-0153-5
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ann Intensive Care ISSN: 2110-5820 Impact factor: 6.925
Whole population characteristics and difference between septic and non-septic patients
| Characteristics | Total | Septic patients | Non-septic patients |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 64 ± 18 | 69 ± 15 | 61 ± 19 | <0.001 |
| Male sex, | 173 (58) | 74 (69) | 99 (51) | <0.001 |
| Body temperature, | 0.03 | |||
| <36 or >38 °C | 97 (32.3 %) | 43 (40.2) | 54 (28.0) | |
| 36–38 °C | 203 (67.7 %) | 64 (59.8) | 139 (72.0) | |
| APACHE II score | 17 ± 8 | 19 ± 7 | 16 ± 8 | 0.002 |
| SOFA score | 6.8 ± 3.5 | 8.2 ± 3.5 | 6.1 ± 3.2 | <0.001 |
| Admission department—no. (%) | ||||
| Emergency room | 86 (28.7) | 39 (36.4) | 47 (24.4) | 0.026 |
| Surgical wards | 164 (54.7) | 32 (29.9) | 132 (68.4) | <0.001 |
| Without surgical procedure | 5 (1.7) | 3 (2.8) | 2 (1.0) | 0.252 |
| With surgical procedure | 159 (53) | 29 (27.1) | 130 (67.3) | <0.001 |
| Medical wards | 50 (16.7) | 36 (33.6) | 14 (7.2) | <0.001 |
| Pathology of admission—no. (%) | ||||
| Acute pancreatitis | 2 (0.7) | 1 (0.9) | 1 (0.5) | 1.0 |
| Intracerebral hemorrhage | 32 (10.7) | 8 (7.5) | 24 (12.4) | 0.183 |
| Cardiac arrest | 8 (2.7) | 2 (1.9) | 6 (3.1) | 0.519 |
| Trauma | 17 (5.7) | 3 (2.8) | 15 (7.8) | <0.001 |
| Acute myocardial infarction | 10 (33.3) | 4 (3.7) | 6 (3.1) | 0.777 |
| High-risk surgery | 130 (43.3) | 0 | 130 (67.4) | |
| Cardiac surgery | 51 (17.0) | 0 | 51 (26.4) | |
| Non-cardiac surgery | 79 (26.3) | 0 | 79 (40.9) | |
| Sever sepsis | 79 (26.3) | 79 (73.8) | 0 | |
| Other | 22 (7.3) | 10 (9.3) | 12 (6.1) | 0.296 |
| CRP | 37.25 (8.79–87.13) | 63.8 (32.3–114) | 21.8 (5.20–60.55) | <0.001 |
| PCT | 0.66 (0.16–3.13) | 1.79 (0.57–8.95) | 0.38 (0.11–1.54) | <0.001 |
| IL-6 | 125.2 (52.5–463.3) | 124.8 (43.9–418.3) | 125.6 (54.5–479.9) | 0.97 |
| Length of ICU stay—no. of days | 5 [2–10] | 8 [4–14] | 3 [1–8] | <0.001 |
| Length of hospital stay—no. of days | 19 [10–28] | 23 [13–32] | 18 [9–26] | 0.005 |
| 28-day mortality—no. (%) | 75 (25) | 32 (30) | 43 (22) | 0.144 |
Fig. 1Diagnostic values for sepsis of clinical variables estimated by receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis. a Area under the curve (AUC) for a null hypothesis was 0.5. AUC for C-reactive protein (CRP) was 0.729 (95 % CI 0.675–0.779, P < 0.001), procalcitonin (PCT) 0.737 (95 % CI 0.683–0.786, P < 0.001), interleukin-6 (IL-6) 0.511 (95 % CI 0.452–0.570, P = 0.760), white blood cells (WBC) 0.472 (95 % CI 0.400–0.545, P = 0.426), body temperature 0.468 (95 % CI 0.398–0.539, P = 0.362) and sepsis-related organ failure assessment (SOFA) 0.671 (95 % CI 0.615–0.714, P < 0.001). b For calculated score: Area under the curve (AUC) for a null hypothesis was 0.5. AUC for calculated score was 0.790 (95 % CI 0.739–0.834, P < 0.001)
Diagnostic value of each parameter in sepsis
| Variables | AUC |
| Sensitivity | Specificity | +LR | −LR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All patients | ||||||
| SOFA | 0.671 | <0.001 | 66.4 | 61.7 | 1.73 | 0.55 |
| CRP | 0.729 | <0.001 | 90.7 | 49.7 | 1.80 | 0.19 |
| PCT | 0.737 | <0.001 | 82.9 | 53.9 | 1.80 | 0.32 |
| IL-6 | 0.511 | 0.760 | 28.2 | 78.7 | 1.32 | 0.91 |
| Score | 0.790 | <0.001 | 78.5 | 70.0 | 2.61 | 0.31 |
| Surgical patients | ||||||
| SOFA | 0.587 | 0.150 | 51.7 | 62.6 | 1.38 | 0.77 |
| CRP | 0.697 | <0.001 | 89.7 | 45.0 | 1.63 | 0.23 |
| PCT | 0.698 | <0.001 | 65.5 | 71.0 | 2.26 | 0.49 |
| IL-6 | 0.522 | 0.713 | 75.9 | 36.4 | 1.19 | 0.66 |
| Score | 0.745 | <0.001 | 82.8 | 63.4 | 2.26 | 0.27 |
| Non-surgical patients | ||||||
| SOFA | 0.684 | <0.001 | 71.8 | 59.7 | 1.78 | 0.47 |
| CRP | 0.762 | <0.001 | 91.0 | 59.7 | 2.26 | 0.15 |
| PCT | 0.810 | <0.001 | 75.0 | 77.4 | 3.32 | 0.32 |
| IL-6 | 0.503 | 0.953 | 68.1 | 43.3 | 1.20 | 0.74 |
| Score | 0.836 | <0.001 | 78.2 | 77.4 | 3.46 | 0.28 |
| Newly hospitalized patients | ||||||
| SOFA | 0.781 | <0.001 | 84.6 | 66.0 | 2.49 | 0.23 |
| CRP | 0.805 | <0.001 | 89.7 | 66.0 | 2.64 | 0.16 |
| PCT | 0.868 | <0.001 | 84.6 | 80.9 | 4.42 | 0.19 |
| IL-6 | 0.601 | 0.101 | 82.1 | 44.7 | 1.48 | 0.40 |
| Score | 0.896 | <0.001 | 84.6 | 83.0 | 4.97 | 0.19 |
Univariate and multivariate associations of PCT, CRP, SOFA score with sepsis
| Marker | Univariate | Multivariate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95 % CI) |
| OR (95 % CI) |
| |
| Agea | 3.171 (1.833, 5.485) | <0.001 | 2.662 (1.382, 5.127) | 0.003 |
| Gendera | 0.470 (0.285, 0.773) | 0.003 | 0.377 (0.203, 0.701) | 0.002 |
| WBC | 0.871 (0.540, 1.405) | 0.571 | 0.704 (0.378, 1.311) | 0.268 |
| PCT | ||||
| 0 | 1.0 (Reference) | 1.0 (Reference) | ||
| 1a | 4.169 (2.158, 8.055) | <0.001 | 3.485 (1.561, 7.780) | 0.008 |
| 2 | 4.345 (2.155, 8.761) | <0.001 | 3.550 (1.467, 8.593) | 0.074 |
| 3a | 8.369 (3.815, 18.359) | <0.001 | 6.501 (2.326, 18.173) | 0.001 |
| CRP | ||||
| 0 | 1.0 (Reference) | 1.0 (Reference) | ||
| 1 | 3.191 (1.453, 7.011) | 0.004 | 2.491 (0.958, 6.477) | 0.061 |
| 2a | 7.700 (3.138, 18.894) | <0.001 | 6.795 (2.188, 21.096) | 0.001 |
| 3a | 8.800 (3.964, 19.537) | <0.001 | 6.593 (2.395, 18.125) | <0.001 |
| SOFA | 1.204 (1.117, 1.297) | <0.001 | 2.314 (1.260, 14.251) | 0.007 |
| IL-6 | ||||
| 0 | 1.0 (Reference) | 1.0 (Reference) | ||
| 1 | 1.691 (0.586, 4.877) | 0.331 | 1.380 (0.343, 5.559) | 0.651 |
| 2 | 1.364 (0.468, 3.976) | 0.569 | 0.639 (0.152, 2.678) | 0.540 |
| 3 | 1.524 (0.526, 4.415) | 0.438 | 0. 576 (0.146, 2.278) | 0.432 |
| 4 | 1.227 (0.425, 3.542) | 0.706 | 0. 422 (0.106, 1.681) | 0.221 |
aCox and Snell R 2 was 0.282, and Nagelkerke R 2 was 0.389
Fig. 2Diagnostic values for sepsis patients estimated by receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis. a For clinical variables in non-surgically treated patients: Area under the curve (AUC) for a null hypothesis was 0.5. AUC for C-reactive protein (CRP) was 0.697 (95 % CI 0.620–0.767, P < 0.001), procalcitonin (PCT) 0.698 (95 % CI 0.620–0.768, P < 0.001), interleukin-6 (IL-6) 0.522 (95 % CI 0.441–0.602, P = 0.713), white blood cells (WBC) 0.525 (95 % CI 0.445–0.604, P = 0.676), body temperature 0.511 (95 % CI 0.431–0.591, P = 0.851) and sepsis-related organ failure assessment (SOFA) 0.587 (95 % CI 0.507–0.664, P < 0.001). b For calculated score in non-surgically treated patients: Area under the curve (AUC) for a null hypothesis was 0.5. AUC for calculated score was 0.745 (95 % CI 0.670–0.810, P < 0.001). c For clinical variables in non-surgically treated patients: Area under the curve (AUC) for a null hypothesis was 0.5. AUC for C-reactive protein (CRP) was 0.762 (95 % CI 0.683–0.830, P < 0.001), procalcitonin (PCT) 0.810 (95 % CI 0.734–0.871, P < 0.001), interleukin-6 (IL-6) 0.503 (95 % CI 0.415–0.591, P = 0.953), white blood cells (WBC) 0.486 (95 % CI 0.390–0.582, P = 0.775), body temperature 0.478 (95 % CI 0.382–0.575, P = 0.659) and sepsis-related organ failure assessment (SOFA) 0.684 (95 % CI 0.600–0.769, P < 0.001). d For calculated score in non-surgically treated patients: Area under the curve (AUC) for a null hypothesis was 0.5. AUC for calculated score was 0.836 (95 % CI 0.764–0.893, P < 0.001). e For clinical variables in newly hospitalized sepsis patients: Area under the curve (AUC) for a null hypothesis was 0.5. AUC for C-reactive protein (CRP) was 0.805 (95 % CI 0.705–0.882, P < 0.001), procalcitonin (PCT) 0.868 (95 % CI 0.778, 0.931, P < 0.001), interleukin-6 (IL-6) 0.601 (95 % CI 0.490–0.705, P = 0.102), white blood cells (WBC) 0.482 (95 % CI 0.354–0.610, P = 0.774), body temperature 0.505 (95 % CI 0.378–0.632, P = 0.940) and sepsis-related organ failure assessment (SOFA) 0.781 (95 % CI 0.679–0.863, P < 0.001). f For calculated score in newly hospitalized sepsis patients: Area under the curve (AUC) for a null hypothesis was 0.5. AUC for calculated score was 0.896 (95 % CI 0.812–0.952, P < 0.001)
Univariate and multivariate analysis of 28-day mortality
| Marker | Univariate | Multivariate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95 % CI) |
| OR (95 % CI) |
| |
| Agea | 1.017 (1.001, 1.033) | 0.038 | 1.022 (1.003, 1.041) | 0.024 |
| Gender | 0.670 (0.389, 1.156) | 0.150 | 0.805 (0.437, 1.485) | 0.488 |
| PCT (ng/mL) | 0.999 (0.996, 1.003) | 0.671 | 0.997 (0.982, 1.013) | 0.720 |
| CRP (mg/L) | 1.001 (0.997, 1.005) | 0.606 | 0.999(0.994, 1.004) | 0.718 |
| SOFAa | 1.261 (1.160, 1.371) | <0.001 | 1.263 (1.148, 1.389) | <0.001 |
| IL-6 | 1.010 (1.001, 1.017) | 0.045 | 1.000 (1.000, 1.001) | 0.128 |
| WBC | 1.007 (0.997, 1.018) | 0.179 | 1.005 (0.994, 1.004) | 0.392 |
| Body temperature | 1.214 (1.002, 1.471) | 0.048 | 1.100 (0.876, 1.381) | 0.413 |
aCox and Snell R 2 was 0.144, and Nagelkerke R 2 was 0.215