| Literature DB >> 27185416 |
Eva Wollenberg1,2, Meryl Richards1,2, Pete Smith3,4, Petr Havlík5, Michael Obersteiner5, Francesco N Tubiello6, Martin Herold7, Pierre Gerber6,7, Sarah Carter7, Andrew Reisinger8, Detlef P van Vuuren9, Amy Dickie10, Henry Neufeldt11, Björn O Sander12, Reiner Wassmann12, Rolf Sommer13, James E Amonette14, Alessandra Falcucci6, Mario Herrero15, Carolyn Opio6, Rosa Maria Roman-Cuesta7,16, Elke Stehfest9, Henk Westhoek9, Ivan Ortiz-Monasterio17, Tek Sapkota17, Mariana C Rufino16, Philip K Thornton1,18, Louis Verchot16, Paul C West19, Jean-François Soussana20, Tobias Baedeker21, Marc Sadler21, Sonja Vermeulen1,22, Bruce M Campbell1,13.
Abstract
More than 100 countries pledged to reduce agricultural greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the 2015 Paris Agreement of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Yet technical information about how much mitigation is needed in the sector vs. how much is feasible remains poor. We identify a preliminary global target for reducing emissions from agriculture of ~1 GtCO2 e yr-1 by 2030 to limit warming in 2100 to 2 °C above pre-industrial levels. Yet plausible agricultural development pathways with mitigation cobenefits deliver only 21-40% of needed mitigation. The target indicates that more transformative technical and policy options will be needed, such as methane inhibitors and finance for new practices. A more comprehensive target for the 2 °C limit should be developed to include soil carbon and agriculture-related mitigation options. Excluding agricultural emissions from mitigation targets and plans will increase the cost of mitigation in other sectors or reduce the feasibility of meeting the 2 °C limit.Entities:
Keywords: United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change; agriculture; climate change; integrated assessment modeling; mitigation; policy; target
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Year: 2016 PMID： 27185416 DOI： 10.1111/gcb.13340
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Glob Chang Biol ISSN： 1354-1013 Impact factor: 10.863