Michelle H Chua1, Christoph J Griessenauer1, Ajith J Thomas1, Christopher S Ogilvy2. 1. Neurosurgical Service, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Brain Aneurysm Institute, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA. 2. Neurosurgical Service, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Brain Aneurysm Institute, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA. Electronic address: cogilvy@bidmc.harvard.edu.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: Neurologic condition at presentation is the most important predictor of morbidity and mortality from aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). To guide management, it is important to identify patients who are at risk of presenting in poor neurologic condition after aSAH. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed medical records and imaging studies for 387 consecutive cases of aSAH that were managed at a major academic neurovascular center in the United States from January 2008 to December 2013. Clinically accessible patient and aneurysm characteristics were evaluated by univariable analysis and multivariable logistic regression to identify predictors of poor neurologic status at presentation. RESULTS: For all aneurysms, multivariable logistic regression identified age (odds ratio [OR], 1.02; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.00-1.04; P = 0.0129), aneurysm size (≥7 and <10 mm: OR, 1.78; 95% CI, 1.02-3.11; P = 0.0429; ≥10 mm: OR, 3.22; 95% CI, 1.82-5.70; P < 0.0001), and vertebrobasilar junction location (OR, 10.1; 95% CI, 1.93-52.5; P = 0.0060) as independent predictors of poor neurologic condition at presentation. For internal carotid artery (ICA) aneurysms, female gender (OR, 9.21; 95% CI, 1.54-55.1; P = 0.0151), hypertension (OR, 8.67; 95% CI, 1.80-41.7; P = 0.007), and size ≥7 mm (OR, 3.67; 95% CI, 0.852-15.8; P = 0.0807) were predictive of poor neurologic condition at presentation, with a C statistic of 0.842. No association was found between poor neurologic grade at presentation and smoking status or warfarin therapy. CONCLUSIONS: Independent predictors of poor neurologic grade were identified for all, ICA, anterior cerebral artery/anterior communicating artery, middle cerebral artery, and posterior circulation aneurysms. A risk prediction chart was constructed using clinically accessible patient and aneurysm characteristics for poor presenting neurologic condition after ICA aneurysm rupture. These factors should be considered when counseling patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms.
OBJECTIVE:Neurologic condition at presentation is the most important predictor of morbidity and mortality from aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). To guide management, it is important to identify patients who are at risk of presenting in poor neurologic condition after aSAH. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed medical records and imaging studies for 387 consecutive cases of aSAH that were managed at a major academic neurovascular center in the United States from January 2008 to December 2013. Clinically accessible patient and aneurysm characteristics were evaluated by univariable analysis and multivariable logistic regression to identify predictors of poor neurologic status at presentation. RESULTS: For all aneurysms, multivariable logistic regression identified age (odds ratio [OR], 1.02; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.00-1.04; P = 0.0129), aneurysm size (≥7 and <10 mm: OR, 1.78; 95% CI, 1.02-3.11; P = 0.0429; ≥10 mm: OR, 3.22; 95% CI, 1.82-5.70; P < 0.0001), and vertebrobasilar junction location (OR, 10.1; 95% CI, 1.93-52.5; P = 0.0060) as independent predictors of poor neurologic condition at presentation. For internal carotid artery (ICA) aneurysms, female gender (OR, 9.21; 95% CI, 1.54-55.1; P = 0.0151), hypertension (OR, 8.67; 95% CI, 1.80-41.7; P = 0.007), and size ≥7 mm (OR, 3.67; 95% CI, 0.852-15.8; P = 0.0807) were predictive of poor neurologic condition at presentation, with a C statistic of 0.842. No association was found between poor neurologic grade at presentation and smoking status or warfarin therapy. CONCLUSIONS: Independent predictors of poor neurologic grade were identified for all, ICA, anterior cerebral artery/anterior communicating artery, middle cerebral artery, and posterior circulation aneurysms. A risk prediction chart was constructed using clinically accessible patient and aneurysm characteristics for poor presenting neurologic condition after ICA aneurysm rupture. These factors should be considered when counseling patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms.