| Literature DB >> 27089550 |
Deborah L Hastings, Jerome I Tokars, Inas Zakaria A M Abdel Aziz, Khulud Z Alkhaldi, Areej T Bensadek, Basem M Alraddadi, Hani Jokhdar, John A Jernigan, Mohammed A Garout, Sara M Tomczyk, Ikwo K Oboho, Andrew I Geller, Nimalan Arinaminpathy, David L Swerdlow, Tariq A Madani.
Abstract
During March-May 2014, a Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) outbreak occurred in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, that included many persons who worked or received medical treatment at King Fahd General Hospital. We investigated 78 persons who had laboratory-confirmed MERS during March 2-May 10 and documented contact at this hospital. The 78 persons with MERS comprised 53 patients, 16 healthcare workers, and 9 visitors. Among the 53 patients, the most probable sites of acquisition were the emergency department (22 patients), inpatient areas (17), dialysis unit (11), and outpatient areas (3). Infection control deficiencies included limited separation of suspected MERS patients, patient crowding, and inconsistent use of infection control precautions; aggressive improvements in these deficiencies preceded a decline in cases. MERS coronavirus transmission probably was multifocal, occurring in multiple hospital settings. Continued vigilance and strict application of infection control precautions are necessary to prevent future MERS outbreaks.Entities:
Keywords: MERS-CoV; Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus; Saudi Arabia; coronavirus infections; infection control; nosocomial; outbreak; transmission; vector-borne infections; viruses
Mesh:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27089550 PMCID: PMC4861521 DOI: 10.3201/eid2205.151797
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Emerg Infect Dis ISSN: 1080-6040 Impact factor: 6.883
Probability of Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome coronavirus incubation periods, King Fahd General Hospital, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, March 2–May 10, 2014*
| Incubation period, d | Day probability | Cumulative probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.0010 | 0.0010 |
| 2 | 0.0349 | 0.0359 |
| 3 | 0.1141 | 0.1500 |
| 4 | 0.1605 | 0.3105 |
| 5 | 0.1600 | 0.4705 |
| 6 | 0.1358 | 0.6063 |
| 7 | 0.1060 | 0.7123 |
| 8 | 0.0792 | 0.7916 |
| 9 | 0.0578 | 0.8494 |
| 10 | 0.0417 | 0.8911 |
| 11 | 0.0299 | 0.9210 |
| 12 | 0.0215 | 0.9425 |
| 13 | 0.0154 | 0.9579 |
| 14 | 0.0111 | 0.9690 |
*Incubation periods of 1–14 days by using a log-normal distribution with mean 5.2 days and SD ±1.7 days.
Calculation of most probable setting of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus acquisition for a patient with onset date April 2, 2014, King Fahd General Hospital, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia*
| Date | Setting where treated | Incubation period, d | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24 | ED | 9† | 0.0578‡ |
| Mar 25 | ED | 8 | 0.0396§ |
| Mar 25 | Inpatient | 8 | 0.0396§ |
| Mar 26 | Dialysis | 7 | 0.0530 |
| Mar 26 | Inpatient | 7 | 0.0530 |
| Mar 27 | Inpatient | 6 | 0.1358 |
| Mar 28 | Dialysis | 5 | 0.0800 |
| Mar 29 | Inpatient | 5 | 0.0800 |
| Mar 29 | Dialysis | 4 | 0.0803 |
| Mar 29 | Inpatient | 4 | 0.0803 |
| Mar 30 | Inpatient | 3 | 0.1141 |
*Data are from patient 5 (Figure 1). The total probability is 0.50 for inpatient, 0.21 for the dialysis unit, and 0.10 for ED, so acquisition most probably occurred in the inpatient areas. ED, emergency department. †Represents the incubation period if date of disease acquisition was March 24 and disease onset was April 2. ‡Represents the probability of an incubation period of 9 days (Table 1). §Patient was treated in 2 settings on March 25, so probability is half of the probability for each setting.
Figure 1Location of cohort study patients in the 14 days before Middle East respiratory syndrome symptom onset, the day of onset, and 14 days after onset, King Fahd General Hospital, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, March 2–May 10, 2014. Green indicates the 2–14 days before symptom onset (susceptible period); red indicates the day of onset; gray indicates the 14 days after onset (infectious period). e, emergency department; i, inpatient area; b, emergency department and inpatient areas; * indicates dialysis unit.
MERS cases potentially acquired at KFGH, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, March 2–May 10, 2014*
| Category | No. (%) cases | Patient median age, y | No. % male patients |
|---|---|---|---|
| All KFGH-acquired cases | 78 (100.0) | 53 | 59 (75.6) |
| Acquisition category | |||
| Cohort study case-patient† | 50 (64.1) | 56 | 37 (74.0) |
| Healthcare worker at KFGH | 16 (20.5) | 47 | 12 (75.0) |
| Visited patient treated at KFGH | 9 (11.5) | 47 | 8 (88.9) |
| Outpatient appointment at KFGH | 3 (3.8) | 59 | 2 (66.7) |
*Cases were categorized as potentially KFGH-acquired for persons who had KFGH contact before MERS onset. KFGH, King Fahd General Hospital; MERS, Middle East respiratory syndrome. †Patients with MERS onset 2‒14 days after emergency department, inpatient, or dialysis treatment at KFGH. Includes 3 healthcare workers (1 who worked at KFGH and 2 at other hospitals) who were admitted to KFGH inpatient areas or emergency department 2‒14 days before MERS onset.
Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus infections among employees, King Fahd General Hospital, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, March 2–May 10, 2014
| Personnel category | No. employees | No. cases (incidence*), n = 16 |
|---|---|---|
| Physician | 958 | 10 (1.0) |
| Nurse | 1,260 | 2 (0.2) |
| Technician | 665 | 0 |
| Administrator | 515 | 1 (0.2) |
| Pharmacist | 21 | 0 |
| Maintenance or housekeeping | 1,295 | 1 (0.1) |
| Other or unknown | † | 2 |
*Per 100 employees. †Total number of King Fahd General Hospital personnel in this category is unknown.
Figure 2Middle East respiratory syndrome cases acquired at King Fahd General Hospital, date of symptom onset, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, March 2–May 10, 2014 .The 78 patients comprised 50 cohort study cases, 16 healthcare workers, 9 visitors, and 3 outpatients. ED, emergency department.
Retrospective cohort study of risk factors for Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus infection acquired at King Fahd General Hospital, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, March 2–May 10, 2014
| Population or variable | No. cases | No. patient-days | Rate* | Rate ratio | p value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emergency department, inpatient areas, dialysis unit† | 50 | 81,987 | 6.1 | ||
| Setting | |||||
| Emergency department | 22 | 34,897 | 6.3 | 1.2 | 0.64 |
| Inpatient areas | 17 | 26,186 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 0.60 |
| Dialysis unit | 11 | 20,904 | 5.3 | Referent | |
| Outbreak week: start date | |||||
| 1: March 2 | 1 | 8,609 | 1.2 | Referent | |
| 2: March 9 | 0 | 11,136 | 0.0 | Referent | |
| 3: March 16 | 2 | 11,437 | 1.7 | Referent | |
| 4: March 23 | 5 | 11,793 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 0.047 |
| 5: March 30 | 11 | 10,666 | 10.3 | 10.7 | <0.001 |
| 6: April 6 | 20 | 6,805 | 29.4 | 30.5 | <0.001 |
| 7: April 13 | 8 | 5,654 | 14.2 | 14.7 | <0.001 |
| 8: April 20 | 1 | 5,333 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.57 |
| 9: April 27 | 2 | 5,509 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 0.19 |
| 10: May 4 | 0 | 5,047 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.63 |
| Emergency department, hospital inpatient areas‡ | 39 | 61,083 | 6.4 | ||
| Nationality | |||||
| Saudi | 18 | 40,384 | 4.5 | Referent | |
| Non-Saudi | 21 | 20,698 | 10.1 | 2.3 | 0.01 |
| Sex | |||||
| F | 10 | 21,897 | 4.6 | Referent | |
| M | 29 | 39,151 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 0.18 |
| Age group, y | |||||
| 0–19 | 8 | 33,005 | 2.4 | Referent | |
| 20–39 | 10 | 16,888 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 0.064 |
| 40–59 | 18 | 9,400 | 19.1 | 7.9 | <0.001 |
|
| 3 | 1,725 | 17.4 | 7.2 | 0.016 |
*Per 10,000 patient-days. †For these analyses, cases were attributed to the setting or week that was most probable on the basis of incubation period (Tables 1, 2); p values do not reflect uncertainty caused by these attributions. ‡Denominator data for dialysis patients was not available; dialysis patients are not included in these analyses.
Figure 3Number of Middle East respiratory syndrome cases, incidence rate, and number of patient-days of treatment at King Fahd General Hospital, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, March 2–June 14, 2014. Incidence rate is cases per 100,000 patient-days. ED, emergency department.