| Literature DB >> 27034537 |
Idalia Kasprzyk1, Boguslaw Michal Kaszewski2, Elzbieta Weryszko-Chmielewska3, Malgorzata Nowak4, Aneta Sulborska3, Joanna Kaczmarek5, Agata Szymanska4, Weronika Haratym3, Malgorzata Jedryczka5.
Abstract
Temperature is the environmental factor that systematically changes for decades and, as in plants and animals, can significantly affect the growth and development of fungi, including the abundance of their sporulation. During the time of study (2010-2012), a rapid increase in air temperature was observed in Poland, which coincided with the substantial decrease in rainfall. The increase in annual mean temperatures at three monitoring sites of this study was 0.9 °C in Lublin and Rzeszow (east Poland) and 2.0 °C in Poznan (west Poland). Such warming of air masses was comparable to the average global air temperature rise in the period of 1880-2012 accounting for 0.85 °C, as reported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Moreover, there was a substantial decrease in rainfall, ranging from 32.7 % (Poznan) to 43.0 % (Rzeszow). We have demonstrated that under such conditions the mean and median values of total Cladosporium spore counts significantly increased and the spore seasons were greatly accelerated. Moreover, earlier start and later end of the season caused its extension, lasting from over 20 days in Rzeszow to around 60 days in Lublin and Poznan, when the cumulative amount of 5-95 % of spores was considered. The time of reaching the cumulative amount of 50 % of spores was up to 25 days earlier (difference in Poznan between 2010 and 2012). There was also a striking acceleration of the date of the maximal Cladosporium spore concentration per cubic metre of air (26 days for Lublin, 43 for Poznan and 56 for Rzeszow).Entities:
Keywords: Climate change; Environment; Hirst-type spore sampler; Temperature rise; Weather conditions
Year: 2016 PMID: 27034537 PMCID: PMC4773468 DOI: 10.1007/s10453-016-9425-7
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Aerobiologia (Bologna) ISSN: 0393-5965 Impact factor: 2.410
Fig. 1Location of experimental sites in Poland: 1) Poznan, 52°28′02″N; 16°55′27″E, 2) Lublin, 51°14′37″N; 22°32′25″E, 3) Rzeszow, 50°02′24″N; 22°00′00″E
Mean monthly weather parameters in 2010, annual parameters in 2010–2012 and differences in parameter values at monitoring sites during the study
| Parameter | Lublin | Poznan | Rzeszow | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
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| Rain (mm) |
|
|
| Rain (mm) |
|
|
| Rain (mm) | |
|
| ||||||||||||
| 2010 | 9.86 | 5.71 | 14.45 | 22.4 | 9.08 | 3.17 | 14.59 | 43.4 | 9.16 | 2.91 | 14.92 | 50.8 |
| 2011–2010a | 1.14 | 0.67 | 1.14 | 9 | 2.96 | 2.58 | 3.21 | −32.7 | 1.07 | 0.74 | 1.80 | −6.9 |
| 2012–2010b | 0.48 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 4.7 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.30 | −20.5 | 1.54 | 0.46 | −0.53 | −24.91 |
| 2012–2011c | −0.66 | −0.40 | −0.75 | −4.3 | −2.39 | −2.01 | −2.92 | 12.2 | 0.47 | −0.28 | −2.33 | −18.01 |
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| ||||||||||||
| 2010 | 14.88 | 11.74 | 18.61 | 139.2 | 11.76 | 7.39 | 15.63 | 110.7 | 14.19 | 9.96 | 18.84 | 172.72 |
| 2011–2010 | 0.22 | −1.87 | 1.09 | −106.2 | 3.14 | 0.06 | 5.44 | −99.8 | −0.19 | −3.77 | 2.13 | −110.24 |
| 2012–2010 | 1.29 | −0.53 | 2.19 | −106 | 4.13 | 2.46 | 6.06 | −50.8 | 0.58 | −1.53 | 1.50 | −116.85 |
| 2012–2011 | 1.07 | 1.34 | 1.10 | 0.2 | 0.99 | 2.41 | 0.62 | 49 | 0.77 | 2.23 | −0.63 | −6.61 |
|
| ||||||||||||
| 2010 | 18.71 | 14.32 | 22.53 | 58.7 | 17.73 | 10.73 | 23.50 | 17 | 17.94 | 12.10 | 23.05 | 136.91 |
| 2011–2010 | 0.51 | 0.45 | 1.12 | 13.4 | 1.51 | 1.98 | 1.75 | 34.6 | 0.34 | 0.13 | 1.10 | −47.76 |
| 2012–2010 | −0.63 | −0.20 | −0.50 | 2.3 | −1.09 | 1.21 | −1.81 | 95.3 | 0.26 | 0.03 | 1.04 | −59.94 |
| 2012–2011 | −1.15 | −0.65 | −1.61 | −11.1 | −2.59 | −0.76 | −3.56 | 60.7 | −0.08 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −12.18 |
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| ||||||||||||
| 2010 | 22.13 | 17.60 | 26.47 | 51.1 | 22.41 | 15.78 | 28.09 | 80.5 | 20.62 | 14.73 | 26.80 | 200.39 |
| 2011–2010 | −3.35 | −2.21 | −3.51 | 81.3 | −4.19 | −2.35 | −5.53 | 102.9 | −2.24 | −0.81 | −3.19 | 27.45 |
| 2012–2010 | 0.04 | −0.25 | 0.35 | −8.9 | −2.59 | −0.77 | −3.43 | 71.6 | 0.28 | 1.15 | 0.79 | −146.81 |
| 2012–2011 | 3.39 | 1.96 | 3.85 | −90.2 | 1.60 | 1.58 | 2.10 | −31.3 | 2.52 | 1.96 | 3.98 | −174.26 |
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| 2010 | 20.42 | 16.50 | 25.21 | 131.3 | 18.94 | 14.30 | 23.40 | 154.4 | 19.63 | 13.77 | 25.56 | 74.94 |
| 2011–2010 | −1.07 | −1.43 | −1.23 | −90.8 | 0.29 | −0.37 | 0.79 | −105.9 | −0.36 | −0.59 | −0.24 | −38.87 |
| 2012–2010 | −0.66 | −1.11 | −0.74 | −91.2 | 0.25 | −0.72 | 1.44 | −115.5 | −0.70 | −0.95 | 0.14 | −18.54 |
| 2012–2011 | 0.41 | 0.32 | 0.49 | −0.4 | −0.04 | −0.35 | 0.65 | −9.6 | −0.34 | −0.36 | 0.38 | 20.33 |
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| 2010 | 12.39 | 9.70 | 16.25 | 105 | 12.83 | 8.32 | 17.23 | 74.2 | 12.69 | 7.91 | 17.37 | 112.52 |
| 2011–2010 | 3.32 | 1.61 | 4.38 | −101.8 | 2.83 | 1.60 | 4.04 | −49.1 | 3.03 | 0.80 | 4.98 | −103.88 |
| 2012–2010 | 2.98 | 1.75 | 4.09 | −69.9 | 2.05 | 1.39 | 2.77 | −41.7 | 2.09 | −0.05 | 2.48 | −73.39 |
| 2012–2011 | −0.34 | 0.14 | −0.29 | 31.9 | −0.78 | −0.21 | −1.27 | 7.4 | −0.95 | −0.85 | −2.50 | 30.49 |
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| 2010 | 7.5 | 11.7 | 3.6 | 761 | 8.0 | 12.1 | 3.4 | 723 | 8.2 | 12.7 | 3.5 | 981 |
| 2011 | 8.4 | 12.9 | 4.2 | 505 | 10.0 | 14.4 | 5.1 | 484 | 9.1 | 13.7 | 3.9 | 616 |
| 2012 | 8.2 | 12.6 | 3.9 | 512 | 9.4 | 13.7 | 5.0 | 678 | 8.9 | 13.7 | 3.8 | 559 |
Positive number—value of weather parameter is higher in the following year
Negative number—value of weather parameter is lower in the following year
aDifference of the value of weather parameter between 2011 and 2010
bDifference of the value of weather parameter between 2012 and 2010
cDifference of the value of weather parameter between 2012 and 2011
Fig. 2Conidiospores of Cladosporium spp. a chain of conidiospores on the left, the pollen grain of Poaceae (P) on the right; b a close-up photograph of conidiospores
Fig. 3Distribution patterns of the concentrations of conidiospores of Cladosporium spp. in air (s m−3 black line), rainfall (mm, black bars) and temperature (°C, grey line) in three cities of Poland (Lublin, Poznan and Rzeszow) in 2010–2012
Selected descriptive characteristics of the Cladosporium spore seasons in three cities of Poland in the period 2010–2012
| Monitoring site | Year/parameter | Maximum concentration | Seasonal total s/m3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. of spores per cubic metre | Date | |||
| Lublin | 2010 | 41632 | 19 July | 860308 |
| 2011 | 43189 | 10 July | 944181 | |
| 2012 | 42600 | 23 June | 1165517 | |
| Mean | 42474 | 06 July | 990002 | |
| Variation coefficient | 1.8 % | 35 % | 15.9 % | |
| Poznan | 2010 | 83102 | 4 August | 1330015 |
| 2011 | 37892 | 6 July | 1078584 | |
| 2012 | 70954 | 22 June | 835802 | |
| Mean | 63983 | 9 July | 1081467 | |
| Variation coefficient | 36.6 % | 63 % | 22.9 % | |
| Rzeszow | 2010 | 13670 | 16 July | 325633 |
| 2011 | 26636 | 1 July | 484437 | |
| 2012 | 40708 | 21 May | 829028 | |
| Mean | 27005 | 21 June | 546366 | |
| Variation coefficient | 50.1 % | 54 % | 47.1 % | |
Fig. 4Median values of total spore counts per site-year in 3 years of study (letters indicate the homogeneous groups)
Fig. 5Dendrogram clustering site-years with the highest similarity of the patterns of Cladosporium spore seasons (R—Rzeszow, P—Poznan and L—Lublin)
Spearman’s rank correlation coefficients between meteorological parameters and Cladosporium spores concentrations (s m−3)
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| Rain (mm) | Wind speed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lublin 2010 |
|
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| −0.165 | NS | NS |
| Lublin 2011 |
|
|
|
| NS | NS |
| Lublin 2012 |
|
|
| NS | NS | NS |
| Poznań 2010 |
|
|
| −0.256 | NS | −0.208 |
| Poznań 2011 |
|
|
|
|
| NS |
| Poznań 2012 |
|
|
| NS |
| −0.243 |
| Rzeszów 2010 |
|
|
| −0.299 | −0.301 | – |
| Rzeszów 2011 |
|
|
| NS | NS | – |
| Rzeszów 2012 |
|
| NS | NS | NS | – |
NS—not significant; highlighted bold—positive correlation
Spearman’s rank correlation coefficients between the patterns of Cladosporium spore seasons (p ≤ 0.05)
| Monitoring site | Year | Lublin | Poznan | Rzeszow | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | ||
| Lublin | 2010 | 0.720 | 0.701 | 0.821 | 0.657 | 0.628 | 0.821 | 0.650 | 0.578 | |
| 2011 | 0.720 | 0.810 | 0.680 | 0.819 | 0.605 | 0.725 | 0.653 | 0.623 | ||
| 2012 | 0.701 | 0.810 | 0.692 | 0.710 | 0.658 | 0.674 | 0.610 | 0.661 | ||
| Poznan | 2010 | 0.821 | 0.680 | 0.692 | 0.607 | 0.558 | 0.712 | 0.592 | 0.522 | |
| 2011 | 0.657 | 0.819 | 0.710 | 0.607 | 0.586 | 0.643 | 0.643 | 0.579 | ||
| 2012 | 0.628 | 0.605 | 0.658 | 0.558 | 0.586 | 0.599 | 0.454 | 0.561 | ||
| Rzeszow | 2010 | 0.821 | 0.725 | 0.674 | 0.712 | 0.643 | 0.599 | 0.620 | 0.594 | |
| 2011 | 0.650 | 0.653 | 0.610 | 0.592 | 0.643 | 0.454 | 0.620 | 0.465 | ||
| 2012 | 0.578 | 0.623 | 0.661 | 0.522 | 0.579 | 0.561 | 0.594 | 0.465 | ||
Fig. 6Mean percentages (±SD) of conidiospores of Cladosporium spp. in air (s m−3) of three Polish cities in 2010–2012
Fig. 7Differences between spore seasons of Cladosporium spp. in three cities over 3 years (2010–2012). Horizontal lines and boxes indicate eight stages of spore seasons: 1; 2.5; 5, 25; 75; 95; 97.5; and 99 %. The vertical line indicates the cumulative amount of 50 % of the spores
Differences in the dates of reaching the subsequent cumulative phases of Cladosporium spore seasons
| Site/year difference | Cumulative phases of | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.5 | 5 | 25 | 50 | 75 | 90 | 95 | 97.5 | 99 | |
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| 2010 | 7 May | 24 May | 9 June | 13 July | 22 July | 2 Aug | 14 Aug | 23 Aug | 30 Aug | 13 Sept |
| 2011–2010a | −11 | −3 | −8 | −21 | −12 | −5 | +1 | +22 | +23 | +13 |
| 2012–2010b | −17 | −13 | −18 | −24 | −9 | +7 | +26 | +25 | +24 | +14 |
| 2012–2011c | −6 | −10 | −10 | −3 | −3 | −12 | −17 | +3 | +1 | +1 |
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| 2010 | 2 May | 13 May | 9 June | 18 July | 30 July | 7 Aug | 15 Aug | 26 Aug | 19 Sept | 25 Sept |
| 2011–2010a | +5 | +5 | −15 | −26 | −23 | −16 | −1 | −23 | −2 | −2 |
| 2012–2010b | +4 | +1 | −46 | −23 | −25 | −5 | +10 | −13 | −3 | 0 |
| 2012–2011c | −1 | −4 | −31 | −3 | −2 | −10 | +11 | +5 | −1 | +2 |
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| 2010 | 20 April | 8 May | 22 May | 23 June | 14 July | 2 Aug | 21 Aug | 30 Aug | 13 Sept | 21 Sept |
| 2011–2010a | +3 | +7 | +2 | −5 | −7 | −7 | +5 | +11 | −1 | −8 |
| 2012–2010b | −6 | −14 | −13 | −13 | −6 | 0 | +11 | +22 | +13 | +7 |
| 2012–2011c | −9 | −21 | −15 | −8 | +1 | −7 | +6 | +11 | +14 | −15 |
Positive number—the date of reaching the cumulative phase was later in the following year
Negative number—the date of reaching the cumulative phase was earlier in the following year (=acceleration)
aDifference of the date of reaching the cumulative phase, between 2011 and 2010 (no. of days)
bDifference of the date of reaching the cumulative phase, between 2012 and 2010 (no. of days)
cDifference of the date of reaching the cumulative phase, between 2012 and 2011 (no. of days)
Differences in the length of the subsequent cumulative phases of Cladosporium spore seasons in experiment year and between years
| Length of phases in | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Difference between years (no. of days) | |||||
| 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2011–2010a | 2012–2010b | 2012–2011c | |
|
| ||||||
| 1–99 % | 129 | 153 | 160 | +24 | +31 | +7 |
| 2.5–97.5 % | 98 | 124 | 135 | +26 | +37 | +11 |
| 5–95 % | 54 | 105 | 118 | +51 | +64 | +13 |
| 25–75 % | 20 | 36 | 51 | +16 | +31 | +15 |
|
| ||||||
| 1–99 % | 146 | 169 | 172 | +23 | +26 | +3 |
| 2.5–97.5 % | 129 | 122 | 125 | −7 | −2 | +3 |
| 5–95 % | 78 | 101 | 137 | +23 | +59 | +36 |
| 25–75 % | 20 | 31 | 43 | +11 | +23 | +12 |
|
| ||||||
| 1–99 % | 154 | 143 | 167 | −11 | +13 | +24 |
| 2.5–97.5 % | 128 | 140 | 155 | +12 | +27 | +15 |
| 5–95 % | 59 | 69 | 83 | +19 | +24 | +14 |
| 25–75 % | 40 | 38 | 53 | −2 | +13 | +15 |
Positive number—the cumulative phase was longer in the following year (=elongation)
Negative number—the cumulative phase was shorter in the following year
aDifference between 2011 and 2010 (no. of days)
bDifference between 2012 and 2010 (no. of days)
cDifference between 2012 and 2011 (no. of days)