| Literature DB >> 27034371 |
Philip A Stephens1, Lucy R Mason2, Rhys E Green3, Richard D Gregory2, John R Sauer4, Jamie Alison5, Ainars Aunins6, Lluís Brotons7, Stuart H M Butchart8, Tommaso Campedelli9, Tomasz Chodkiewicz10, Przemysław Chylarecki11, Olivia Crowe12, Jaanus Elts13, Virginia Escandell14, Ruud P B Foppen15, Henning Heldbjerg16, Sergi Herrando17, Magne Husby18, Frédéric Jiguet19, Aleksi Lehikoinen20, Åke Lindström21, David G Noble22, Jean-Yves Paquet23, Jiri Reif24, Thomas Sattler25, Tibor Szép26, Norbert Teufelbauer27, Sven Trautmann28, Arco J van Strien29, Chris A M van Turnhout30, Petr Vorisek31, Stephen G Willis1.
Abstract
Global climate change is a major threat to biodiversity. Large-scale analyses have generally focused on the impacts of climate change on the geographic ranges of species and on phenology, the timing of ecological phenomena. We used long-term monitoring of the abundance of breeding birds across Europe and the United States to produce, for both regions, composite population indices for two groups of species: those for which climate suitability has been either improving or declining since 1980. The ratio of these composite indices, the climate impact indicator (CII), reflects the divergent fates of species favored or disadvantaged by climate change. The trend in CII is positive and similar in the two regions. On both continents, interspecific and spatial variation in population abundance trends are well predicted by climate suitability trends.Mesh：
Year: 2016 PMID： 27034371 DOI： 10.1126/science.aac4858
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Science ISSN： 0036-8075 Impact factor: 47.728