| Literature DB >> 26985133 |
R Roczniok1, A Stanula1, A Maszczyk1, A Mostowik1, M Kowalczyk1, O Fidos-Czuba1, A Zając1.
Abstract
The purpose of this study was to examine physiological and physical determinants of ice-hockey performance in order to assess their impact on the result during a selection for ice hockey. A total of 42 ice hockey players took part in the selection camp. At the end of the camp 20 best players were selected by team of expert coaches to the ice hockey team and created group G1, while the second group (G2) consisted of not selected players (non-successful group Evaluation of goodness of fit of the model to the data was based on the Hosmer Lemeshow test. Ice hockey players selected to the team were taller 181.95±4.02 cm, had lower% body fat 13.17±3.17%, a shorter time to peak power 2.47±0.35 s, higher relative peak power 21.34±2.41 W·kg(-1) and higher relative total work 305.18±28.41 J·kg(-1). The results of the aerobic capacity test showed significant differences only in case of two variables. Ice hockey players in the G1 had higher VO2max 4.07±0.31 l·min(-1) values than players in the G2 as well as ice hockey players in G1 showed a higher level of relative VO2max 51.75±2.99 ml·min(-1)·kg(-1) than athletes in G2. Ice hockey players selected to the team (G1) performed better in the 30 m Forwards Sprint 4.28±0.31 s; 6x9 Turns 12.19±0.75 s; 6x9 stops 12.79±0.49 s and Endurance test (6x30 m stops) 32.01±0.80 s than players in G2. The logistic regression model showed that the best predictors of success in the recruitment process of top level ice hockey players were time to peak power, relative peak power, VO2max and 30 m sprint forwards on ice. On the basis of the constructed predictive logistic regression model it will be possible to determine the probability of success of the athletes during following the selection processes to the team.Entities:
Keywords: Biometric model; Logistic regression models; On ice special tests; Performances prediction on ice
Year: 2015 PMID: 26985133 PMCID: PMC4786585 DOI: 10.5604/20831862.1180175
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Biol Sport ISSN: 0860-021X Impact factor: 2.806
Basic statistical characteristics of the two groups of hockey players – related to age and somatic variables
| G1 | G2 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | Mean ± SD | N | Mean ± SD | t | df | p | |
| Age [years] | 20 | 24.70 ± 3.53 | 22 | 24.82 ± 6.68 | -0.07 | 40 | 0.94 |
| Body height [cm] | 20 | 182.9 ± 4.02 | 22 | 179.18 ± 5.22 | 1.91 | 40 | 0.04 |
| Body mass [kg] | 20 | 78.48 ± 7.15 | 22 | 80.20 ± 9.27 | -0.67 | 40 | 0.51 |
| BMI | 20 | 24.19 ± 1.52 | 22 | 24.94 ± 2.39 | -0.89 | 40 | 0.38 |
| Body FAT [%] | 20 | 13.17 ± 3.17 | 22 | 16.53 ± 4.65 | -2.23 | 40 | 0.03 |
Note: G1 – nominated group; G2 non-nominated group; BMI – body mass index;
Basic statistical characteristics of the two groups of hockey players – related to anaerobic and aerobic capacity
| G1 | G2 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | Mean ± SD | N | Mean ± SD | t | df | p | ||
| Anaerobic Capacity | Time to peak power [s] | 20 | 2.47 ± 0.35 | 19 | 2.90 ± 0.60 | -2.81 | 37 | 0.01 |
| Relative Mean Power [W·kg−1] | 20 | 10.11 ± 0.86 | 19 | 9.64 ± 0.96 | 1.61 | 37 | 0.12 | |
| Relative peak power [W·kg−1] | 20 | 21.34 ± 2.41 | 19 | 18.28 ± 2.92 | 3.58 | 37 | 0.001 | |
| Relative total work [J·kg−1] | 20 | 305.18 ± 28.41 | 19 | 267.62 ± 69.78 | 2.22 | 37 | 0.03 | |
| LArest [mmol·l−1] | 20 | 1.54 ± 0.63 | 19 | 1.56 ± 0.54 | -0.07 | 37 | 0.95 | |
| LA4’ [mmol·l−1] | 20 | 11.16 ± 2.01 | 18 | 10.12 ± 1.77 | 1.68 | 36 | 0.10 | |
| ΔLA4’-rest [mmol·l−1] | 20 | 9.62 ± 2.28 | 18 | 8.58 ± 1.84 | 1.53 | 36 | 0.14 | |
| Aerobic Capacity | HR [beats·min−1] | 20 | 184.35 ± 10.23 | 22 | 182.23 ± 9.81 | 0.69 | 40 | 0.50 |
| VO2max [l·min−1] | 20 | 4.07 ± 0.31 | 22 | 3.81 ± 0.44 | 2.18 | 40 | 0.03 | |
| Relative VO2max [ml·min−1·kg−1] | 20 | 51.75 ± 2.99 | 22 | 47.91 ± 3.04 | 4.12 | 40 | 0.0002 | |
| RER | 20 | 1.14 ± 0.07 | 22 | 1.11 ± 0.08 | 1.02 | 40 | 0.31 | |
| VE [l·min−1] | 20 | 144.50 ± 19.42 | 22 | 140.52 ± 32.98 | 0.47 | 40 | 0.64 | |
| BF [1·min−1] | 20 | 50.46 ± 7.97 | 22 | 49.43 ± 9.40 | 0.38 | 40 | 0.70 | |
| LArest [mmol·l−1] | 20 | 1.57 ± 0.56 | 22 | 1.64 ± 0.43 | -0.52 | 40 | 0.61 | |
| LAmax [mmol·l−1] | 20 | 10.67 ± 1.68 | 22 | 10.08 ± 2.12 | 1.00 | 40 | 0.33 | |
| ΔLAmax-rest [mmol·l−1] | 20 | 9.11 ± 1.69 | 22 | 8.44 ± 1.97 | 1.18 | 40 | 0.25 | |
| ΔLAmax-rest12’ [mmol·l−1] | 20 | 2.61 ± 0.57 | 22 | 2.54 ± 0.88 | 0.32 | 40 | 0.75 | |
| Specific tests on ice | 30m Sprint Forwards [s] | 20 | 4.28 ± 0.16 | 21 | 4.59 ± 0.30 | -4.18 | 39 | 0.0001 |
| 30m Backwards [s] | 20 | 5.37 ± 0.58 | 21 | 5.45 ± 0.58 | -0.43 | 39 | 0.67 | |
| 6*9 Turns [s] | 20 | 12.19 ± 0.75 | 20 | 12.88 ± 0.35 | -3.74 | 38 | 0.0006 | |
| 6*9 stops [s] | 20 | 12.79 ± 0.49 | 20 | 13.30 ± 0.52 | -3.22 | 38 | 0.002 | |
| Endurance (6*30m stops) [s] | 20 | 32.01 | 21 | 33.88 | -4.02 | 39 | 0.0002 |
Note: G1 – nominated group; G2 non-nominated group; LArest’ – Lactate concentration before the Wingate test, LA4’ – Lactate in the 4th minute of recovery in the Wingate test, ΔLA4’-rest – the difference between the 4th minute concentration of lactate and lactate concentration before the Wingate test. HRmax – max heart rate; VO2max – maximal oxygen uptake; Relative VO2max – relative maximal oxygen uptake; RER – respiratory ratio; VE – minute ventilation; BF – breath frequency; LArest – Lactate concentration before the VO2max test, LAmax – Lactate concentration after the VO2max test, ΔLAmax-rest – the difference between the maximum concentration of lactate and Lactate concentration before the VO2max test, ΔLAmax-rest12’ – the difference between the maximum concentration of lactate and Lactate concentration in 12th minute after the VO2max test.
Logistic regression predicting selection to the team from measured variables
| B | Standard error | Wald | p | Odds ratio | Lower 95% CI limit | Upper 95% CI limit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relative peak power [W·kg−1] | 0,6 | 0,31 | 3,62 | 0,047 | 1,82 | 0,98 | 3,36 |
| Relative VO2max [ml·min·kg−1] | 0,75 | 0,33 | 5,13 | 0,023 | 2,12 | 1,11 | 4,05 |
| Time to peak power [s] | -4,66 | 2,3 | 4,09 | 0,043 | 0,01 | 0 | 0,87 |
| 30 m Sprint forwards [s] | -8,85 | 4,3 | 4,23 | 0,04 | 0,009 | 0 | 0,66 |
Note: B=estimated coefficient, Cl=confidence limits.
FIG. 1Goodness-of-fit test for the logistic regression model