| Literature DB >> 26954204 |
Heeyoung Lee1, Soomin Lee1, Sejeong Kim1, Jeeyeon Lee1, Jimyeong Ha1, Yohan Yoon1.
Abstract
This study evaluated the risk of Clostridium perfringens (C. perfringens) foodborne illness from natural and processed cheeses. Microbial risk assessment in this study was conducted according to four steps: hazard identification, hazard characterization, exposure assessment, and risk characterization. The hazard identification of C. perfringens on cheese was identified through literature, and dose response models were utilized for hazard characterization of the pathogen. For exposure assessment, the prevalence of C. perfringens, storage temperatures, storage time, and annual amounts of cheese consumption were surveyed. Eventually, a simulation model was developed using the collected data and the simulation result was used to estimate the probability of C. perfringens foodborne illness by cheese consumption with @RISK. C. perfringens was determined to be low risk on cheese based on hazard identification, and the exponential model (r = 1.82×10(-11)) was deemed appropriate for hazard characterization. Annual amounts of natural and processed cheese consumption were 12.40±19.43 g and 19.46±14.39 g, respectively. Since the contamination levels of C. perfringens on natural (0.30 Log CFU/g) and processed cheeses (0.45 Log CFU/g) were below the detection limit, the initial contamination levels of natural and processed cheeses were estimated by beta distribution (α 1 = 1, α 2 = 91; α 1 = 1, α 2 = 309)×uniform distribution (a = 0, b = 2; a = 0, b = 2.8) to be -2.35 and -2.73 Log CFU/g, respectively. Moreover, no growth of C. perfringens was observed for exposure assessment to simulated conditions of distribution and storage. These data were used for risk characterization by a simulation model, and the mean values of the probability of C. perfringens foodborne illness by cheese consumption per person per day for natural and processed cheeses were 9.57×10(-14) and 3.58×10(-14), respectively. These results indicate that probability of C. perfringens foodborne illness by consumption cheese is low, and it can be used to establish microbial criteria for C. perfringens on natural and processed cheeses.Entities:
Keywords: Cheese; Clostridium perfringens; Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment
Year: 2016 PMID: 26954204 PMCID: PMC4932574 DOI: 10.5713/ajas.15.1007
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Asian-Australas J Anim Sci ISSN: 1011-2367 Impact factor: 2.509
Figure 1Flow chart of quantitative microbial risk assessment of Clostridium perfringens in natural and processed cheeses.
Figure 2Bacterial populations of Clostridium perfringens in Brie (A–C) and Camembert (D–F) cheese during storage at 4°C (A, D), 25°C (B, E), 30°C (C, F) for 720, 144, and 96 h, respectively.
Simulation model and formulas in Excel spreadsheet used to calculate the risk of Clostridium perfringens in natural cheese with @RISK
| Input model | Unit | Variable | Formula | References |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Product | ||||
| Pathogens contamination level | ||||
| | PR | = RiskBeta(1,91) | ||
| Concentration | CFU/g | C | = RiskUniform(0,2) | |
| Initial contamination level | CFU/g | IC | = PR×C | |
| log CFU/g | log(IC) | = log(PR×C) | ||
| Consumption | ||||
| Daily consumption average amount | g | Consump | = RiskPearson5[2.6488,25.81, RiskTruncate(0,100), RiskShift(−3.2572)] | KNHNES |
| Daily consumption frequency | % | ConFre | Fixed 3.894 | KNHNES |
| CF(0) | = 1−3.894/100 | KNHNES | ||
| CF(1) | = 3.894/100 | KNHNES | ||
| CF | = RiskDiscrete{[0,1], [CF(0), CF(1)]} | KNHNES | ||
| ConFre | = IF(CF = 0,0, Consump) | KNHNES | ||
| Dose-response | ||||
| | D | = 10log(IC) ×ConFre | ||
| Parameter of r | r | = Fixed 1.82×10−11 | ||
| Risk | ||||
| Probability of illness/person/d | Risk | = 1−exp(−r×D) | ||
2011 Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey.
Simulation model and formulas in Excel spreadsheet used to calculate the risk of Clostridium perfringens in processed cheese with @RISK
| Input model | Unit | Variable | Formula | References |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Product | ||||
| Pathogens contamination level | ||||
| | PR | = RiskBeta(1,309) | ||
| Concentration | CFU/g | C | = RiskUniform(0,2.8) | |
| Initial contamination level | CFU/g | IC | = PR×C | |
| log CFU/g | log(IC) | = log(PR×C) | ||
| Consumption | ||||
| Daily consumption average amount | g | Consump | = RiskWeibull[1.3482,20.932, RiskShift(0.26384), RiskTruncate(0,100)] | KNHNES |
| Daily consumption frequency | % | ConFre | Fixed 2.323 | KNHNES |
| CF(0) | = 1−2.323/100 | KNHNES | ||
| CF(1) | = 2.323/100 | KNHNES | ||
| CF | = RiskDiscrete{[0,1], [CF(0), CF(1)]} | KNHNES | ||
| ConFre | = IF(CF = 0,0, Consump) | KNHNES | ||
| Dose-response | ||||
| | D | = 10log(IC) ×ConFre | ||
| Parameter of r | r | = Fixed 1.82×10−11 | ||
| RISK | ||||
| Probability of illness/person/d | Risk | = 1−exp(−r×D) | ||
2011 Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey.
Figure 3Probabilistic distribution for daily intake of natural (A) and processed (B) cheeses in the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHNES) in 2011.
Probability of foodborne illness from Clostridium perfringens per person per day with the consumption of natural and processed cheeses
| Probability illness/person/d | 5% | 25% | 50% | 95% | 99% | Maximum | Mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural cheese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.46×10−12 | 6.64×10−11 | 9.57×10−14 |
| Processed cheese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.94×10−13 | 1.82×10−11 | 3.58×10−14 |