Quantitative modeling of soil sorption for xenobiotic chemicals.

Experimentally determining soil sorption behavior of xenobiotic chemicals during the last 10 years has been costly, time-consuming, and very tedious. Since an estimated 100,000 chemicals are currently in common use and new chemicals are registered at a rate of 1000 per year, it is obvious that our human and material resources are insufficient to experimentally obtain their soil sorption data. Much work is being done to find alternative methods that will enable us to accurately and rapidly estimate the soil sorption coefficients of pesticides and other classes of organic pollutants. Empirical models, based on water solubility and n-octanol/water partition coefficients, have been proposed as alternative, accurate methods to estimate soil sorption coefficients. An analysis of the models has shown (a) low precision of water solubility and n-octanol/water partition data, (b) varieties of quantitative models describing the relationship between the soil sorption and above-mentioned properties, and (c) violations of some basic statistical laws when these quantitative models were developed. During the last 5 years considerable efforts were made to develop nonempirical models that are free of errors imminent to all models based on empirical variables. Thus far molecular topology has been shown to be the most successful structural property for describing and predicting soil sorption coefficients. The first-order molecular connectivity index was demonstrated to correlate extremely well with the soil sorption coefficients of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), alkylbenzenes, chlorobenzenes, chlorinated alkanes and alkenes, heterocyclic and heterosubstituted PAHs, and halogenated phenols. The average difference between predicted and observed soil sorption coefficients is only 0.2 on the logarithmic scale (corresponding to a factor of 1.5). A comparison of the molecular connectivity model with the empirical models described earlier shows that the former is superior in accuracy, performance, and range of applicability. It is possible to extend this model, with the addition of a single, semiempirical variable, to take care of polar and ionic compounds and to accurately predict the soil sorption coefficients for almost 95% of all organic chemicals whose coefficients have been reported. No empirical or nonempirical models have ever predicted the soil sorption coefficients to such a high degree of accuracy on such a broad selection of structurally diverse compounds. An additional advantage of the molecular connectivity model is that it is sufficient to know the structural formulas to make predictions about soil sorption coefficients.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)