Literature DB >> 26903004

Varenicline and Adverse Cardiovascular Events: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials.

Lee H Sterling1, Sarah B Windle2, Kristian B Filion3, Lahoud Touma1, Mark J Eisenberg4.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Varenicline is an efficacious smoking-cessation drug. However, previous meta-analyses provide conflicting results regarding its cardiovascular safety. The publication of several new randomized controlled trials (RCTs) provides an opportunity to reassess this potential adverse drug reaction. METHODS AND
RESULTS: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library for RCTs that compare varenicline with placebo for smoking cessation. RCTs reporting cardiovascular serious adverse events and/or all-cause mortality during the treatment period or within 30 days of treatment discontinuation were eligible for inclusion. Relative risks (RRs) with 95% CIs were generated by using DerSimonian-Laird random-effects models. Thirty-eight RCTs met our inclusion criteria (N=12 706). Events were rare in both varenicline (57/7213) and placebo (43/5493) arms. No difference was observed for cardiovascular serious adverse events when comparing varenicline with placebo (RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.72-1.49). Similar findings were obtained when examining cardiovascular (RR 1.04, 95% CI 0.57-1.89) and noncardiovascular patients (RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.64-1.64). Deaths were rare in both varenicline (11/7213) and placebo (9/5493) arms. Although 95% CIs were wide, pooling of all-cause mortality found no difference between groups (RR 0.88, 95% CI 0.50-1.52), including when stratified by participants with (RR 1.24, 95% CI 0.40-3.83) and without (RR 0.77, 95% CI 0.40-1.48) cardiovascular disease.
CONCLUSIONS: We found no evidence that varenicline increases the rate of cardiovascular serious adverse events. Results were similar among those with and without cardiovascular disease. Given varenicline's efficacy as a smoking cessation drug and the long-term cardiovascular benefits of cessation, it should continue to be prescribed for smoking cessation.
© 2016 The Authors. Published on behalf of the American Heart Association, Inc., by Wiley Blackwell.

Entities:  

Keywords:  cardiovascular disease; meta‐analysis; smoking cessation; systematic review; varenicline

Mesh:

Substances:

Year:  2016        PMID: 26903004      PMCID: PMC4802486          DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.115.002849

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  J Am Heart Assoc        ISSN: 2047-9980            Impact factor:   5.501


Introduction

Varenicline is a partial nicotine receptor agonist that has been shown to be an efficacious smoking‐cessation pharmacotherapy.1, 2 However, concerns exist regarding the cardiovascular safety of varenicline. Previous meta‐analyses provided conflicting results regarding the association between varenicline and adverse cardiovascular events.3, 4, 5, 6 In addition, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has issued a warning regarding serious cardiovascular events that may occur in patients taking the drug.7 Conclusive findings have been difficult to obtain given the rarity of these events and the limited size and duration of trials examining its use. However, safety data from more than a dozen new randomized controlled trials (RCTs) examining the use of varenicline for smoking cessation have nearly doubled the number of events of interest available, providing an opportunity to reassess this safety concern. We therefore performed a systematic review and meta‐analysis of RCTs to examine the cardiovascular safety of varenicline.

Methods

Search Strategy

This systematic review and meta‐analysis was performed using a prespecified protocol, and the results are reported according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta‐Analyses guidelines.8 A detailed description of the search strategy can be found in Tables S1 through S3. Briefly, we systematically searched MEDLINE (via Ovid), EMBASE (via Ovid), and the Cochrane Library in June 2015 by using Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) and EMTREE terms as well as keywords for varenicline. These search terms were then combined with a modified version of the Cochrane Collaboration's RCT hedge to restrict our search to RCTs.9 The search was not restricted by date or language of publication. In addition, the references of included studies, as well as previous meta‐analyses, were hand‐searched for other potentially relevant studies. Unpublished data from a trial conducted by the authors (NCT00794573) were also screened for inclusion; this trial was published during the conduct of this meta‐analysis.10

Study Selection

One reviewer (L.H.S.) screened the titles and abstracts of publications identified by the search. The full texts of potentially eligible articles were then screened, and those meeting our prespecified inclusion/exclusion criteria were included. Two reviewers (L.H.S. and L.T.) independently performed the full‐text review, with disagreements resolved by consensus or a third reviewer (S.B.W.). Articles eligible for inclusion were those that (1) contained original data from RCTs examining the use of varenicline versus an inactive control (ie, placebo or a behavioral intervention applied equally in the varenicline and comparison groups; hereinafter referred to as placebo) in tobacco users and (2) reported the incidence of cardiovascular serious adverse events (SAEs) and/or all‐cause mortality during the study treatment period (ie, the duration of use of varenicline or placebo) or up to 30 days after drug discontinuation. Studies combining the use of the study drug with any form of behavioral counseling were also included. Observational studies, studies of abstinence maintenance, case reports and case series, reviews, meta‐analyses, commentaries, letters to the editor, conference proceedings, and abstracts were excluded. Articles published in a language other than English or French were also excluded.

Data Abstraction

Two reviewers (L.H.S. and L.T.) independently abstracted data, with discrepancies resolved by consensus or a third reviewer (S.B.W.). Abstracted information included trial name, first author, year published, countries in which participants were enrolled, sample size, length of treatment, varenicline dose, cardiovascular inclusion or exclusion criteria (eg, clinically significant cardiovascular disease [CVD], neurologic disorders, or cerebrovascular disease during the previous 6 months), participant demographic information (ie, age, sex, mean number of years smoked, and mean number of cigarettes smoked per day at baseline), and data pertaining to safety outcomes.

Outcomes

The primary outcome was incidence of cardiovascular SAEs (eg, myocardial infarction, unstable angina, coronary artery disease, need for coronary revascularization, arrhythmia, congestive heart failure, transient ischemic attack, stroke, sudden death, cardiovascular‐related death). The secondary outcome was all‐cause mortality. Only events that occurred during study treatment or within 30 days of drug discontinuation were included. Whenever possible, published outcome data were compared with results posted on ClinicalTrials.gov. When event rates differed for a given trial, we chose the source providing the most detailed classification of events (eg, in terms of determining whether reported SAEs were cardiovascular in nature and/or clarifying the timing of reported events in relation to study drug use).

Quality Assessment

Quality assessment of each included trial was performed by using the Cochrane Risk of Bias Tool.11 This tool is used to assess threats to internal validity by assigning scores of “high,” “low,” or “unclear” risk of bias in the domains of sequence generation, allocation concealment, blinding of participants, personnel and outcome assessors, incomplete outcome data, selective outcome reporting, and other potential sources of bias. Two reviewers (L.H.S. and L.T.) independently performed quality assessment, and discrepancies were resolved by consensus or a third reviewer (S.B.W.). All studies were included in the review and meta‐analysis regardless of their quality.

Statistical Analysis

We used DerSimonian–Laird random‐effects models to calculate relative risks (RRs) and corresponding 95% CIs. All analyses were conducted overall and then stratified by whether the trial was conducted in participants with a history of CVD. In our primary analysis, we used a 0.5 continuity correction to include data from RCTs that had study arms with zero events. This continuity correction allows for inclusion of zero event trials while maintaining analytic consistency.12 Risk differences (RDs) with 95% CIs were also calculated; these analyses were stratified by treatment duration and CVD history. Heterogeneity was assessed by using an I 2 statistic. Several sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of our results. First, we repeated our analyses by using Mantel–Haenszel fixed‐effects models. Inverse‐variance weighting and the Peto approach were used to assess the impact of the choice of fixed‐effects approach, given the small number of events in the individual trials. Second, we conducted influence analyses in which our random‐effects analyses were repeated omitting 1 trial at a time to assess the impact of each individual RCT on the final pooled results. Third, we repeated our analyses excluding trials with zero events in one arm and then excluding trials with zero events in both arms to assess the impact of zero event trials on our results. Fourth, we repeated our primary analyses, including only trials with at least 100 participants. Finally, to assess for potential publication bias, a funnel plot was visually assessed, and an Egger's test for small study effects was performed. All analyses were performed by using R version 3.2.2. [R Core Team (2015), R Foundation for Statistical Computing].

Results

Our electronic database search yielded 1564 potentially eligible studies for inclusion in our review (Figure 1). We additionally assessed unpublished data from a trial conducted by the authors (NCT00794573); this trial was published during the conduct of this meta‐analysis.10 After the removal of duplicates and screening of titles and abstracts, 68 trials underwent full‐text review. In total, 38 RCTs met all eligibility criteria and were included in our meta‐analysis.10, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49
Figure 1

PRISMA flowchart describing the study's systematic literature search and study selection.

PRISMA flowchart describing the study's systematic literature search and study selection.

Study Characteristics

Sample sizes ranged from 10 to 1510 patients with a median of 268 patients (Table). A total of 7213 patients were randomized to varenicline and 5493 patients to placebo. The most common dose of varenicline was 1 mg twice daily, with some studies in which lower doses were prescribed. Length of treatment with varenicline ranged from 1 to 52 weeks, with the majority of studies treating patients for 12 weeks. Four studies examined CVD patients specifically (1 studied patients with a recent acute coronary syndrome, 1 studied patients with stable coronary artery disease, and 2 studied inpatients in which >50% were admitted for CVD). Seventeen RCTs examined smokers drawn from the general population, 5 studied smokers with mental illness (ie, schizophrenia, depression, bipolar disorder), 3 studied opioid‐ or cocaine‐dependent tobacco smokers, 4 studied smokeless tobacco users, and 5 RCTs examined patients with other inclusion criteria such as specific age ranges or patients scheduled for surgery. Losses to follow‐up varied between studies and ranged between 0% to 60%, with most studies reporting losses of <25%.
Table 1

Trial Characteristics of RCTs Comparing Varenicline With Placebo and Smoking Profiles of Patients

Study Lead Author, YearNo. of PatientsVarenicline DoseTreatment (wk)Years SmokedCigarettes, No./dPatient Population
VareniclinePlaceboVareniclinePlaceboVareniclinePlacebo
Cardiovascular patients
Rigotti, 201013 3553591 mg BID1240.039.022.122.0Smokers with stable CVD
Carson, 201414 1961961 mg BID1237.1±2.937.7±2.924.9±2.724.7±2.9Inpatients with tobacco‐related illness
Eisenberg, 201610 1511511 mg BID1235.1±11.436.7±11.821.9±10.921.0±10.3Inpatients with ACS
Steinberg, 201115 40391 mg BID12NRNRNRNRInpatient smokers
General population
Ebbert, 201516 7607501 mg BID24NRNR20.6±8.520.8±8.2Adult smokers
Gonzales, 200617 3523441 mg BID1224.3±11.524.7±12.121.1±9.521.5±9.5Adult smokers
Jorenby, 200618 3443411 mg BID1227.1±11.524.4±11.622.5±9.521.5±8.7Adult smokers
Rennard, 201219 4931661 mg BID1226.024.621.321.5Adult smokers
Oncken, 200620 1241210.5 mg BID untitrated1226.0±10.825.3±9.520.9±8.220.4±7.2Adult smokers
1290.5 mg BID25.0±10.821.3±8.1
1241 mg BID untitrated25.7±10.620.8±20.2
1291 mg BID24.0±11.120.9±7.0
Bolliger, 201121 3941991 mg BID1225.026.823.823.7Adult smokers
Nakamura, 200722 1281290.25 mg BID1220.9±11.520.9±11.424.9±10.323.1±8.8Adult smokers
1290.5 mg BID20.1±11.323.8±10.5
1301 mg BID21.5±11.324.0±9.8
Nides, 200623 1261230.3 mg QD624.6±10.923.9±10.620.3±7.721.5±8.0Adult smokers
1261 mg QD25.4±11.120.1±7.8
1251 mg BID23.4±10.018.9±6.9
Gonzales, 201424 2512471 mg BID1230.2±12.130.0±11.719.9±7.221.4±7.7Smokers who previously used varenicline
Williams, 200725 2511261 mg BID5230.729.923.223.4Adult smokers
Wang, 200926 1651681 mg BID1220.519.620.321.3Adult smokers
Niaura, 200827 1601601 mg BID1224.925.722.222.3Adult smokers
Tsai, 200728 1261241 mg BID1220.222.123.422.7Adult smokers
Hughes, 201129 52581 mg BID, NE Site2 to 8NRNR19.0±9.017.0±7.0Adult smokers
55531 mg BID VE SiteNRNR20.0±10.018.0±6.0
Cinciripini, 201330 861061 mg BID12NRNR19.2±8.519.7±9.8Adult smokers
Heydari, 201231 89911 mg BID12NRNRNRNRAdult smokers
Garza, 201132 55551 mg BID1216.916.823.321.3Adult smokers
Patients with mental illness
Anthenelli, 201333 2562691 mg BID1226.0±11.727.3±11.821.9±7.521.5±8.7Adult smokers with major depressive disorder
Williams, 201234 85431 mg BID1223.724.923.522.3Adult smokers with schizophrenia
Chengappa, 201435 31291 mg BID1229.4±11.529.0±10.918.1±6.218.2±8.3Adult smokers with bipolar disorder
Hong, 201136 20230.5 mg BID8NRNRNRNRAdult smokers with schizophrenia
Meszaros, 201237 551 mg BID8NRNR15.0±15.014.3±14.7Smokers with schizophrenia and alcohol dependence
Smokeless tobacco users
Fagerstrom, 201038 2142181 mg BID1220.3±11.021.7±11.815.4±5.8a 15.9±7.7a Smokeless tobacco users
Jain, 201439 1191181 mg BID1210.9±7.611.4±7.613.0±8.8b 12.3±6.7b Smokeless tobacco users
Tonnesen, 201340 70691 mg BID125.6±3.7c 7.0±5.1c 22.4±8.9d 24.5±9.9d Long‐term NRT users
Ebbert, 201141 38381 mg BID1219.1±12.218.5±10.44.0±3.5e 3.2±2.0e Smokeless tobacco users
Smokers dependent on opioids or cocaine
Stein, 201342 137451 mg BID2422.8±10.123.0±11.319.5±8.521.2±10.4Methadone‐maintained smokers
Nahvi, 201443 57551 mg BID12NRNR15 (10–20)15 (10–20)Methadone‐maintained smokers
Poling, 201044 13181 mg BID12NRNR18.219.1Methadone‐maintained smokers who use cocaine
Other
Tashkin, 201145 2502541 mg BID1240.0440.625.323.6Adult smokers with COPD
Wong, 201246 1511351 mg BID12NRNR17.8±8.217.0±7.5Smokers scheduled for surgery
Faessel, 200947 1471 mg BID, >55 kg22.31.912.013.0Adolescent smokers (aged 12–16 y)
140.5 mg BID, >55 kg2.511.0
1480.5 mg BID, <55 kg1.81.87.06.0
150.5 mg QD, <55 kg2.19.0
Mitchell, 201248 31331 mg BID12NRNR10.7f 11.0f Heavy drinking adult smokersg
Burstein, 200649 881 mg QD151.5±5.040.9±14.026.0±11.021.3±10.0Smokers >65 years old
81 mg BID50.4±6.020.8±10.0

ACS indicates acute coronary syndromes; BID, twice daily; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CVD, cardiovascular disease; LTFU, lost to follow‐up; NR, not reported; NRT, nicotine replacement therapy; QD, once daily.

Portions used per day.

Average number of times smokeless tobacco was used per day.

Duration of Nicotine Replacement Therapy use.

Average number of cigarettes smoked per day when last smoked.

Cans or pouches of smokeless tobacco used per week.

Mean number of cigarettes smoked per week divided by 7.

≥7 drinks/week for women or ≥14 drinks/week in men.

Trial Characteristics of RCTs Comparing Varenicline With Placebo and Smoking Profiles of Patients ACS indicates acute coronary syndromes; BID, twice daily; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CVD, cardiovascular disease; LTFU, lost to follow‐up; NR, not reported; NRT, nicotine replacement therapy; QD, once daily. Portions used per day. Average number of times smokeless tobacco was used per day. Duration of Nicotine Replacement Therapy use. Average number of cigarettes smoked per day when last smoked. Cans or pouches of smokeless tobacco used per week. Mean number of cigarettes smoked per week divided by 7. ≥7 drinks/week for women or ≥14 drinks/week in men. Overall, studies had a low risk of bias (Table S4) when assessed by using the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool.11 A number of studies had an unclear risk of bias in the sequence generation and allocation concealment categories. In the blinding domain, 1 study had a high risk of bias as a result of a behavioral intervention–only comparison group. Two additional studies had an unclear risk of bias because of insufficient information to determine whether there was adequate blinding. Several studies had an unclear or high risk of bias in the category of outcome data because of high rates of loss to follow‐up.

Patient Characteristics

The mean age of participants across all study arms ranged from 13.5 to 69.1 years, and the proportion of male participants ranged from 26.7% to 97.5% (Table S5). Among studies conducted in adult tobacco users, the mean number of years of use ranged from 10.9 to 51.5 years (Table). In trials conducted in cigarette‐smoking adults, the mean number of cigarettes smoked per day ranged from 10.7 to 26.0 (Table).

Cardiovascular SAEs

Overall, event rates were low, with 14 of the 38 included studies reporting no cardiovascular SAEs during treatment or within 30 days of treatment discontinuation. As anticipated, RCTs conducted in patients with acute coronary syndromes or established stable CVD had a higher cumulative incidence of cardiovascular SAEs than did trials conducted in other populations. A total of 57 cardiovascular SAEs occurred in the 7213 patients randomized to varenicline, and 43 occurred in the 5493 patients randomized to placebo (Figure 2). When pooling the data across the 38 studies by using a random‐effects model, no significant difference was found for cardiovascular SAEs when comparing varenicline with placebo (RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.72–1.49). Similar results were found among patients with a history of CVD (RR 1.04, 95% CI 0.57–1.89) and without a history of CVD (RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.64–1.64). The corresponding RDs were 0.00 (95% CI 0.01–0.02) and 0.00 (95% CI 0.00–0.00), respectively (Figures S1 and S2).
Figure 2

Forest plot of the relative risks of cardiovascular serious adverse events in patients randomized to varenicline versus placebo.

Forest plot of the relative risks of cardiovascular serious adverse events in patients randomized to varenicline versus placebo.

All‐Cause Mortality

Very few deaths occurred, with 32 of the 38 of studies reporting zero events in both study arms. The cause of death was reported for only half of the deaths that occurred, and half of these were cardiovascular in nature (n=5) (Table S6). A total of 11 deaths occurred in the 7213 patients randomized to varenicline and 9 occurred in the 5493 patients randomized to placebo (Figure 3). When data were pooled across trials, no difference in all‐cause mortality was observed when comparing varenicline with placebo (RR 0.88, 95% CI 0.50–1.52). There was no detectable difference between patients with a history of CVD (RR 1.24, 95% CI 0.40–3.83) and those without a history of CVD (RR 0.77, 95% CI 0.40–1.48); however, CIs were wide because of the rarity of these events. Corresponding RDs were also calculated, with no detectable difference found between varenicline and placebo for all‐cause mortality in both CVD (RD 0.00, 95% CI −0.01 to 0.01) and non‐CVD patients (RD 0.00, 95% CI 0.00–0.00) (Figures S3 and S4).
Figure 3

Forest plot of the relative risks of all‐cause mortality in patients randomized to varenicline versus placebo.

Forest plot of the relative risks of all‐cause mortality in patients randomized to varenicline versus placebo.

Sensitivity Analyses

Sensitivity analyses that used fixed‐effects models produced results that were consistent with those of our primary analyses (data not shown). An influence analysis performed by using random‐effects models showed that no study had an overly large impact on the meta‐analysis results (data not shown). Results also remained consistent when repeating our primary analyses while excluding trials with zero events in one arm and then excluding trials with zero events in both arms (data not shown). When including only studies with >100 participants, results were consistent with those of our primary analysis (data not shown). Importantly, these analyses excluded the trial by Faessel et al, which was conducted in adolescents. Finally, visual inspection of a funnel plot (Figure S5) and Egger's test (P=0.80) showed no evidence of publication bias.

Discussion

Our study was designed to assess the cardiovascular safety of varenicline compared with placebo. Overall, cardiovascular SAEs and deaths were rare across trials. We found no increased risk of cardiovascular SAEs in participants randomized to varenicline. These findings were similar when stratified by participants with or without a history of CVD. Likewise, all‐cause mortality appeared similar between study populations and arms; however, the CIs were wide as a result of the rarity of these events and the relatively short treatment durations of included trials. Our results suggest that varenicline is not associated with increased cardiovascular risks compared with placebo. Concerns regarding the cardiovascular safety of varenicline first emerged after an RCT that examined the use of varenicline in patients with stable CVD. The authors found numerically greater cardiovascular SAEs in the varenicline arm compared with the placebo arm when including events that occurred >30 days post treatment discontinuation.13 Shortly after, the first of several meta‐analyses examining the cardiovascular safety of varenicline was published. In their meta‐analysis, Singh et al reported an increased incidence of cardiovascular SAEs when comparing varenicline with placebo.3 However, the Singh et al meta‐analysis was criticized for its choice of statistical approach, exclusion of zero event trials, and inclusion of events that occurred >30 days after drug discontinuation.4, 50, 51 This may have resulted in an overestimation of the cardiovascular risk of varenicline. A subsequent meta‐analysis performed by Prochaska and Hilton, which included only events that occurred during or within 30 days of treatment with the study drug, found no difference in cardiovascular SAE incidence between varenicline and placebo groups despite the use of a variety of meta‐analytic techniques.4 A US Food and Drug Administration–mandated meta‐analysis published by Ware et al that examined Pfizer‐sponsored studies had similar findings.5 This patient‐level meta‐analysis found no significant difference in rates of cardiovascular SAEs and low absolute risk of cardiovascular SAEs with the use of varenicline. Finally, a network meta‐analysis conducted by Mills et al also found no evidence of cardiovascular harm with varenicline.6 Our meta‐analysis incorporated safety data from 16 new trials (including 1 conducted in the highest‐risk patient population studied to date), nearly doubling the number of events available to pool. Our findings likewise suggest that these events are rare and not likely to be increased by the use of varenicline. These findings are also consistent with the results of several large cohort studies, which found no increased risk of cardiovascular SAEs when comparing individuals using varenicline with those using bupropion for smoking cessation.52, 53 Ultimately, there is little epidemiological evidence to suggest that varenicline increases the risk of cardiovascular SAEs. Likewise, the biological mechanism by which varenicline could mediate cardiovascular SAEs remains unclear. Varenicline is a partial agonist of the α4‐β2 nicotinic acetylcholine receptor (nAchR) and a full agonist of the α3‐β4 and α7 nAchRs. These receptors have been shown to potentially modulate cardiovascular function.11, 54, 55, 56 Varenicline activates α4‐β2 and α7 nAchRs at rates similar to those of nicotine and is a greater agonist than nicotine at the α3‐β4 nAchR.57 However, it is unknown whether partial activation of these receptors can lead to major changes in cardiovascular health, as the role of these receptors in modulating the cardiovascular system is not well studied. It should be noted, however, that only a small portion of the detrimental effects of smoking could be expected to be mediated through nAchRs. The hemodynamic effects of nicotine arise mostly through activation of β‐adrenergic receptors and not nAchRs,58 and the vast majority of cardiovascular damage from smoking occurs as a result of the inflammation, oxidative stress, and hypercoagulable state caused by reactive oxygen species, carbon monoxide, and various particulates in tobacco smoke itself, not nicotine.59 Given this, it appears unlikely that varenicline would increase cardiovascular risk through its activation of nAchRs, and if possible, the occurrence of such events would be extremely rare. This potential risk must also be considered in the context of the exceptional role of quitting smoking in reducing cardiovascular risk.59, 60 The cardiovascular benefits of varenicline as an efficacious smoking‐cessation pharmacotherapy61 far outweigh a speculative and extremely small potential increase in cardiovascular risk. Our review had several potential limitations. First, the events of interest were rare; therefore, despite pooling all available data, some treatment effects are accompanied by wider 95% CIs. Second, the analysis of secondary data includes reliance on individual study definitions of events to be counted as cardiovascular SAEs, and few studies reported independent adjudication of these events. Third, the potential for publication bias cannot be excluded; however, we found no evidence of this bias through Egger's test or visual examination of a funnel plot. Finally, one included study was unblinded. However, this study accounts for only 1.32% of the weight in our primary analysis of cardiovascular SAEs. Consequently, its inclusion is unlikely to have had an important impact on our overall treatment estimates.

Conclusion

This study was designed to assess the cardiovascular safety of varenicline compared with placebo. When pooling data from 38 RCTs, we found no evidence of an increased risk of cardiovascular SAEs or all‐cause mortality with varenicline. Results were similar among studies that included participants with and without a history of CVD. The benefits of varenicline as an efficacious smoking‐cessation therapy outweigh any potential increased risk of cardiovascular harm.

Sources of Funding

Mr Sterling is supported by a Ron and Marcy Prussick Research Bursary and Mr Touma is supported by a Mach‐Gaensslen Foundation of Canada Student Grant, both funded through the McGill University Research Bursary Program. Dr Filion holds a Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR) New Investigator Award.

Disclosures

Dr Eisenberg is the principal investigator of The Evaluation of Varenicline in Smoking Cessation for Patients Post‐Acute Coronary Syndrome (EVITA) Trial (NCT00794573), an investigator‐initiated trial, which received funding and study drug/placebo from Pfizer Inc. Pfizer Inc had no role in the design, conduct, analysis, interpretation of data, or reporting of the EVITA trial. Dr Eisenberg also received honoraria from Pfizer Inc for providing continuing medical education on smoking cessation. The other authors have no potential conflicts of interest to disclose. Table S1. Description of the MEDLINE Search for Randomized Controlled Trials Examining Varenicline Versus Placebo* Table S2. Description of the EMBASE Search for Randomized Controlled Trials Examining Varenicline Versus Placebo* Table S3. Description of the Cochrane Library Search for Randomized Controlled Trials Examining Varenicline Versus Placebo* Table S4. Quality Assessment of Included Trials Table S5. Patient Characteristics and Cardiovascular Exclusion Criteria Table S6. Causes of Death in Included Randomized Controlled Trials Figure S1. Forest plot of the risk differences of cardiovascular serious adverse events in patients randomized to varenicline versus placebo in studies examining patients with cardiovascular disease. Figure S2. Forest plot of the risk differences of cardiovascular serious adverse events in patients randomized to varenicline versus placebo in studies examining patients without cardiovascular disease. Figure S3. Forest plot of the risk differences of all‐cause mortality in patients randomized to varenicline versus placebo in studies examining patients with cardiovascular disease. Figure S4. Forest plot of the risk differences of all‐cause mortality in patients randomized to varenicline versus placebo in studies examining patients without cardiovascular disease. Figure S5. Funnel plot of included studies. Click here for additional data file.
  59 in total

1.  Effects of moderate-dose treatment with varenicline on neurobiological and cognitive biomarkers in smokers and nonsmokers with schizophrenia or schizoaffective disorder.

Authors:  L Elliot Hong; Gunvant K Thaker; Robert P McMahon; Ann Summerfelt; Jill Rachbeisel; Rebecca L Fuller; Ikwunga Wonodi; Robert W Buchanan; Carol Myers; Stephen J Heishman; Jeff Yang; Adrienne Nye
Journal:  Arch Gen Psychiatry       Date:  2011-08-01

Review 2.  Risk of serious adverse cardiovascular events associated with varenicline: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Authors:  Sonal Singh; Yoon K Loke; John G Spangler; Curt D Furberg
Journal:  CMAJ       Date:  2011-07-04       Impact factor: 8.262

3.  Efficacy of varenicline, an alpha4beta2 nicotinic acetylcholine receptor partial agonist, vs placebo or sustained-release bupropion for smoking cessation: a randomized controlled trial.

Authors:  Douglas E Jorenby; J Taylor Hays; Nancy A Rigotti; Salomon Azoulay; Eric J Watsky; Kathryn E Williams; Clare B Billing; Jason Gong; Karen R Reeves
Journal:  JAMA       Date:  2006-07-05       Impact factor: 56.272

Review 4.  The neurobiological basis for partial agonist treatment of nicotine dependence: varenicline.

Authors:  J Foulds
Journal:  Int J Clin Pract       Date:  2006-05       Impact factor: 2.503

5.  A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study evaluating the safety and efficacy of varenicline for smoking cessation in patients with schizophrenia or schizoaffective disorder.

Authors:  Jill M Williams; Robert M Anthenelli; Chad D Morris; Joan Treadow; John R Thompson; Carla Yunis; Tony P George
Journal:  J Clin Psychiatry       Date:  2012-05       Impact factor: 4.384

6.  The safety and efficacy of varenicline in cocaine using smokers maintained on methadone: a pilot study.

Authors:  James Poling; Bruce Rounsaville; Kishorchandra Gonsai; Kevin Severino; Mehmet Sofuoglu
Journal:  Am J Addict       Date:  2010 Sep-Oct

7.  Cardiovascular events associated with smoking cessation pharmacotherapies: a network meta-analysis.

Authors:  Edward J Mills; Kristian Thorlund; Shawn Eapen; Ping Wu; Judith J Prochaska
Journal:  Circulation       Date:  2013-12-09       Impact factor: 29.690

8.  Effects of varenicline on smoking cessation in adults with stably treated current or past major depression: a randomized trial.

Authors:  Robert M Anthenelli; Chad Morris; Tanya S Ramey; Sarah J Dubrava; Kostas Tsilkos; Cristina Russ; Carla Yunis
Journal:  Ann Intern Med       Date:  2013-09-17       Impact factor: 25.391

Review 9.  Pharmacotherapies for smoking cessation: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.

Authors:  Mark J Eisenberg; Kristian B Filion; Daniel Yavin; Patrick Bélisle; Salvatore Mottillo; Lawrence Joseph; André Gervais; Jennifer O'Loughlin; Gilles Paradis; Stephane Rinfret; Louise Pilote
Journal:  CMAJ       Date:  2008-07-15       Impact factor: 8.262

10.  Safety of varenicline tartrate and counseling versus counseling alone for smoking cessation: a randomized controlled trial for inpatients (STOP study).

Authors:  Kristin Veronica Carson; Brian James Smith; Malcolm Philip Brinn; Matthew J Peters; Robert Fitridge; Simon A Koblar; Jim Jannes; Kuljit Singh; Antony J Veale; Sharon Goldsworthy; John Litt; David Edwards; Khin Moe Hnin; Adrian Jeffrey Esterman
Journal:  Nicotine Tob Res       Date:  2014-07-16       Impact factor: 4.244

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  18 in total

Review 1.  Smoking resumption after heart or lung transplantation: a systematic review and suggestions for screening and management.

Authors:  Patrick Hofmann; Christian Benden; Malcolm Kohler; Macé M Schuurmans
Journal:  J Thorac Dis       Date:  2018-07       Impact factor: 2.895

Review 2.  Prevention and Treatment of Tobacco Use: JACC Health Promotion Series.

Authors:  Sara Kalkhoran; Neal L Benowitz; Nancy A Rigotti
Journal:  J Am Coll Cardiol       Date:  2018-08-28       Impact factor: 24.094

3.  Tobacco Smoking Is a Medical Problem. We Ought to Treat It Like One.

Authors:  Ravi Kalhan; John T Wilkins; Brian L Hitsman
Journal:  Am J Respir Crit Care Med       Date:  2018-04-01       Impact factor: 21.405

4.  Tackling smoking cessation systematically among inpatients with heart disease.

Authors:  Robert D Reid; Kerri-Anne Mullen; Andrew L Pipe
Journal:  CMAJ       Date:  2018-03-26       Impact factor: 8.262

Review 5.  Nicotine receptor partial agonists for smoking cessation.

Authors:  Kate Cahill; Nicola Lindson-Hawley; Kyla H Thomas; Thomas R Fanshawe; Tim Lancaster
Journal:  Cochrane Database Syst Rev       Date:  2016-05-09

6.  Placebo-controlled randomized clinical trial testing the efficacy and safety of varenicline for smokers with HIV.

Authors:  Rebecca L Ashare; Morgan Thompson; Katrina Serrano; Frank Leone; David Metzger; Ian Frank; Robert Gross; Anita Hole; Karam Mounzer; Ronald G Collman; E Paul Wileyto; Robert Schnoll
Journal:  Drug Alcohol Depend       Date:  2019-05-07       Impact factor: 4.492

7.  Primary and Secondary Prevention of CAD: A Review.

Authors:  Lindsay Short; Van T La; Mandira Patel; Ramdas G Pai
Journal:  Int J Angiol       Date:  2021-12-24

8.  Smoking abstinence 1 year after acute coronary syndrome: follow-up from a randomized controlled trial of varenicline in patients admitted to hospital.

Authors:  Sarah B Windle; Payam Dehghani; Nathalie Roy; Wayne Old; François R Grondin; Iqbal Bata; Ayman Iskander; Claude Lauzon; Nalin Srivastava; Adam Clarke; Daniel Cassavar; Danielle Dion; Herbert Haught; Shamir R Mehta; Jean-François Baril; Charles Lambert; Mina Madan; Beth L Abramson; Mark J Eisenberg
Journal:  CMAJ       Date:  2018-03-26       Impact factor: 8.262

9.  Cardiovascular Safety of Varenicline, Bupropion, and Nicotine Patch in Smokers: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

Authors:  Neal L Benowitz; Andrew Pipe; Robert West; J Taylor Hays; Serena Tonstad; Thomas McRae; David Lawrence; Lisa St Aubin; Robert M Anthenelli
Journal:  JAMA Intern Med       Date:  2018-05-01       Impact factor: 21.873

10.  Risk of neuropsychiatric and cardiovascular adverse events following treatment with varenicline and nicotine replacement therapy in the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink: a case-cross-over study.

Authors:  Kyla H Thomas; Neil M Davies; Amy E Taylor; Gemma M J Taylor; David Gunnell; Richard M Martin; Ian Douglas
Journal:  Addiction       Date:  2020-12-14       Impact factor: 6.526

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