| Literature DB >> 26900212 |
Phyllis C Lee1, Victoria Fishlock1, C Elizabeth Webber2, Cynthia J Moss3.
Abstract
Long-lived species such as elephants, whales and primates exhibit extended post-fertile survival compared to species with shorter lifespans but data on age-related fecundity and survival are limited to few species or populations. We assess relationships between longevity, reproductive onset, reproductive rate and age for 834 longitudinally monitored wild female African elephants in Amboseli, Kenya. The mean known age at first reproduction was 13.8 years; only 5 % commenced reproduction by 10 years. Early reproducers (<12.5 years) had higher age-specific fertility rates than did females who commenced reproduction late (15+ years) with no differences in survival between these groups. Age-specific reproductive rates of females dying before 40 years were reduced by comparison to same-aged survivors, illustrating a mortality filter and reproductive advantages of a long life. Overall, 95 % of fertility was completed before 50, and 95 % of mortality experienced by age 65, with a mean life expectancy of 41 years for females who survived to the minimum age at first birth (9 years). Elephant females have a relatively long period (c. 16 years) of viability after 95 % completed fertility, although reproduction does not entirely cease until they are over 65. We found no evidence of increased investment among females aged over 40 in terms of delay to next birth or calf mortality. The presence of a mother reproducing simultaneously with her daughter was associated with higher rates of daughter reproduction suggesting advantages from maternal (and grandmaternal) co-residence during reproduction.Entities:
Keywords: Age-specific reproductive rates; Care allocation; Grandmothering; Mortality filters; Post-reproductive survival
Year: 2016 PMID: 26900212 PMCID: PMC4748003 DOI: 10.1007/s00265-015-2051-5
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Behav Ecol Sociobiol ISSN: 0340-5443 Impact factor: 2.980
Fig. 1Population age-specific proportion surviving (±SE) in 5-year age bins for 1445 females from birth, plotted against mean (± SE) reproductive rates calculated from birth events for 834 females that survived to age 9 averaged over 5-year age bins (N females contributing: 639, 703, 637, 489, 379, 300, 231, 169, 115, 63, 33, 26, 12)
Binomial logistic regression for probability of a birth event by age, with overall model fit F, coefficient and estimated marginal means (95%CI) for significant fixed factors. Fixed factors (drought experience, age at entry) and interactions that did not contribute to the final model were excluded. Var(ID) = 0.0000. Overall model explained 56.8 % of variance
| Main effect | Coefficient β (95 % CI) and | Estimated marginal means (95 % CI) age = 18.5; age2 = 520.47 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall model fit |
| ||
| Age |
| 0.584 (0.502 to 0.593) | |
| Age2 |
| −0.015 (−0.016 to −0.013) | |
| Age × age2 |
| 0.0000 (0.0000009 to 0.0000) | |
| Age at first reproduction (AFR) |
| ||
| AFR early | 2.009 (1.573 to 2.445), | 0.038 (0.026–0.055) | |
| AFR average | 1.051 (0.676 to 1.426), | 0.031 (0.022–0.044) | |
| AFR late (reference) | 0.021 (0.014–0.032) | ||
| Died before 40 |
| ||
| Living, not yet 40 | −0.130 (−0.256 to −0.005), | 0.020 (0.014–0.029) | |
| Survived 40+ | 0.222 (0.088 to 0.356), | 0.029 (0.020–0.041) | |
| Died <40 (reference) | 0.023 (0.016–0.034) | ||
| Interactions | |||
| Age × AFR |
| ||
| Age × AFR early | −0.076 (−0.097 to −0.056), | ||
| Age × AFR average | −0.036 (−0.051 to −0.020) | ||
| Age × AFR late (reference) | |||
Fig. 2Age-specific reproductive events (±SE) for females who lived to 40+ (N = 165—solid line) by comparison with those who died before reaching 40 (N = 204—dotted line) (excludes 465 females yet to reach 40)
Fig. 3Age-specific rate of reproduction for individual females with a surviving mother (n = 336) as a function of the duration of overlap in breeding between known mother–daughter pairs (β = 0.003, constant = 0.114)