| Literature DB >> 26844889 |
Odeya Cohen1,2, Diklah Geva3, Mooli Lahad4,5, Arkady Bolotin6, Dima Leykin2,4,5, Avishay Goldberg1,2,7, Limor Aharonson-Daniel1,2.
Abstract
An increase in the exposure and predisposition of civilian populations to disasters has been recorded in the last decades. In major disasters, as demonstrated recently in Nepal (2015) and previously in Haiti (2010), external aid is vital, yet in the first hours after a disaster, communities must usually cope alone with the challenge of providing emergent lifesaving care. Communities therefore need to be prepared to handle emergency situations. Mapping the needs of the populations within their purview is a trying task for decision makers and community leaders. In this context, the elderly are traditionally treated as a susceptible population with special needs. The current study aimed to explore variations in the level of community resilience along the lifespan. The study was conducted in nine small to mid-size towns in Israel between August and November 2011 (N = 885). The Conjoint Community Resiliency Assessment Measure (CCRAM), a validated instrument for community resilience assessment, was used to examine the association between age and community resilience score. Statistical analysis included spline and logistic regression models that explored community resiliency over the lifespan in a way that allowed flexible modeling of the curve without prior constraints. This innovative statistical approach facilitated identification of the ages at which trend changes occurred. The study found a significant rise in community resiliency scores in the age groups of 61-75 years as compared with younger age bands, suggesting that older people in good health may contribute positively to building community resiliency for crisis. Rather than focusing on the growing medical needs and years of dependency associated with increased life expectancy and the resulting climb in the proportion of elders in the population, this paper proposes that active "young at heart" older people can be a valuable resource for their community.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2016 PMID: 26844889 PMCID: PMC4741520 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0148125
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1Mean CCRAM scores by age.
Notes: spline knots occur at age 27, 52, 72 and 83. Ages over 75 were characterized by scarce and heterogeneous data (n = 23).
Fig 2CCRAM factors according to age categories.
Average scores for five community resilience factors over age groups.
| Age Group | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factor | <30(n = 179) | 31–45(n = 290) | 46–60(n = 249) | 61–75(n = 136) | >75(n = 23) | ||||||
| Leadership | 3.05 | .90 | 3.12 | .80 | 3.19 | 1.00 | 3.52 | 1.05 | 3.77 | .97 | 6.91 |
| Collective Efficacy | 3.77 | 1.00 | 3.81 | .81 | 3.72 | .96 | 4.02 | .94 | 3.83 | .93 | 3.03 |
| Preparedness | 2.99 | 1.07 | 2.93 | .86 | 3.08 | 1.04 | 3.36 | .85 | 3.26 | .92 | 4.73 |
| Place Attachment | 3.66 | .94 | 3.82 | .81 | 4.00 | 1.01 | 4.29 | .68 | 4.42 | .83 | 13.07 |
| Social Trust | 3.37 | .85 | 3.43 | 1.00 | 3.44 | 1.15 | 3.75 | .60 | 3.22 | 1.03 | 4.35 |
Note: df = 4, df error = 871.
* p < .05;
** p < .01;
*** p < .001.
A = <30 years,
B = 31–45 years,
C = 46–60 years.
Fig 3Probability of high resilience score by age categories as predicted by logistic regression models.
Variables associated with community resilience score in the final model of logistic regression.
| Variables | Odds Ratio | P-value | 95% CI for OR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower | Upper | |||
| Age | ||||
| <30 | 1.18 | 0.739 | 0.438 | 3.199 |
| 31–45 | 1 | |||
| 46–60 | 1.22 | 0.565 | 0.616 | 2.433 |
| 61–75 | 4.32 | 0.021 | 1.246 | 14.994 |
| >75 | 4.05 | 0.481 | 0.083 | 197.555 |
| Gender | ||||
| Female | 1 | |||
| Male | 0.42 | 0.006 | 0.225 | 0.783 |
| Family status | ||||
| In a permanent relationship | 1 | |||
| Not in a permanent relationship | 0.35 | 0.016 | 0.145 | 0.823 |
| Child at home | ||||
| Yes | 1 | |||
| No | 1.48 | 0.341 | 0.661 | 3.309 |
| Physical or mental disability | ||||
| No | 1 | |||
| Yes | 0.21 | 0.007 | 0.065 | 0.649 |
| Education | ||||
| Non-academic | 1 | |||
| Academic | 0.46 | 0.017 | 0.244 | 0.869 |
| Religion | ||||
| Secular | 1 | |||
| Religious | 1.65 | 0.165 | 0.814 | 3.332 |
| Travel time to work | ||||
| <30 min | 1 | |||
| > 30 min | 0.64 | 0.277 | 0.281 | 1.439 |
| Income | ||||
| Average | 1 | |||
| Lower than average | 0.95 | 0.895 | 0.457 | 1.982 |
| Higher than average | 0.36 | 0.008 | 0.169 | 0.764 |
| CERT volunteering | ||||
| No | 1 | |||
| Yes | 2.78 | 0.042 | 1.036 | 7.487 |
| Community Type | ||||
| Mid-size town | 1 | |||
| Small communities | 17.18 | 0.000 | 8.165 | 36.164 |
Note: -2 log likelihood = 272.800 (df = 15). Chi-square p<0.001.
*OR = 1 indicates the reference group.
Characteristics of socio-demographic variables by age categories.
| Variables | <30 n = 179 | 31–45 n = 290 | 46–60 n = 249 | 61–75 n = 136 | >75 n = 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCRAM score: mean, SE | 3.41, 0.05 | 3.45, 0.04 | 3.50, 0.05 | 3.80, 0.06 | 3.78, 0.15 |
| Female, % | 55 | 58 | 59 | 44 | 52 |
| Not in permanent relationships, % | 71 | 16 | 19 | 13 | 50 |
| No child at home, % | 66 | 10 | 22 | 76 | 91 |
| Unemployed % | 28 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 70 |
| With disability, % | 5 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 78 |
| Education: academic, % | 29 | 50 | 42 | 48 | 22 |
| Religion: secular, % | 66 | 54 | 55 | 69 | 48 |
| Income: less than average, % | 39 | 31 | 32 | 35 | 65 |
| CERT volunteering, % | 5 | 12 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Community type: mid-size towns, % | 60 | 57 | 54 | 35 | 39 |
Note: Pairwise comparison with chi-square < 0.05 compared to age:
A = <30 years,
B = 31–45 years,
C = 46–60 years,
D = 61–75 years.
Fig 4Mean CCRAM score by age categories and by selected characteristics.